Steel-Format — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

1,258

Trades

1,325

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 10-12 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Other

87% 92% +$59

Tech

13% 80% -$17

Politics

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$1.2K	626	626	+0	No	+$24	06-30 12:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$1.2K	617	617	+0	No	+$14	05-22 17:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$914	928	0	+928	No	+$14	04-16 14:01
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$893	914	0	+914	No	+$21	04-11 02:47
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	1	$633	638	0	+638	No	+$5	05-22 17:46
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	1	$470	482	0	+482	No	+$12	06-30 12:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$454	238	238	+0	No	+$12	06-30 12:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$344	184	184	+0	No	+$11	06-12 18:04
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	17	$285	645	645	+0	No	+$14	06-03 14:56
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$255	265	0	+265	No	+$10	07-08 20:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$200	222	0	+222	No	+$22	05-01 15:40
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	7	$191	161	161	+0	No	-$45	07-16 22:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$175	95	95	+0	Yes	+$15	07-29 13:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$142	79	79	+0	Yes	+$14	06-30 12:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$136	73	73	+0	Yes	+$9	06-30 12:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$132	123	123	+0	Yes	-$88	07-29 13:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$114	64	64	+0	Yes	+$14	05-29 17:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$92	52	52	+0	Yes	+$12	05-29 17:41
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	2	$83	96	0	+96	Yes	+$13	05-20 20:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$58	64	0	+64	Yes	+$6	04-24 17:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	2	$54	45	45	+0	open	—	07-29 13:12
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	1	$50	53	0	+53	Yes	+$3	07-13 17:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	04-11 02:46
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	3	$49	71	71	+0	open	—	07-09 00:25
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	4	$47	87	87	+0	open	—	06-16 17:22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	04-10 19:27
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	6	$36	64	26	+38	No	+$23	05-21 23:37
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	3	$29	25	13	+11	Yes	-$3	05-22 22:30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?	7	$29	33	20	+13	No	-$13	06-02 15:09
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$23	14	14	+0	No	+$3	05-11 09:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 13:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 13?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x177d5d…
10-11 19:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 12?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe44a67…
10-11 15:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xedd01b…
10-11 13:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x26e860…
10-11 07:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 11?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x73eaf6…
10-11 02:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 11?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x65d904…
10-10 17:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 11?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf87966…
10-09 17:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb17707…
10-09 02:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb2589f…
10-08 15:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 9?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x986ddc…
10-08 14:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 9?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4522c6…
10-08 01:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 8?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xcd5c07…
10-07 22:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 8?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe094a4…
10-07 13:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 8?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf45fee…
10-06 21:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6fdd98…
10-06 17:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4f632d…
10-05 13:00:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x744cb5…
10-05 07:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 5?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0fce22…
10-05 00:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8f835e…
10-04 01:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc4af1a…
10-03 16:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 4?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x536977…
10-02 20:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 3?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa1caad…
10-01 13:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 2?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x67b114…
09-30 15:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 1?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x544237…
09-30 13:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x211f06…
09-29 20:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2f3e93…
09-29 16:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 30?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8daab5…
09-29 03:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x564b67…
09-28 19:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 29?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4c56cc…
09-28 14:00:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb5306d…
09-28 00:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 28?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x693bee…
09-27 15:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x576ddb…
09-27 14:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6bf36f…
09-27 13:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 28?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfd9eac…
09-27 03:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe5c8f8…
09-26 19:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 27?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4ecfe8…
09-26 16:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8c1e4c…
09-26 04:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 26?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7e7530…
09-25 13:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 26?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xae6e42…
09-25 13:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 26?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xeebe54…
09-25 13:00:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 26?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x53be9b…
09-25 06:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on September 25?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x55e334…
09-23 18:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 24?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xec72b5…
09-23 15:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 24?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x47418f…
09-23 13:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc3c131…
09-22 14:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 23?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa812bf…
09-22 13:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 23?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc1d461…
09-22 00:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 22?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb3f5c4…
09-21 12:00:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1591d5…
09-20 16:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5a8af1…
09-20 13:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 21?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x305e19…
09-20 13:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 21?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3b156b…
09-19 23:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 20?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x46d40e…
09-19 13:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 20?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa6605d…
09-19 04:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2d238b…
09-18 15:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x78f640…
09-18 02:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 18?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0cc4f4…
09-17 13:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd61862…
09-17 12:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 18?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7c94ae…
09-16 13:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe2fde4…
09-15 16:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on September 16?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0b9ffd…
09-15 13:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 16?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5c1773…
09-15 00:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 15?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8bf191…
09-14 13:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7e4f61…
09-13 21:00:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 14?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3643a3…
09-13 18:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 14?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5c3e9c…
09-13 17:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 14?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa23406…
09-13 15:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 14?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2bb2a2…
09-13 13:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 14?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc729c5…
09-12 16:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 13?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x563ec5…
09-12 16:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 13?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1b8bce…
09-12 16:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd1d52f…
09-12 13:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 13?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc69600…
09-12 13:00:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 13?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2458c6…
09-11 21:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x606898…
09-11 18:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf09d24…
09-11 13:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 12?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf6274f…
09-11 13:00:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x36f6d1…
09-11 00:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 11?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x12bd83…
09-10 22:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 11?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x88f5e2…
09-10 15:00:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa99bbe…
09-10 13:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 11?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9e930a…
09-09 22:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 10?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x23710d…
09-09 21:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 10?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x51edf4…
09-09 15:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 10?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xba6493…
09-09 15:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa21f76…
09-09 13:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 10?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc5f412…
09-08 22:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 9?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x94c297…
09-08 16:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 9?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3c1cd1…
09-08 13:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 9?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf7761b…
09-07 21:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeda70f…
09-07 16:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 8?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa77139…
09-07 16:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb99a0e…
09-07 13:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 8?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9c9003…
09-07 13:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on September 8?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe028f4…
09-07 13:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x85087a…
09-06 22:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 7?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x16af30…
09-06 17:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8188a3…
09-06 15:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbce2d6…
09-05 18:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 6?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x13cfd0…