Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,255

lifetime

Volume

$31.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$7.30K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-14 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$40,610

Other

29% 100% +$67,014

Crypto

4% 100% +$2,959

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	810	$8.93M	7,437,838	1,515,430	+5,922,408	Yes	+$18,258	04-08 08:15
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	131	$3.30M	3,302,508	0	+3,302,508	Yes	+$3,303	03-25 13:22
netanyahu out by march 31 854	656	$2.11M	2,128,736	0	+2,128,736	No	+$21,886	03-29 17:52
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	365	$1.78M	1,787,628	0	+1,787,628	No	+$5,363	03-11 06:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	759	$1.72M	1,738,516	886	+1,737,631	Yes	+$18,419	03-12 09:10
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	18	$1.15M	1,155,894	0	+1,155,894	Yes	+$1,156	06-06 07:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.15M	1,154,429	0	+1,154,429	No	+$2,959	06-02 04:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.10M	1,100,000	0	+1,100,000	Yes	+$1,100	05-09 18:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$996.7K	997,658	0	+997,658	Yes	+$998	04-09 18:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	232	$959.1K	961,511	0	+961,511	Yes	+$2,435	02-01 21:35
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	15	$943.9K	944,848	0	+944,848	Yes	+$945	04-19 12:33
trump out as president by march 31	124	$915.9K	919,445	0	+919,445	No	+$3,563	03-29 20:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	73	$878.0K	886,663	0	+886,663	Yes	+$8,655	01-26 22:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	265	$840.9K	846,174	0	+846,174	Yes	+$5,310	06-14 10:34
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	84	$785.5K	786,287	0	+786,287	No	+$786	05-22 20:15
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	40	$732.5K	734,666	0	+734,666	No	+$2,136	04-30 03:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	64	$519.2K	522,115	0	+522,115	Yes	+$2,943	05-27 22:42
will trump visit china by march 31	55	$496.1K	498,812	0	+498,812	No	+$2,679	03-29 21:16
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	36	$300.0K	300,330	0	+300,330	No	+$300	05-29 05:21
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	41	$300.0K	300,271	0	+300,271	No	+$300	05-22 15:44
Trump out as President by April 30?	87	$259.6K	261,003	0	+261,003	No	+$1,380	04-24 05:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	37	$251.3K	252,093	0	+252,093	No	+$756	05-26 14:53
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	82	$250.2K	250,930	0	+250,930	No	+$777	03-29 19:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	75	$213.3K	216,488	0	+216,488	No	+$3,181	06-14 15:37
Trump out as President by June 30?	23	$99.3K	99,999	0	+99,999	No	+$700	06-14 19:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	128	$54.7K	54,871	0	+54,871	No	+$165	04-16 17:36
will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	25	$7.1K	7,082	0	+7,082	No	+$21	03-12 08:41
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	12	$6.3K	6,308	0	+6,308	No	+$52	04-27 03:11
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	3	$6.2K	6,208	0	+6,208	Yes	+$12	03-29 14:06
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$3.3K	3,329	0	+3,329	Yes	+$47	04-26 07:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 19:51:39	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	22,377	99¢	$22,221	0x095d19…
06-14 19:50:28	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x40029f…
06-14 18:21:49	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x4772d7…
06-14 18:12:39	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	3,143	99¢	$3,121	0xd65265…
06-14 17:33:31	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2bf8e0…
06-14 16:36:40	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1,429	99¢	$1,419	0xeea36b…
06-14 16:31:03	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	5,143	99¢	$5,107	0xa01621…
06-14 16:13:51	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1,061	99¢	$1,054	0xea2ce3…
06-14 15:37:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0x85da6d…
06-14 15:35:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6,000	99¢	$5,946	0xb45fb1…
06-14 15:11:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x672705…
06-14 14:51:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc86bf8…
06-14 14:49:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xb17097…
06-14 14:33:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	2,778	99¢	$2,753	0x656c9a…
06-14 14:29:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	11,111	99¢	$11,011	0x09857f…
06-14 14:27:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	333	99¢	$330	0xc415da…
06-14 14:27:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	3,889	99¢	$3,854	0xef8213…
06-14 14:26:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	4,778	99¢	$4,735	0x375d05…
06-14 14:23:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	4,211	99¢	$4,173	0xd5bd2a…
06-14 11:22:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	33,333	99¢	$33,066	0x30b788…
06-14 10:34:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	376	99¢	$374	0x4dbc62…
06-14 10:32:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x343cb3…
06-14 10:30:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa9eba1…
06-14 10:29:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	99¢	$1,657	0xfb2540…
06-14 10:22:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$398	0x1f55cf…
06-14 10:21:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0xa800d4…
06-14 09:50:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xa5e302…
