(anonymous) 0x0d15e2…a2c454 Create alert
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$45.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.1K
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved
152
Trades
4,487
lifetime
Volume
$3.24M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$721
Open exposure
$272.8K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-06 21:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Politics
59% 76% +$107,415
Other
36% 63% -$102,300
Crypto
3% 67% -$22,275
Tech
2% 12% -$28,122
Sports
0% 100% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -58,253 -$55,665 98¢ $-57321 -$1,655 09-13 02:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +50,000 $46,500 97¢ $48.7K +$2,200 09-29 21:47
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +40,000 $36,000 92¢ $37.0K +$1,000 10-20 09:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +30,000 $28,830 98¢ $29.5K +$675 09-16 17:38
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +29,403 $24,002 96¢ $28.1K +$4,078 11-04 04:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +15,000 $9,250 86¢ $13.0K +$3,725 11-03 22:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +10,390 $9,521 98¢ $10.2K +$697 10-27 01:28
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 No +10,000 $8,990 98¢ $9.8K +$785 08-17 02:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +10,000 $9,680 98¢ $9.8K +$95 10-29 17:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +10,000 $8,500 92¢ $9.2K +$750 10-28 18:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -73,945 -$17,007 11¢ $-7764 +$9,243 07-16 17:10
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,760 97¢ $4.9K +$98 10-14 22:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $3,700 88¢ $4.4K +$675 08-04 02:15
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2,978 $2,531 96¢ $2.9K +$325 05-25 14:12
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +5,300 $2,865 5¢ $265 -$2,600 08-03 21:26
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No +103 $84 89¢ $91 +$7 05-20 01:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +50 $16 62¢ $31 +$15 11-03 05:35