Distinct-Belief — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.70K

Unrealized P&L

+$789

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$416.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$5.20K

Open exposure

$12.8K

1 position

First seen

2026-05-26

last 08-01 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

69% 100% +$2,906

Politics

29% 100% +$2,755

Tech

2% 100% +$40

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+13,043	$12,000	98¢	$12.8K	+$789	08-01 19:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$98.0K	98,315	+98,315	No	+$295	05-26 08:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	14	$49.4K	50,000	+50,000	No	+$550	05-26 08:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	43	$49.4K	50,000	+50,000	No	+$600	05-26 10:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$39.0K	40,000	+40,000	No	+$1,000	06-02 21:43
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$38.9K	39,000	+39,000	No	+$118	07-28 07:56
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	3	$22.3K	23,278	+23,278	No	+$975	07-06 08:22
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	2	$22.1K	22,292	+22,292	No	+$156	07-28 07:30
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	1	$21.7K	21,812	+21,812	No	+$92	07-06 07:44
iran leadership change by august 31 669	1	$13.9K	14,495	+14,495	No	+$595	08-01 19:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$12.0K	13,043	+13,043	open	—	08-01 19:06
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	1	$8.7K	9,017	+9,017	Yes	+$276	07-28 07:37
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	1	$7.7K	7,939	+7,939	No	+$243	07-28 07:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$7.3K	7,520	+7,520	No	+$196	06-02 21:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$7.3K	7,349	+7,349	Yes	+$40	07-28 07:55
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	1	$7.0K	7,172	+7,172	No	+$219	07-28 07:09
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	2	$5.4K	5,591	+5,591	No	+$147	07-28 07:06
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	1	$3.0K	3,020	+3,020	No	+$43	07-28 07:15
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	1	$2.9K	3,104	+3,104	Yes	+$155	07-28 07:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 19:06:42	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13,043	92¢	$12,000	0xa876a5…
08-01 19:03:06	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	14,495	96¢	$13,900	0xe2b027…
07-28 07:56:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	39,000	100¢	$38,882	0x5d7157…
07-28 07:55:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,349	99¢	$7,309	0x7b2f94…
07-28 07:37:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	BUY	9,017	97¢	$8,741	0xf4193a…
07-28 07:36:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	3,104	95¢	$2,949	0x2f44b6…
07-28 07:30:31	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x3aeb19…
07-28 07:29:22	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	22,252	99¢	$22,096	0x94325d…
07-28 07:15:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3,020	99¢	$2,977	0xa093b4…
07-28 07:15:04	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	7,939	97¢	$7,696	0xc0caf4…
07-28 07:09:18	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	7,172	97¢	$6,953	0xfcf774…
07-28 07:06:48	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	3,610	99¢	$3,562	0x65c6bc…
07-06 08:22:46	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	4,722	97¢	$4,567	0xd6497b…
07-06 08:21:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	1,981	95¢	$1,882	0x63c62a…
07-06 07:44:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	No	BUY	21,812	100¢	$21,721	0xc2c41a…
07-04 19:56:37	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	10,809	96¢	$10,375	0x174314…
07-03 20:39:28	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	7,747	95¢	$7,360	0xf6fd82…
06-02 21:43:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	40,000	98¢	$39,000	0xe6ec8a…
06-02 21:34:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	7,520	97¢	$7,324	0xc37b27…
05-26 10:22:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	24,496	99¢	$24,202	0x38db47…
05-26 10:21:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x41da3c…
05-26 10:08:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xaf5887…
05-26 10:02:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	4,504	99¢	$4,450	0xb4e60b…
05-26 10:01:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,186	0xf191f8…
05-26 09:54:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x045cf8…
05-26 09:54:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xe8ba23…
05-26 09:54:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xca26b9…
05-26 09:54:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xb1c562…
05-26 09:54:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x171edd…
05-26 09:45:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9975a…
05-26 09:42:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xabada5…
05-26 09:41:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe6f9d3…
05-26 09:41:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xb6953e…
05-26 09:41:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa5f2c5…
05-26 09:41:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x7f04f4…
05-26 09:41:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x61506e…
05-26 09:38:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,470	0xeec03a…
05-26 09:38:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	8,333	99¢	$8,233	0x27689a…
05-26 09:29:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x3e1736…
05-26 09:25:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x8bff66…
05-26 09:21:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xf06f21…
05-26 09:21:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xca7b7f…
05-26 09:21:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x49479a…
05-26 09:19:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x45f452…
05-26 09:19:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x8634d0…
05-26 09:19:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3c46f1…
05-26 09:19:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x2ad8de…
05-26 09:19:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x0f9c8f…
05-26 09:19:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2,167	99¢	$2,141	0x061b50…
05-26 09:18:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0da485…
05-26 09:08:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	401	99¢	$396	0xe2b132…
05-26 09:02:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xd0aab1…
05-26 09:00:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	487	99¢	$481	0xde9a81…
05-26 09:00:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	4,000	99¢	$3,952	0x3df768…
05-26 08:57:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	29,436	99¢	$29,112	0x6f6859…
05-26 08:54:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd6ab93…
05-26 08:49:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	265	99¢	$262	0xb4c471…
05-26 08:49:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x8b9314…
05-26 08:47:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x025c2c…
05-26 08:44:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x5a378a…
05-26 08:44:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	328	99¢	$324	0x00bb49…
05-26 08:44:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,967	0x67080f…
05-26 08:44:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	3,992	99¢	$3,948	0x3dcee5…
05-26 08:42:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,967	0x132678…
05-26 08:41:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x7f923e…
05-26 08:40:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcf514a…
05-26 08:38:39	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0x79e378…
05-26 08:30:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x5e4491…
05-26 08:30:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xb703da…
05-26 08:30:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,754	100¢	$1,749	0x968edc…
05-26 08:30:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	61,821	100¢	$61,636	0x1fa3e1…
05-26 08:30:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	34,657	100¢	$34,553	0xd695d2…
05-26 08:28:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x8bcf4a…
05-26 08:28:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd5bfc7…
05-26 08:28:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xf059a2…
05-26 08:28:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x88863b…
05-26 08:28:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x602e74…
05-26 08:28:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa4c838…
05-26 08:28:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8eeffd…
05-26 08:28:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	9,984	99¢	$9,874	0x985063…