Realized P&L
+$58.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$619
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
113
Trades
4,038
lifetime
Volume
$2.82M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$699
Open exposure
$53.4K
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 10-17 02:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
63% 68% +$62,437
Politics
37% 44% -$4,412
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +32,719 $28,734 95¢ $31.1K +$2,349 10-16 17:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +10,738 $8,870 96¢ $10.3K +$1,438 10-16 12:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +7,000 $5,440 86¢ $6.1K +$615 10-17 02:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +3,500 $3,255 91¢ $3.2K -$70 09-12 15:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,951 $1,005 87¢ $1.7K +$701 06-20 15:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +532 -$1,276 88¢ $471 +$1,746 07-08 23:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +5,240 $5,897 5¢ $262 -$5,635 10-16 04:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +5,500 $2,745 4¢ $220 -$2,525 10-16 04:27
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +81 -$683 96¢ $78 +$762 08-13 21:24