06-14 09:48:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x0e94aa…
06-14 09:47:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	293	99¢	$292	0x37fb31…
06-14 09:44:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x27dae8…
06-14 09:30:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x60ea74…
06-14 09:30:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xf709fc…
06-14 09:28:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xea6e23…
06-14 09:25:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	317	99¢	$315	0x9fd69e…
06-14 09:20:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x70ff3b…
06-14 09:20:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	903	99¢	$898	0x721953…
06-14 09:13:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x326498…
06-14 09:12:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85cd2c…
06-14 09:09:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8d7fb9…
06-14 08:59:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	99¢	$828	0xa2c859…
06-14 08:57:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e3680…
06-14 08:31:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,587	99¢	$1,577	0xfa5058…
06-14 08:24:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xdb9d1c…
06-14 08:03:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x430cfe…
06-14 07:01:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x5061a8…
06-14 06:50:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	99¢	$828	0x69c64e…
06-14 06:49:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xb5207c…
06-14 06:45:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x09ee7b…
06-14 06:41:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0x96cf3b…
06-14 06:38:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0xcce9c6…
06-14 06:37:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x7ff235…
06-14 06:32:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	290	99¢	$288	0xfb25de…
06-14 06:26:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	375	99¢	$373	0xefbab4…
06-14 06:26:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9625e0…
06-14 06:26:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0xb93936…
06-14 06:11:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0x890bf9…
06-14 06:11:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30,798	99¢	$30,614	0x44f856…
06-14 05:50:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	99¢	$331	0x7f1673…
06-14 05:47:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x18d8a2…
06-14 04:51:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xbe8507…
06-14 04:47:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	99¢	$3,313	0x6d6b9c…
06-14 04:41:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x9f3b68…
06-14 04:36:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,067	99¢	$1,060	0x662f50…
06-14 04:19:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	253	99¢	$252	0x3a55ae…
06-14 04:11:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x307c1d…
06-14 03:55:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	99¢	$1,657	0x537d86…
06-14 03:48:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8265be…
06-14 03:43:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	317	99¢	$315	0x555687…
06-14 03:36:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaebbce…
06-14 03:35:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8e6b65…
06-14 03:34:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3db6fc…
06-14 03:33:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x699f29…
06-14 03:14:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xba1872…
06-14 02:53:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x6346e1…
06-14 00:59:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5c9373…
06-14 00:56:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x749954…
06-14 00:51:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xfa8f9e…
06-14 00:36:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x96ac30…
06-13 21:40:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x098c75…
06-13 21:36:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	478	99¢	$475	0x09d388…
06-13 21:26:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xad9d2a…
06-13 21:03:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe525fa…
06-13 20:45:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x55d0f6…
06-13 20:25:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x38a35f…
06-13 20:11:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe5fa53…
06-13 20:10:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$398	0x4cd497…
06-13 20:08:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,333	99¢	$8,283	0x838fbc…
06-13 20:03:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x41aa50…
06-13 19:56:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x3c8252…
06-13 19:51:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xeadb6c…
06-13 19:32:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x993f59…
06-13 19:28:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,932	99¢	$1,920	0xb4ffac…
06-13 19:25:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,587	99¢	$1,577	0x76465e…
06-13 19:11:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	595	99¢	$591	0x8be4aa…
06-13 19:05:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xed7305…
06-13 18:48:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	484	99¢	$481	0x5ce9df…
06-13 18:01:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0x1c3fa8…
06-13 17:58:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,055	99¢	$3,037	0x779506…
06-13 17:47:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,411	99¢	$3,391	0xe27e49…
06-13 17:45:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x2d17a1…