Oblong-Pioneer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$591.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$136.9K

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

Trades

5,935

lifetime

Volume

$3.14M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$528

Open exposure

$323.6K

13 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-29 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

91% 63% +$564,122

Other

8% 79% +$17,836

Sports

0% 100% +$9,281

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 649 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+167,805	$109,065	68¢	$114.9K	+$5,882	10-27 02:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+128,742	$107,789	56¢	$71.5K	-$36,337	10-29 07:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+70,232	$46,453	68¢	$48.1K	+$1,656	10-27 13:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	-76,967	-$35,270	58¢	$-44756	-$9,486	10-28 10:17
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	-57,715	-$26,443	58¢	$-33475	-$7,032	10-27 23:32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+5,566	$4,342	78¢	$4.3K	-$28	06-24 23:35
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	+7,685	$3,071	54¢	$4.1K	+$1,041	10-27 13:27
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+75,826	$72,380	2¢	$1.5K	-$70,863	10-27 23:32
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+873	$524	64¢	$554	+$31	10-27 04:14
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+13,888	$21,298	1¢	$139	-$21,159	10-27 23:31
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+900	$522	15¢	$131	-$392	06-30 16:02
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+192	$115	64¢	$122	+$7	10-27 10:29
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	+779	$193	1¢	$5	-$188	10-27 19:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	809	$661.8K	681,416	542,722	+138,694	Yes	+$146,014	06-15 04:24
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	290	$344.7K	389,912	224,451	+165,461	No	+$131,095	10-25 22:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	411	$322.2K	316,499	187,757	+128,742	open	—	10-29 07:23
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	524	$303.4K	613,846	350,772	+263,074	Yes	+$178,287	10-25 23:15
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	189	$136.5K	101,179	51,379	+49,800	No	+$14,761	06-13 22:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	112	$124.4K	179,823	12,018	+167,805	open	—	10-27 02:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	385	$120.6K	289,602	18,000	+271,602	Yes	+$170,978	06-14 21:28
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	171	$84.1K	124,856	123,654	+1,202	Yes	-$81,322	10-25 22:55
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	295	$82.8K	116,222	40,396	+75,826	open	—	10-27 23:32
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	374	$72.1K	110,422	13,888	+96,534	Yes	+$44,086	08-24 19:00
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	31	$66.0K	91,453	18,619	+72,834	No	+$30,459	08-14 00:18
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	167	$61.5K	82,622	72,036	+10,586	No	-$50,255	10-25 23:36
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	441	$48.3K	69,998	0	+69,998	Yes	+$21,700	06-10 17:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	218	$46.6K	127,427	34,373	+93,053	No	-$13,616	05-29 03:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	108	$46.5K	70,232	0	+70,232	open	—	10-27 13:03
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	14	$45.0K	77,105	1,343	+75,761	Yes	+$14,276	08-25 19:43
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	45	$43.5K	9,000	85,967	-76,967	open	—	10-28 10:17
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	78	$40.3K	33,480	9,630	+23,850	Yes	+$2,562	06-17 17:56
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	18	$36.5K	53,019	0	+53,019	No	+$16,529	08-04 23:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	84	$35.7K	165,108	0	+165,108	Yes	-$35,723	07-29 17:58
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	102	$31.8K	67,183	4,876	+62,307	Yes	-$31,104	05-04 05:04
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	79	$30.9K	28,918	14,659	+14,260	Yes	+$9,429	06-21 14:15
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	35	$26.4K	0	57,715	-57,715	open	—	10-27 23:32
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	20	$24.5K	34,000	20,112	+13,888	open	—	10-27 23:31
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	71	$23.3K	43,819	2,298	+41,520	No	-$3,667	08-25 21:53
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	53	$21.6K	44,659	7,947	+36,712	No	-$20,612	05-04 04:54
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?	1	$20.9K	20,976	0	+20,976	No	+$106	08-13 19:08
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	17	$19.6K	26,159	0	+26,159	Yes	+$3,686	08-05 03:57
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	21	$17.6K	26,000	26,000	+0	open	—	10-25 22:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	10	$17.3K	70,978	0	+70,978	No	-$17,271	07-29 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:23:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xf26937…
10-29 07:21:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x6aa2bf…
10-29 07:19:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	132	56¢	$74	0x458525…
10-29 07:19:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xdf6266…
10-29 07:18:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0xdad655…
10-29 07:18:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xadbca2…
10-29 07:18:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3,226	56¢	$1,806	0x973379…
10-29 07:18:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	133	56¢	$75	0x0696f9…
10-29 07:18:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	217	56¢	$122	0x2b6c6b…
10-29 07:17:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0xe5add0…
10-29 07:11:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x42c2c6…
10-29 07:10:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xc7d77f…
10-29 07:09:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	897	56¢	$503	0x20b3aa…
10-29 06:59:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2,500	56¢	$1,400	0x72dec2…
10-29 06:55:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	93	56¢	$52	0x8943b7…
10-29 06:54:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	111	56¢	$62	0xfc1c2c…
10-29 06:54:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2,188	56¢	$1,226	0x2cf3de…
10-29 06:48:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x78a0b5…
10-29 06:48:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x3af284…
10-29 06:45:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	82	56¢	$46	0xc6ceb6…
