Valid-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

Trades

4,852

lifetime

Volume

$14.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.06K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 15:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$201

Other

36% 100% +$9

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

2% 75% $-349

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	90	$686.5K	449,372	240,000	+209,372	open	—	01-03 16:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	213	$611.0K	613,110	0	+613,110	open	—	04-09 01:29
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	400	$610.4K	620,381	0	+620,381	open	—	03-17 09:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	205	$592.5K	393,319	267,020	+126,299	open	—	03-01 01:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$590.8K	592,030	0	+592,030	open	—	04-07 08:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	115	$574.1K	559,917	32,713	+527,204	open	—	06-02 10:11
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	27	$571.2K	365,293	207,256	+158,037	open	—	01-30 14:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$426.8K	428,809	0	+428,809	open	—	04-27 03:29
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	33	$400.9K	322,059	83,726	+238,333	open	—	02-03 23:48
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	23	$367.3K	369,760	0	+369,760	open	—	01-04 00:16
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	7	$351.5K	0	351,867	-351,867	open	—	01-01 06:37
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	197	$290.6K	300,430	0	+300,430	open	—	01-28 08:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	344	$285.0K	264,504	24,208	+240,296	open	—	03-26 04:22
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	45	$272.1K	270,310	3,166	+267,144	open	—	06-19 02:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	8	$259.3K	260,470	0	+260,470	open	—	04-29 21:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	34	$244.7K	229,300	35,674	+193,626	open	—	05-27 00:27
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	40	$236.1K	204,554	32,427	+172,127	open	—	04-02 02:03
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	33	$229.9K	229,681	990	+228,691	open	—	06-17 23:57
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	79	$229.3K	232,315	200	+232,115	open	—	05-22 01:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$226.2K	227,135	0	+227,135	open	—	06-01 03:01
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$219.3K	220,000	0	+220,000	open	—	04-29 21:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	89	$214.6K	210,384	9,840	+200,544	open	—	05-23 03:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	63	$205.1K	146,007	72,553	+73,454	open	—	01-31 17:56
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	40	$191.9K	193,243	0	+193,243	open	—	05-12 11:43
will edgex launch a token in 2025	44	$189.6K	190,151	0	+190,151	open	—	01-01 23:52
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	22	$186.3K	146,111	40,500	+105,611	open	—	02-10 02:59
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	27	$185.5K	184,232	2,638	+181,594	open	—	07-07 19:33
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	30	$185.2K	185,677	0	+185,677	open	—	04-02 13:45
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	45	$180.2K	149,875	35,000	+114,875	open	—	07-01 11:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	15	$178.7K	179,394	0	+179,394	open	—	07-06 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:32:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	9,537	99¢	$9,480	0x7fb272…
07-14 15:44:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	400	50¢	$198	0x066509…
07-13 14:28:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	2,430	99¢	$2,406	0xd45a8b…
07-13 14:20:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	5,000	98¢	$4,900	0x24c715…
07-12 12:25:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,190	99¢	$2,179	0xe4d8ca…
07-12 12:01:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x179422…
07-12 11:59:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	489	100¢	$486	0x8f3cd0…
07-12 11:46:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x138670…
07-12 11:32:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x0b2741…
07-12 11:32:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x647b49…
07-12 11:11:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb5bd4f…
07-12 11:06:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xe7e94f…
07-12 10:18:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x764b50…
07-12 10:07:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	7,662	100¢	$7,624	0x39403a…
07-12 09:59:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	934	100¢	$929	0x1bde02…
07-12 09:40:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x917be9…
07-12 09:29:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a74f3…
07-12 09:18:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xeede61…
07-12 09:18:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5baa9d…
07-12 08:35:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,868	100¢	$1,859	0x1d4a3a…
07-12 08:27:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc40fdf…
07-12 08:22:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x2268b1…
07-12 08:13:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99e547…
07-12 07:55:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0xfbe33f…
07-12 07:39:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x383743…
07-12 07:34:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	560	100¢	$557	0x53eb1d…
