Bright-Moment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$189

Unrealized P&L

+$1.41K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,644

lifetime

Volume

$6.02M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.30K

Open exposure

$278.1K

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-23 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% 100% +$25

Other

26% 100% +$165

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+158,790	$157,723	100¢	$158.6K	+$908	06-16 18:19
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	+79,813	$79,446	100¢	$79.7K	+$287	06-23 16:11
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	+39,737	$39,477	100¢	$39.7K	+$220	06-21 07:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	24	$623.9K	324,524	300,000	+24,524	Yes	+$25	05-09 17:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	340	$472.0K	215,654	257,000	-41,346	open	—	05-11 03:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	180	$421.8K	427,914	0	+427,914	open	—	04-20 13:07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	68	$313.7K	314,950	0	+314,950	open	—	04-07 19:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$312.0K	313,096	0	+313,096	open	—	06-02 05:27
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	8	$299.7K	300,000	0	+300,000	open	—	04-06 21:57
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$299.7K	300,000	0	+300,000	open	—	06-07 19:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	226	$299.7K	300,000	0	+300,000	open	—	04-04 19:02
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	13	$229.9K	230,121	0	+230,121	open	—	05-19 00:24
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	24	$215.5K	215,699	0	+215,699	open	—	03-19 20:21
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	86	$205.0K	206,887	0	+206,887	open	—	05-11 14:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	5	$204.4K	204,839	0	+204,839	open	—	04-02 12:24
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	281	$168.5K	163,688	6,578	+157,111	open	—	03-22 03:28
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	14	$164.6K	164,722	0	+164,722	Yes	+$165	05-04 05:50
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	292	$163.4K	164,606	0	+164,606	open	—	03-22 02:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	311	$161.3K	162,364	0	+162,364	open	—	06-16 18:19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	40	$156.8K	156,997	0	+156,997	open	—	03-12 15:55
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	69	$136.0K	75,954	61,536	+14,418	open	—	04-11 10:22
Trump kiss by May 31?	1	$111.1K	111,200	0	+111,200	open	—	05-21 13:02
trump out as president by march 31	47	$108.6K	109,348	0	+109,348	open	—	03-22 08:48
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	76	$102.0K	102,949	0	+102,949	open	—	06-12 15:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	20	$100.0K	100,131	0	+100,131	open	—	06-18 00:16
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	2	$79.9K	80,000	0	+80,000	open	—	06-19 14:31
Trump out as President by June 30?	21	$79.4K	79,813	0	+79,813	open	—	06-23 16:11
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	11	$76.3K	76,418	0	+76,418	open	—	03-18 20:16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	37	$67.4K	67,626	0	+67,626	open	—	05-28 18:51
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	66	$63.7K	63,819	0	+63,819	open	—	05-28 10:40
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	55	$62.5K	62,928	0	+62,928	open	—	06-21 07:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	27	$57.7K	58,803	0	+58,803	open	—	04-13 00:34
will iran strike uae again in march	2	$53.6K	53,673	0	+53,673	open	—	04-08 23:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 16:11:07	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	34,663	100¢	$34,525	0xbfff11…
06-23 13:37:58	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	620	100¢	$618	0x0617e1…
06-23 13:28:26	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	630	100¢	$627	0xd339fd…
06-23 13:23:07	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	620	100¢	$618	0x26c7b1…
06-23 13:16:53	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	630	100¢	$627	0x3c538d…
06-23 13:15:26	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc4dc1e…
06-23 13:10:50	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x00943d…
06-21 08:14:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4,184	99¢	$4,138	0xf8087e…
06-21 08:14:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,945	0xd7d7a7…
06-21 08:13:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x476b18…
06-21 08:12:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	800	99¢	$791	0x88d204…
06-21 08:09:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	769	99¢	$759	0xe25b17…
06-21 07:28:32	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1,969	100¢	$1,959	0x488b0d…
06-21 02:47:07	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,950	0x2f72e0…
06-20 10:53:58	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	10,701	100¢	$10,647	0x49429a…
06-20 10:51:32	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	19,299	99¢	$19,203	0xd571a2…
06-20 08:18:04	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1,704	99¢	$1,694	0x4b5d64…
06-19 14:31:25	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	30,000	100¢	$29,970	0x2f5e54…
06-19 14:16:32	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	6,521	100¢	$6,488	0x098ea1…
06-19 14:16:13	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x33f661…
06-19 14:12:22	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2,847	100¢	$2,833	0x3f4b4a…
06-19 12:58:25	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x7df18e…
06-19 12:48:50	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4c0c01…
06-19 12:24:10	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0xeac3b5…
06-19 10:40:17	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3465fe…