10-29 06:42:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x9c2e58…
10-29 06:42:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	250	56¢	$140	0x372b2f…
10-29 06:40:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x70cbd7…
10-29 06:38:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x98305a…
10-29 06:37:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	357	56¢	$200	0x747b81…
10-29 06:26:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	56¢	$23	0xa38acb…
10-29 06:25:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	19	56¢	$11	0x1a79b3…
10-29 06:20:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	148	56¢	$83	0x6fd3ea…
10-29 06:17:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0x70c25d…
10-29 06:16:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	114	56¢	$64	0x03efd7…
10-29 06:16:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x55e0d2…
10-29 06:11:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	179	56¢	$100	0xd59912…
10-29 06:11:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	304	56¢	$170	0x672e6b…
10-29 06:08:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	833	56¢	$467	0xac9152…
10-29 06:08:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3,500	56¢	$1,960	0xca711b…
10-29 06:07:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xa4ef60…
10-29 06:03:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x4d9c17…
10-29 06:01:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	109	56¢	$61	0x2bbfcc…
10-29 05:59:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	227	56¢	$127	0x24141b…
10-29 05:58:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x0e67e6…
10-29 05:58:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	136	56¢	$76	0x67a6fa…
10-29 05:50:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xd7e1ef…
10-29 05:50:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	239	56¢	$134	0x9bf2fe…
10-29 02:57:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8,385	56¢	$4,696	0xdc489c…
10-29 02:55:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x1b4f44…
10-29 02:50:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xd0dcb1…
10-29 02:46:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	36	56¢	$20	0xa01835…
10-29 02:46:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0x300280…
10-29 01:12:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4,346	56¢	$2,434	0x66183e…
10-28 23:34:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	17,200	56¢	$9,632	0xe72c19…
10-28 18:41:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	21,273	54¢	$11,487	0x5291da…
10-28 18:41:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	29	54¢	$16	0x2fb30a…
10-28 18:38:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x1635d7…
10-28 18:38:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x47f3a9…
10-28 18:38:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,467	54¢	$792	0x6c0dcd…
10-28 18:36:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,877	54¢	$1,013	0x44e3ff…
10-28 18:35:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x6a43b2…
10-28 18:35:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	357	54¢	$193	0x5fc45c…
10-28 18:35:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	60	54¢	$32	0x9af733…
10-28 18:35:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	54¢	$22	0x308aa8…
10-28 18:32:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2,102	54¢	$1,135	0x046947…
10-28 18:32:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	500	54¢	$270	0xd19ade…
10-28 18:32:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	800	54¢	$432	0x53abe3…
10-28 18:32:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	63	54¢	$34	0xcf8714…
10-28 18:32:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	91	54¢	$49	0xa8887f…
10-28 18:32:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	89	54¢	$48	0x969070…
10-28 18:31:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	223	54¢	$120	0x4088ce…
10-28 18:31:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	856	54¢	$462	0xe66616…
10-28 18:30:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x9cea49…
10-28 18:30:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x435585…
10-28 18:30:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x8b6908…
10-28 18:30:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	500	54¢	$270	0xff966c…
10-28 18:30:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	800	54¢	$432	0xdf9a26…
10-28 18:30:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	800	54¢	$432	0x3ac545…
10-28 18:28:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	85	54¢	$46	0x557316…
10-28 18:28:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	93	54¢	$50	0x3d26f6…
10-28 18:28:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,000	54¢	$540	0xda6e40…
10-28 18:28:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	31	54¢	$17	0xa72de1…
10-28 18:26:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	106	54¢	$57	0x8de246…
10-28 18:23:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	96	54¢	$52	0xcf4bed…
10-28 18:22:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x2664ad…
10-28 18:21:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	531	54¢	$287	0x72fdd9…
10-28 18:19:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3,096	54¢	$1,672	0x3f59fd…
10-28 18:19:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0xae677a…
10-28 18:18:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	589	54¢	$318	0x388a9c…
10-28 18:18:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x462bd2…
10-28 18:16:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	278	54¢	$150	0x68acd9…
10-28 18:15:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x8f6ea3…
10-28 18:14:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	795	54¢	$430	0x6e997c…
10-28 18:10:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	73	54¢	$39	0x1985f3…
10-28 18:10:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x4d0bff…
10-28 18:10:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	82	54¢	$44	0x235c66…
10-28 18:09:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	178	54¢	$96	0xff32ea…
10-28 18:09:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	341	54¢	$184	0x68d8ee…
10-28 18:05:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	28	54¢	$15	0x9c0018…
10-28 16:52:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	13,500	55¢	$7,425	0xd296ba…
10-28 16:51:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x4427a4…
10-28 16:51:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	33	55¢	$18	0x7d674e…
10-28 16:51:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	700	55¢	$385	0x93ef84…
10-28 16:50:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	418	55¢	$230	0x81cae0…