Realized P&L
-$169
Unrealized P&L
-$494
Hit rate
10.8%
Resolved
24
Trades
4,302
lifetime
Volume
$77.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$96
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 06-30 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
61% 17% $-19
Other
33% 0% $-72
Sports
4% 22% $-77
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +19,431 $332 $49 $-283 06-30 19:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5,003 $68 $23 $-45 06-30 00:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +10,000 $30 $10 $-20 06-26 05:18
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -39 $-18 19¢ $-8 +$11 06-30 19:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +6,118 $71 $6 $-65 06-27 02:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +271 $19 $0 $-19 06-20 20:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +277 $32 $0 $-31 06-28 07:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -152 $10 $-0 $-10 06-26 18:30
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? Yes -96 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-29 00:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes -40 $32 $-0 $-32 06-26 00:06