Suspicious-Deer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.53K

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

0.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$288

Open exposure

$493

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-30 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

97% 0% $-6,522

Other

3% — —

Crypto

0% 17% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+484	$416	90¢	$438	+$22	06-30 08:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-59	$-54	94¢	$-55	$-1	06-30 08:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$6.3K	8,588	0	+8,588	Yes	$-6,272	04-29 15:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$416	484	0	+484	open	—	06-30 08:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$156	0	157	-157	open	—	06-30 08:28
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$103	0	104	-104	open	—	06-30 08:29
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	1	$103	0	103	-103	open	—	06-30 08:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	110	0	+110	Yes	$-100	04-16 14:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	$-100	04-16 14:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	04-15 13:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$54	0	59	-59	open	—	06-30 08:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	1	$50	85	0	+85	Yes	$-50	04-16 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$13	74	73	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$6	805	805	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$2	6	6	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-11 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-11 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-11 14:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 08:34:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	86¢	$58	0xf9c723…
06-30 08:32:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	416	86¢	$358	0x424b56…
06-30 08:31:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	59	91¢	$54	0xf0752d…
06-30 08:29:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0xdb461a…
06-30 08:28:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$156	0x38d3ee…
06-30 08:28:16	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x78f80a…
05-11 15:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xa63fa5…
05-11 15:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0be091…
05-11 15:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdf6ead…
05-11 15:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4d955e…
05-11 15:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x313c29…
05-11 15:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xca5fd3…
05-11 15:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xe5706b…
05-11 15:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x7a4db5…
05-11 15:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xe00029…
05-11 15:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe7ae23…
05-11 14:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa81586…
05-11 14:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe01721…
05-11 14:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	805	0¢	$1	0x077180…
05-11 14:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	805	1¢	$5	0x41ecdb…
04-29 15:14:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8,455	73¢	$6,172	0x35c40f…
04-16 14:24:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xf853d5…
04-16 14:23:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x3b7785…
04-16 14:22:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x70a198…
04-16 14:22:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x77c068…
04-15 13:21:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x29fc25…