Realized P&L
+$23.4K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved
55
Trades
5,129
lifetime
Volume
$7.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.39K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-28 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Politics
56%
96%
+$12,940
Other
29%
94%
+$7,525
Sports
6%
100%
+$430
Crypto
4%
100%
+$1,060
Tech
4%
86%
+$1,453
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 24 | $623.9K | 324,524 | 300,000 | +24,524 | Yes | +$25 | 05-09 17:51 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 344 | $472.3K | 215,987 | 257,000 | -41,013 | No | +$175 | 05-11 03:08 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | 180 | $421.8K | 427,914 | 0 | +427,914 | No | +$6,153 | 04-20 13:07 |
| will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | 3 | $324.9K | 325,200 | 0 | +325,200 | Yes | +$325 | 07-08 02:26 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 68 | $313.7K | 314,950 | 0 | +314,950 | Yes | +$1,275 | 04-07 19:22 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 11 | $312.0K | 313,096 | 0 | +313,096 | No | +$1,054 | 06-02 05:27 |
| israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7 | 1 | $299.7K | 300,000 | 0 | +300,000 | Yes | +$300 | 06-07 19:51 |
| will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165 | 8 | $299.7K | 300,000 | 0 | +300,000 | No | +$300 | 04-06 21:57 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 226 | $299.7K | 300,000 | 0 | +300,000 | No | +$300 | 04-04 19:02 |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? | 13 | $229.9K | 230,121 | 0 | +230,121 | Yes | +$230 | 05-19 00:24 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 96 | $226.1K | 227,000 | 0 | +227,000 | No | +$908 | 07-28 16:26 |
| will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15 | 24 | $215.5K | 215,699 | 0 | +215,699 | No | +$216 | 03-19 20:21 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 86 | $205.0K | 206,887 | 0 | +206,887 | Yes | +$1,936 | 05-11 14:16 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | 5 | $204.4K | 204,839 | 0 | +204,839 | Yes | +$410 | 04-02 12:24 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | 21 | $199.8K | 200,000 | 0 | +200,000 | Yes | +$200 | 05-04 06:10 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 341 | $173.8K | 175,002 | 0 | +175,002 | No | +$1,175 | 06-16 18:19 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926 | 281 | $168.5K | 163,688 | 6,578 | +157,111 | No | +$1,625 | 03-22 03:28 |
| will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026 | 292 | $163.4K | 164,606 | 0 | +164,606 | No | +$1,162 | 03-22 02:23 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 40 | $156.8K | 156,997 | 0 | +156,997 | Yes | +$157 | 03-12 15:55 |
| us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895 | 69 | $136.0K | 75,954 | 61,536 | +14,418 | No | -$534 | 04-11 10:22 |
| Trump kiss by May 31? | 1 | $111.1K | 111,200 | 0 | +111,200 | Yes | +$111 | 05-21 13:02 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 47 | $108.6K | 109,348 | 0 | +109,348 | No | +$772 | 03-22 08:48 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 104 | $104.4K | 104,482 | 0 | +104,482 | Yes | +$104 | 07-20 01:15 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | 77 | $102.0K | 103,016 | 0 | +103,016 | Yes | +$973 | 06-12 15:56 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 20 | $100.0K | 100,131 | 0 | +100,131 | Yes | +$100 | 06-18 00:16 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 19 | $99.9K | 100,000 | 0 | +100,000 | No | +$100 | 07-28 03:36 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1 | $99.9K | 100,000 | 0 | +100,000 | No | +$100 | 06-16 18:35 |
| will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000 | 2 | $79.9K | 80,000 | 0 | +80,000 | No | +$80 | 06-19 14:31 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | 21 | $79.4K | 79,813 | 0 | +79,813 | No | +$367 | 06-23 16:11 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 11 | $76.3K | 76,418 | 0 | +76,418 | No | +$76 | 03-18 20:16 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||