Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$676

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$818

Open exposure

$1.14K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-02 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

54% 100% +$454

Other

46% 100% +$222

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+1,244	$1,156	92¢	$1.1K	-$19	10-02 21:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	2	$2.2K	1,119	1,119	+0	No	+$46	09-17 09:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	2	$2.1K	1,072	1,072	+0	No	+$16	08-31 14:59
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	2	$2.1K	1,057	1,057	+0	No	+$46	08-16 07:34
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	No	+$1	07-25 08:49
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$2.0K	991	991	+0	No	+$8	07-07 17:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$1.9K	975	975	+0	No	+$22	06-30 01:38
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,022	1,022	+0	open	—	06-03 09:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$1.9K	954	954	+0	No	+$27	04-29 11:31
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$1.6K	929	929	+0	Yes	+$211	04-12 20:34
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	2	$1.4K	731	730	+1	No	+$10	04-09 15:37
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$1.3K	732	732	+0	Yes	+$135	04-07 22:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$1.2K	1,244	0	+1,244	open	—	10-02 21:44
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$1.1K	576	576	+0	No	+$9	03-23 12:04
friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before september 30 2026	1	$1.1K	1,159	0	+1,159	No	+$46	09-17 10:03
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	2	$1.1K	541	541	+0	No	+$4	02-12 11:38
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	2	$1.1K	537	537	+0	No	+$14	02-11 07:31
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$1.0K	523	523	+0	Yes	+$25	02-09 00:33
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	2	$987	500	500	+0	No	+$7	01-25 21:24
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	1	$982	1,008	0	+1,008	Yes	+$26	07-07 17:49
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$539	562	0	+562	No	+$23	02-12 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 21:44:39	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,244	93¢	$1,156	0x53647c…
09-17 10:03:55	friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,159	96¢	$1,113	0x7d976b…
09-17 09:58:39	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	1,119	100¢	$1,115	0xe4dc1f…
08-31 15:05:43	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	1,119	96¢	$1,069	0xd760e9…
08-31 14:59:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	1,072	100¢	$1,071	0xc9c37c…
08-16 07:45:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,072	98¢	$1,055	0xbb2cd1…
08-16 07:34:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1,057	100¢	$1,054	0x528a0d…
07-25 08:51:22	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1,057	95¢	$1,008	0x1cce1d…
07-25 08:49:36	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1,013	100¢	$1,009	0x42d84a…
07-09 04:12:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1,013	99¢	$1,008	0xe03a1b…
07-07 17:49:46	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	1,008	97¢	$982	0xa138bf…
07-07 17:46:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	991	99¢	$982	0xf785f7…
07-06 19:32:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	991	98¢	$974	0xada152…
06-30 01:38:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	975	100¢	$974	0x14c0c7…
06-03 09:13:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	975	98¢	$952	0xe6f14c…
06-03 09:13:03	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,022	93¢	$951	0x1b0e0f…
04-29 11:52:12	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,022	93¢	$952	0xb99744…
04-29 11:31:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	954	100¢	$952	0xd9d5d4…
04-12 21:00:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	954	97¢	$925	0x8b72ff…
04-12 20:34:01	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	929	100¢	$926	0x0f5a6a…
04-10 07:40:49	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	929	77¢	$715	0x50194c…
04-09 15:37:47	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	730	98¢	$715	0xabece2…
04-07 22:43:37	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	731	97¢	$706	0x38856b…
04-07 22:38:27	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	732	96¢	$706	0xfc5419…
03-23 12:06:59	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	732	78¢	$571	0xd7a30d…
03-23 12:04:53	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	576	99¢	$572	0x9f02f9…
03-02 16:51:39	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	576	98¢	$563	0x293fdf…
02-12 11:46:41	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	562	96¢	$539	0x24d3ff…
02-12 11:38:09	will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	No	SELL	541	100¢	$540	0xcbb987…
02-11 07:34:01	will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	No	BUY	541	99¢	$536	0x8a515c…
02-11 07:31:41	will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	No	SELL	537	100¢	$536	0xb6b19b…
02-09 16:36:07	will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	No	BUY	537	97¢	$522	0x8c50f1…
02-09 00:33:53	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	SELL	523	100¢	$522	0xa5a669…
01-25 21:30:04	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	523	95¢	$497	0x13215a…
01-25 21:24:14	Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$497	0xa81d9e…
01-09 14:34:34	Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x4a638b…