Utter-Conference-Risk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.79K

Unrealized P&L

-$316

Hit rate

4.1%

Resolved

Trades

500

lifetime

Volume

$5.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$774

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 07-14 04:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

65% 15% -$1,864

Politics

26% 33% -$438

Crypto

9% 4% -$485

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+2,952	$473	18¢	$517	+$44	06-22 21:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+3,809	$501	6¢	$209	-$292	07-14 04:50
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+10,054	$88	0¢	$35	-$53	07-14 04:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+400	$28	3¢	$13	-$15	06-22 21:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	25	$1.3K	6,998	3,189	+3,809	open	—	07-14 04:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	78	$1.1K	46,556	0	+46,556	No	-$1,056	06-17 00:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	26	$689	3,657	705	+2,952	open	—	06-22 21:40
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	41	$410	4,891	2,939	+1,951	No	-$194	06-17 00:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	47	$396	17,992	0	+17,992	No	-$396	06-22 21:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	54	$291	15,794	3,333	+12,461	No	-$245	06-16 06:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	24	$226	3,702	444	+3,258	No	-$105	06-06 01:57
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	5	$127	3,076	0	+3,076	No	-$127	07-14 04:49
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	12	$122	5,023	0	+5,023	No	-$122	06-22 21:39
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	16	$88	10,054	0	+10,054	open	—	07-14 04:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	6	$61	3,094	0	+3,094	No	-$61	05-30 02:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	9	$57	2,709	0	+2,709	No	-$57	05-29 04:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	5	$57	4,384	0	+4,384	No	-$57	05-28 20:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$55	176	176	+0	No	-$2	06-04 21:33
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries	15	$49	633	278	+355	Golden State Valkyries	+$26	05-29 04:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?	7	$48	2,098	0	+2,098	No	-$48	05-30 22:11
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$47	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$47	06-22 21:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	17	$46	3,777	3,023	+754	No	+$9	05-29 18:46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	6	$44	222	222	-0	open	—	06-17 00:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	2	$43	222	18	+204	No	-$37	05-29 04:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?	6	$39	1,375	0	+1,375	No	-$39	05-30 02:32
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	4	$34	111	111	+0	open	—	06-17 00:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?	6	$29	3,180	0	+3,180	No	-$29	05-30 22:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	4	$29	2,399	0	+2,399	No	-$29	05-30 22:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	1	$28	400	0	+400	open	—	06-22 21:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	10	$27	5,885	0	+5,885	No	-$27	06-22 21:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$25	55	55	+0	Yes	+$1	05-29 17:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?	7	$22	1,876	0	+1,876	No	-$22	05-28 20:44
will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	5	$20	180	180	+0	No	+$3	06-16 12:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	3	$16	1,999	0	+1,999	No	-$16	05-28 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 04:52:20	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$1	0xbdf140…
07-14 04:52:16	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	211	1¢	$1	0xd2a94a…
07-14 04:51:40	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	888	1¢	$5	0xcaae80…
07-14 04:50:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xa8246e…
07-14 04:50:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xd6c8b3…
07-14 04:50:02	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x5fee41…
07-14 04:49:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	800	10¢	$80	0xf2abd9…
07-14 04:49:31	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	1,099	4¢	$46	0x18da49…
07-14 04:49:22	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	1,627	4¢	$67	0x1fb145…
07-14 04:49:11	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0x1aea63…
07-14 04:48:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x8eddb7…
07-14 04:48:37	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x344577…
07-14 00:49:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x382ce1…
06-22 21:40:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0x594f6c…
06-22 21:39:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x40106b…
06-22 21:39:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	600	14¢	$84	0xfe8ded…
06-22 21:39:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	800	4¢	$33	0x426fb4…
06-22 21:39:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x76b381…
06-22 21:39:02	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	Yes	BUY	2,722	0¢	$3	0x26c5e5…
06-22 21:38:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x7d859d…
06-22 21:38:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,595	2¢	$35	0x9e5118…
06-22 21:38:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	353	2¢	$8	0x9608cb…
06-22 21:38:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0x794493…
06-22 21:38:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x5c9821…
06-22 21:37:43	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$14	0x7a77ff…
06-22 21:37:37	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,300	1¢	$9	0xc2c75c…
