Valid-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

Trades

4,918

lifetime

Volume

$15.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.07K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-03 16:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$201

Other

36% 100% +$9

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

2% 75% $-349

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	90	$686.5K	449,372	240,000	+209,372	open	—	01-03 16:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	213	$611.0K	613,110	0	+613,110	open	—	04-09 01:29
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	400	$610.4K	620,381	0	+620,381	open	—	03-17 09:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	205	$592.5K	393,319	267,020	+126,299	open	—	03-01 01:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$590.8K	592,030	0	+592,030	open	—	04-07 08:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	115	$574.1K	559,917	32,713	+527,204	open	—	06-02 10:11
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	27	$571.2K	365,293	207,256	+158,037	open	—	01-30 14:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$426.8K	428,809	0	+428,809	open	—	04-27 03:29
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	33	$400.9K	322,059	83,726	+238,333	open	—	02-03 23:48
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	23	$367.3K	369,760	0	+369,760	open	—	01-04 00:16
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	7	$351.5K	0	351,867	-351,867	open	—	01-01 06:37
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	197	$290.6K	300,430	0	+300,430	open	—	01-28 08:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	344	$285.0K	264,504	24,208	+240,296	open	—	03-26 04:22
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	45	$272.1K	270,310	3,166	+267,144	open	—	06-19 02:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	8	$259.3K	260,470	0	+260,470	open	—	04-29 21:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	34	$244.7K	229,300	35,674	+193,626	open	—	05-27 00:27
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	40	$236.1K	204,554	32,427	+172,127	open	—	04-02 02:03
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	33	$229.9K	229,681	990	+228,691	open	—	06-17 23:57
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	79	$229.3K	232,315	200	+232,115	open	—	05-22 01:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$226.2K	227,135	0	+227,135	open	—	06-01 03:01
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$219.3K	220,000	0	+220,000	open	—	04-29 21:47
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	26	$215.4K	216,051	0	+216,051	open	—	07-21 16:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	89	$214.6K	210,384	9,840	+200,544	open	—	05-23 03:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	63	$205.1K	146,007	72,553	+73,454	open	—	01-31 17:56
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	40	$191.9K	193,243	0	+193,243	open	—	05-12 11:43
will edgex launch a token in 2025	44	$189.6K	190,151	0	+190,151	open	—	01-01 23:52
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	22	$186.3K	146,111	40,500	+105,611	open	—	02-10 02:59
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	27	$185.5K	184,232	2,638	+181,594	open	—	07-07 19:33
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	30	$185.2K	185,677	0	+185,677	open	—	04-02 13:45
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	45	$180.2K	149,875	35,000	+114,875	open	—	07-01 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 16:08:30	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	3,251	99¢	$3,234	0xa80f4d…
08-03 14:55:39	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	3,000	97¢	$2,904	0xbf46a9…
08-03 14:52:56	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$955	0x68de24…
08-03 14:51:24	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$971	0xb290a9…
08-03 12:51:38	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	180	91¢	$164	0x3a8c80…
08-03 10:25:23	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	2,876	93¢	$2,686	0x30a616…
08-03 08:13:59	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$959	0x658d39…
08-03 08:12:41	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xef5b34…
08-03 06:58:24	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	167	96¢	$161	0x0b6b6a…
08-03 06:54:45	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	222	96¢	$214	0xe6acff…
08-03 06:49:54	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	111	96¢	$107	0x51ee99…
08-03 06:30:50	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	1,300	97¢	$1,261	0x2a4349…
08-03 06:28:23	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x39067b…
08-03 06:27:41	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0x2d67f5…
08-01 03:29:17	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	858	35¢	$300	0x175340…
08-01 03:19:06	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	142	35¢	$50	0x08625d…
08-01 02:19:51	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	315	73¢	$230	0x23847a…
08-01 02:11:51	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	623	73¢	$455	0xec0dc3…
08-01 02:11:51	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xbfdcbd…
08-01 02:11:48	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x1ccbf9…
08-01 00:27:38	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10,385	100¢	$10,343	0xa16338…
07-31 23:44:44	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x254fbf…
07-31 23:40:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xa54161…
07-31 23:31:17	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x42122a…
07-31 23:11:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	106	99¢	$106	0x4520cf…
07-31 22:40:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2,857	99¢	$2,837	0xfc143e…
07-31 22:38:09	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2,143	99¢	$2,128	0xb22bb7…
