Realized P&L
+$48.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.63K
Hit rate
95.1%
Resolved
249
Trades
5,698
lifetime
Volume
$6.67M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.17K
Open exposure
$299.7K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-26 15:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
71% 99% +$41,359
Politics
21% 96% +$9,502
Crypto
6% 97% +$415
Tech
1% 92% -$3,443
Sports
1% 100% +$343
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +61,805 $58,986 98¢ $60.6K +$1,614 09-21 18:37
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +60,107 $56,674 97¢ $58.3K +$1,599 09-18 10:08
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +36,922 $32,066 97¢ $35.7K +$3,656 05-12 06:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +30,004 $29,045 97¢ $29.2K +$164 10-14 14:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? No +24,574 $24,352 100¢ $24.5K +$160 10-11 04:18
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +22,222 $20,711 97¢ $21.6K +$844 09-18 10:08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +22,222 $21,011 96¢ $21.4K +$389 10-12 12:53
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +11,111 $10,967 99¢ $11.0K +$83 10-04 15:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +11,111 $9,889 88¢ $9.7K -$167 10-13 00:49
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +9,081 $8,817 97¢ $8.8K +$32 10-11 20:19
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +8,635 $8,194 91¢ $7.9K -$298 10-08 22:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +5,588 $5,265 94¢ $5.3K -$12 10-26 12:08
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +3,470 $3,297 91¢ $3.2K -$139 10-14 17:53
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2,272 -$2,179 98¢ $-2216 -$37 08-20 07:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +291 $279 98¢ $285 +$6 10-07 14:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$45 98¢ $0 +$45 05-16 00:45
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +0 $336 96¢ $0 -$336 07-06 18:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +0 -$1,030 100¢ $0 +$1,030 09-17 04:11