06-17 00:25:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	355	1¢	$2	0xcd7512…
06-17 00:25:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$3	0x18aeae…
06-17 00:24:46	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	218	2¢	$4	0xfdb2fb…
06-17 00:24:28	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0xd0f554…
06-17 00:24:23	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	57	9¢	$5	0x68b7e6…
06-17 00:11:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x07c1f6…
06-17 00:10:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	888	1¢	$10	0x2d086b…
06-17 00:10:50	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$8	0x65bdfb…
06-16 12:45:09	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xe1f8f1…
06-16 12:34:49	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x7d0a10…
06-16 06:47:21	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,528	1¢	$18	0x92752e…
06-16 06:40:03	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xb61d60…
06-16 04:21:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x8052dc…
06-16 04:15:54	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x45a1fd…
06-16 01:38:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	988	1¢	$6	0x310125…
06-16 01:38:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0x6ae2a0…
06-16 00:47:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x134e0e…
06-16 00:39:24	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x08c0aa…
06-16 00:27:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x6be18f…
06-16 00:23:49	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xb10690…
06-15 23:47:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4fc3c9…
06-15 23:41:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x3890fc…
06-15 23:37:39	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xaa40a5…
06-15 23:37:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd54e34…
06-15 23:29:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x9ca000…
06-15 22:39:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x5d0a01…
06-15 22:38:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd71d2f…
06-15 22:23:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xc57fee…
06-15 22:21:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x523965…
06-15 21:24:12	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	143	6¢	$9	0x8c35cb…
06-15 21:02:09	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xd0d353…
06-15 19:55:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	888	1¢	$6	0x387d7a…
06-15 19:55:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x342858…
06-15 19:55:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$8	0x84395a…
06-15 19:54:22	will ethereum reach 2300 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	188	3¢	$6	0x4f2d95…
06-15 19:54:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x4d4452…
06-15 19:54:07	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	79	9¢	$7	0x7fa06f…
06-15 19:53:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	433	1¢	$3	0x5ccc56…
06-15 19:52:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1b93b1…
06-15 19:52:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$10	0x7c6e58…
06-15 19:52:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	87	9¢	$8	0x469f55…
06-15 19:52:07	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	57	15¢	$8	0x527be6…
06-15 19:51:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$7	0x62480e…
06-15 19:50:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0xfe1cba…
06-15 19:50:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xb81c85…
06-15 19:50:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x9c662e…
06-15 19:50:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	Yes	BUY	800	3¢	$21	0x4fe03d…
06-15 19:50:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0x5f5b57…
06-15 19:49:43	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xd818f6…
06-15 19:49:30	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xfec23c…
06-15 19:49:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x1a74b8…
06-15 19:35:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0x6a2d05…
06-15 19:35:13	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	687	1¢	$5	0xfb06cd…
06-15 19:34:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0xce4faa…
06-15 19:34:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xc50eaa…
06-15 19:34:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$10	0x169f2a…
06-15 19:34:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	800	3¢	$21	0x48cb33…
06-15 19:34:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,600	1¢	$31	0x4d3a68…
06-15 19:34:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x537fe4…
06-15 19:33:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$9	0xbc507a…
06-15 19:33:49	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x79bdd1…
06-15 19:33:43	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	80	11¢	$8	0x7e8891…
06-15 19:33:40	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0xaf5cb1…
06-15 19:33:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	111	16¢	$18	0x53f34f…
06-15 19:33:21	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$18	0x727c56…
06-15 19:31:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x31249e…
06-15 18:58:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x178b04…
06-15 18:58:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x55ba71…
06-15 18:58:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x490345…
06-15 18:58:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf25a24…
06-15 18:58:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x888f64…
06-15 18:57:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$5	0x3ab9cc…
06-15 18:57:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x23dba3…
06-15 18:57:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x313e42…