07-31 22:33:36	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0xb8534e…
07-31 22:27:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x44d708…
07-31 22:27:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x334c70…
07-31 22:27:15	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x723991…
07-31 22:27:14	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	5,021	99¢	$4,986	0x3fd543…
07-31 21:10:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcaadd3…
07-31 21:10:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x7d890f…
07-31 21:07:20	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xb197a8…
07-31 21:06:42	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	369	99¢	$366	0x9569ea…
07-31 21:04:15	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbcbfdc…
07-31 21:00:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2,139	99¢	$2,124	0xcaa6a3…
07-31 20:59:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	545	99¢	$541	0x969a2d…
07-31 20:50:17	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2c7830…
07-27 01:19:10	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	BUY	1,470	96¢	$1,406	0x7f13c6…
07-21 16:27:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	30,387	100¢	$30,326	0xd17821…
07-21 03:56:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	941	100¢	$938	0x2f14a3…
07-21 03:56:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xb7c5d3…
07-21 03:52:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x9456f0…
07-21 03:50:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x355ba0…
07-21 03:46:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xef94d3…
07-21 03:45:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	433	100¢	$432	0x46ed3a…
07-21 03:43:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x017f65…
07-21 03:41:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,333	100¢	$3,323	0xa7ba7c…
07-21 03:40:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	90,673	100¢	$90,401	0xcd7f46…
07-21 03:40:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xab3cc7…
07-21 03:39:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	31,534	100¢	$31,439	0x62c2b5…
07-21 02:54:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1c3927…
07-21 02:53:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,988	0x63280c…
07-21 02:44:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	25,000	100¢	$24,900	0xc2eee7…
07-21 02:40:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x14819c…
07-21 02:32:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70c274…
07-21 02:21:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0x68beea…
07-21 02:20:30	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x32de1b…
07-21 02:16:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	4,492	100¢	$4,475	0x5594a8…
07-21 02:09:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x0c7825…
07-21 02:08:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xb9f1fb…
07-21 02:03:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0xa4104d…
07-21 02:01:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6,980	100¢	$6,952	0xfea695…
07-21 01:57:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	4,466	100¢	$4,448	0xbf0c78…
07-20 15:32:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	9,537	99¢	$9,480	0x7fb272…
07-14 15:44:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	400	50¢	$198	0x066509…
07-13 14:28:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	2,430	99¢	$2,406	0xd45a8b…
07-13 14:20:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	5,000	98¢	$4,900	0x24c715…
07-12 12:25:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,190	99¢	$2,179	0xe4d8ca…
07-12 12:01:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x179422…
07-12 11:59:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	489	100¢	$486	0x8f3cd0…
07-12 11:46:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x138670…
07-12 11:32:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x0b2741…
07-12 11:32:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x647b49…
07-12 11:11:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb5bd4f…
07-12 11:06:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xe7e94f…
07-12 10:18:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x764b50…
07-12 10:07:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	7,662	100¢	$7,624	0x39403a…
07-12 09:59:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	934	100¢	$929	0x1bde02…
07-12 09:40:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x917be9…
07-12 09:29:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a74f3…
07-12 09:18:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xeede61…
07-12 09:18:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5baa9d…
07-12 08:35:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,868	100¢	$1,859	0x1d4a3a…
07-12 08:27:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc40fdf…
07-12 08:22:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x2268b1…
07-12 08:13:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99e547…
07-12 07:55:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0xfbe33f…
07-12 07:39:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x383743…
07-12 07:34:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	560	100¢	$557	0x53eb1d…
07-12 07:18:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	7,288	100¢	$7,252	0x03e81f…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe88ff2…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbfd2c2…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbf8db1…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xac8c90…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x71aac0…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x5fedc7…
07-12 06:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2b9239…