06-19 10:39:41	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x399f93…
06-19 10:39:23	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x1a10c3…
06-19 10:39:01	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xa4dcf2…
06-19 10:38:28	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8d7ecc…
06-19 10:36:35	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0x2b3fc5…
06-18 19:48:26	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x33dd73…
06-18 19:47:08	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	2,243	99¢	$2,222	0x9e5301…
06-18 13:57:34	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe13a76…
06-18 13:06:47	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2a64b2…
06-18 12:39:29	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4784f5…
06-18 11:54:44	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xdf6acb…
06-18 11:54:28	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe98a9c…
06-18 10:56:44	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbd9400…
06-18 10:24:35	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x711aad…
06-18 09:19:53	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd57cf1…
06-18 09:19:44	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca087e…
06-18 07:15:07	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x385c61…
06-18 07:10:49	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f5bf3…
06-18 06:56:58	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb0b0b0…
06-18 06:21:07	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe541d1…
06-18 05:46:41	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd840fb…
06-18 05:42:10	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x27e778…
06-18 05:37:13	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe52805…
06-18 05:22:14	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	230	99¢	$228	0x1f0da3…
06-18 05:18:37	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x3b4d6b…
06-18 04:59:41	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc665cb…
06-18 04:55:49	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdd1b40…
06-18 03:08:56	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	281	99¢	$279	0x762661…
06-18 02:18:58	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc1d9ea…
06-18 02:07:19	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x271a2c…
06-18 02:05:01	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x867cb7…
06-18 01:19:11	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xc7cb24…
06-18 01:03:38	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x47a38f…
06-18 01:03:23	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0xe077bd…
06-18 01:02:59	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	286	99¢	$284	0xa54df1…
06-18 00:55:56	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2,327	99¢	$2,311	0x7abd95…
06-18 00:16:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xd2ad2c…
06-17 23:22:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	7,331	100¢	$7,324	0x18253d…
06-17 23:21:59	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	50,000	100¢	$49,950	0xaa0be0…
06-17 23:21:53	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xd905c0…
06-17 23:21:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x64fb6a…
06-17 23:20:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd6fa21…
06-17 23:20:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2660fc…
06-17 23:20:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x476764…
06-17 23:19:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x868fcb…
06-17 23:19:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	4,460	100¢	$4,456	0x30a778…
06-17 23:18:59	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe8cce3…
06-17 23:17:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9bfd4f…
06-17 23:17:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x698b4a…
06-17 23:17:05	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc31133…
06-17 23:16:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x858174…
06-17 23:16:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xeffe5b…
06-17 23:16:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1cbee4…
06-17 23:16:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xea1df2…
06-17 23:16:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x653689…
06-17 23:16:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	14,148	100¢	$14,134	0xed637b…
06-17 16:52:10	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1,776	99¢	$1,763	0xe5ea21…
06-17 15:47:19	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	4,170	99¢	$4,141	0x68759b…
06-17 10:44:32	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	306	99¢	$304	0x51753d…
06-17 09:53:08	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xc3a503…
06-17 09:36:05	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd943dd…
06-17 08:59:10	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ad0f5…
06-17 08:52:04	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1e4c45…
06-17 07:00:10	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xadb7f6…
06-17 06:44:34	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	8,876	99¢	$8,813	0x976274…
06-17 06:14:11	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	5,133	99¢	$5,097	0x4fd835…
06-17 02:43:04	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0x50bc0e…
06-17 02:14:25	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5df8e9…
06-16 18:19:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	20,017	99¢	$19,877	0x6bcfec…
06-16 18:14:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2f4c7c…
06-16 18:07:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6307c3…
06-16 18:07:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0xaef6c4…
06-16 18:07:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$77	0xa64221…
06-16 18:07:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x70601c…
06-16 18:06:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfc805d…