07-12 07:18:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	7,288	100¢	$7,252	0x03e81f…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe88ff2…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbfd2c2…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbf8db1…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xac8c90…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x71aac0…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x5fedc7…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2b9239…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x102862…
07-12 06:51:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xcb05e2…
07-12 06:51:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x98c3d6…
07-12 06:51:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x73faf3…
07-12 06:51:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3252db…
07-12 06:51:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1f1e27…
07-12 06:51:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,437	100¢	$2,425	0x5dca2f…
07-11 02:33:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xc97619…
07-11 02:00:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	15,000	100¢	$14,970	0xfaad56…
07-11 01:45:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	11,464	100¢	$11,441	0xe85de9…
07-10 15:15:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	30,000	100¢	$29,940	0x039c50…
07-07 19:33:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	181,594	100¢	$181,412	0xec3f8e…
07-07 19:19:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	248	67¢	$167	0x8deb88…
07-07 19:19:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	140	67¢	$94	0x2668f4…
07-07 19:19:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	271	67¢	$183	0x2164f1…
07-07 18:34:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	660	69¢	$452	0x630207…
07-07 18:30:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0xbe96e5…
07-07 18:30:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	83	73¢	$61	0x15134c…
07-07 18:30:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	185	73¢	$135	0xf8aa4c…
07-07 18:30:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	185	73¢	$135	0xd2447c…
07-07 18:30:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	185	73¢	$135	0xc47b4b…
07-07 18:29:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	408	73¢	$297	0x845efe…
07-07 18:29:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	170	73¢	$124	0x7912e2…
07-07 18:29:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x602beb…
07-07 08:59:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	977	84¢	$820	0x76c1b5…
07-07 08:58:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x37982d…
07-07 08:58:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xb550c0…
07-07 08:57:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0x748fd5…
07-07 08:56:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	87	84¢	$73	0xffe018…
07-07 08:53:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	312	84¢	$262	0xa23b14…
07-07 08:52:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x5c4e4a…
07-07 08:51:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xd263ca…
07-07 08:49:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0xec2e77…
07-07 08:49:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x01727d…
07-07 08:48:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x2150b0…
07-07 08:48:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x89231e…
07-07 08:47:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	343	84¢	$288	0x605912…
07-07 06:49:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0x6c9549…
07-06 02:55:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	126,357	100¢	$126,231	0x6c2e86…
07-06 00:49:46	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0x4bfbaf…
07-06 00:41:26	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	1,790	100¢	$1,787	0x8c6cd1…
07-06 00:41:14	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	1,215	100¢	$1,213	0xe8be84…
07-06 00:40:40	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xabd02d…
07-06 00:39:41	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x1037a3…
07-06 00:39:08	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	750	100¢	$748	0x05f1c6…
07-06 00:38:59	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf9e67e…
07-06 00:38:58	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x12d6cb…
07-06 00:35:17	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x50b78b…
07-04 01:01:59	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	72	95¢	$69	0x726822…
07-03 23:35:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	323	100¢	$322	0xef2c2b…
07-03 23:35:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xe84f7f…
07-03 23:35:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	3,920	100¢	$3,912	0x0ef4a1…
07-03 23:35:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	3,110	100¢	$3,103	0x050151…
07-03 23:34:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb08e5f…
07-03 23:34:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	3,728	100¢	$3,721	0x61a127…
07-03 23:34:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1e730e…
07-03 23:34:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x049f30…
07-03 23:34:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d1531…
07-03 23:34:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x4ccb10…
07-03 23:34:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	517	100¢	$516	0x41c361…
07-03 20:08:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xdd2bd4…
07-03 19:54:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	42	78¢	$33	0x7392c6…
07-03 19:50:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x85e84b…
07-03 19:45:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	58	76¢	$44	0x3baac3…
07-03 19:45:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0x309bf9…
07-03 19:08:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	10,083	82¢	$8,280	0xc917b0…