Sniveling-Cleaner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.57K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.1%

Resolved

705

Trades

6,244

lifetime

Volume

$106.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 10-19 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Politics

53% 11% -$3,075

Other

38% 13% -$5,088

Sports

7% 17% +$117

Tech

2% 10% -$521

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	153	$4.6K	32,039	28,971	+3,068	No	-$113	05-29 16:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	98	$3.8K	10,401	7,947	+2,454	Yes	-$265	07-29 17:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	143	$3.1K	31,244	29,176	+2,068	No	-$67	05-31 05:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	31	$2.8K	9,111	9,111	+0	Yes	+$1,737	04-08 12:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	100	$2.5K	33,006	16,619	+16,387	No	-$288	04-30 13:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	177	$2.4K	108,058	74,222	+33,836	No	-$199	05-01 02:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	117	$2.1K	39,925	36,824	+3,101	No	-$279	05-29 16:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	114	$2.0K	42,939	42,939	+0	No	-$283	04-15 15:58
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	63	$1.7K	8,201	7,061	+1,140	No	-$287	04-15 19:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	76	$1.7K	24,677	21,609	+3,068	No	-$66	07-06 11:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	94	$1.7K	115,481	92,621	+22,860	No	-$269	05-29 16:42
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	80	$1.7K	17,051	11,612	+5,439	No	-$127	06-17 16:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	42	$1.6K	26,559	21,139	+5,420	No	+$184	06-16 21:46
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	66	$1.5K	89,617	7,999	+81,619	No	-$134	04-14 01:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	45	$1.5K	8,326	7,315	+1,011	No	-$60	04-27 23:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	57	$1.4K	80,765	70,765	+10,000	Yes	+$260	04-09 21:08
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	40	$1.3K	29,558	29,558	+0	No	-$100	04-30 23:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	35	$1.3K	5,702	6,761	-1,059	No	+$329	04-29 19:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	20	$1.2K	2,521	2,521	+0	No	+$92	07-25 03:33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	60	$1.1K	40,335	20,215	+20,121	No	-$305	06-30 20:20
gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	52	$1.0K	11,573	11,573	+0	No	-$149	04-14 18:49
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	27	$974	3,454	3,454	+0	No	-$85	04-15 20:22
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	48	$972	19,644	14,794	+4,849	No	-$91	04-19 01:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	12	$930	4,947	4,947	+0	No	+$155	05-25 23:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	36	$907	5,182	4,971	+210	No	+$143	05-30 00:34
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5	9	$842	763	763	+0	Under	+$346	05-29 02:59
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	13	$838	757	757	+0	Yes	+$292	07-01 21:01
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	56	$827	12,934	11,335	+1,599	No	-$78	07-13 21:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	50	$793	44,131	34,034	+10,097	Yes	-$74	04-26 11:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	38	$781	7,354	5,430	+1,923	No	-$72	06-16 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 22:53:17	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	285	5¢	$13	0x1ab0f4…
10-19 22:46:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xe44f1d…
10-19 22:46:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x057eec…
10-19 22:46:39	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x65498c…
10-19 22:46:30	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	407	0¢	$1	0xe2aff4…
10-19 22:46:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	750	0¢	$2	0x6d1f79…
10-19 22:46:17	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	552	1¢	$5	0xf659a0…
10-19 22:46:12	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	519	1¢	$4	0x199812…
10-19 03:27:00	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	206	6¢	$13	0xac4b21…
10-19 03:26:35	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xc4318f…
10-19 03:26:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x054ed6…
10-19 03:26:21	Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xae8fe0…
10-19 03:26:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	472	1¢	$5	0x8f5702…
10-19 03:26:03	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	SELL	112	6¢	$7	0xf8eb38…
10-15 23:14:27	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	212	8¢	$17	0x363000…
10-15 23:14:00	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x0b3d42…
10-15 23:13:10	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xefa3b5…
10-15 23:12:49	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$15	0x6e7afa…
10-14 12:59:38	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	266	22¢	$58	0xc28632…
10-14 12:59:09	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	486	13¢	$62	0x8629ca…
10-12 20:25:02	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x86853b…
10-12 20:24:51	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0x087358…
10-12 20:23:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xffc543…
10-12 20:22:42	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x0c3563…
10-08 21:29:57	Will Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane?	Yes	BUY	103	9¢	$9	0x164b04…
10-08 05:31:32	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0xdf78e9…
10-08 05:26:25	Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb38bd7…
10-08 05:21:34	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x88a21c…
10-08 05:21:10	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x94a6dd…
10-08 05:20:14	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x403184…
10-08 05:18:50	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0xc8744d…
10-08 05:16:01	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	176	23¢	$41	0x57064b…
10-08 00:03:56	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	243	4¢	$11	0x39e3ce…
10-08 00:03:19	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	59	19¢	$11	0x9bb0cd…
10-07 21:20:20	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	186	4¢	$7	0x3f87c5…
10-07 21:20:02	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	85	9¢	$7	0x64e84e…
10-07 19:58:02	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$21	0x94a47c…
10-06 18:14:11	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x29caf7…
10-06 18:13:50	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	270	1¢	$2	0xf7e8ae…
10-06 18:12:54	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	No	BUY	245	2¢	$5	0x21b866…
10-06 18:12:39	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	316	2¢	$5	0xe2d8a9…
10-06 16:12:17	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	179	2¢	$4	0xb064b5…
10-06 16:11:59	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	142	3¢	$4	0xae0152…
10-06 16:11:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	1,035	1¢	$8	0xe7d5fa…
10-06 16:10:51	Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0x312bdb…
10-06 16:10:32	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	589	2¢	$10	0x81ee80…
10-06 05:55:25	Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x58b689…
10-06 05:54:45	Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf5497f…
10-06 05:53:43	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	167	10¢	$17	0x4af4f1…
10-06 05:53:18	Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	225	4¢	$9	0xfd055c…
10-06 05:53:00	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	412	2¢	$7	0x813561…
10-06 05:52:51	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x11721b…
10-06 03:35:34	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	1,579	2¢	$27	0x95757d…
10-02 05:02:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x1b2aa5…
10-02 04:59:08	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x0ed427…
10-02 04:56:24	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	539	1¢	$7	0x2c445b…
10-02 04:54:56	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xc67f7f…
10-02 04:54:29	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfdef60…
10-02 04:53:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb9a408…
10-02 04:53:05	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x82b41a…
10-02 04:52:26	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x34f0d8…
10-02 04:51:50	Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbd900a…
10-02 04:48:02	Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	204	8¢	$17	0x735ded…
10-01 06:17:36	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	411	5¢	$22	0x9f21c8…
10-01 06:17:23	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	235	8¢	$20	0x654e60…
10-01 06:17:15	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	339	6¢	$20	0xa6d01e…
10-01 06:17:05	Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	408	5¢	$20	0xba68a5…
10-01 06:16:57	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	417	5¢	$20	0x34545f…
10-01 05:49:50	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	No	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0x9c3a7f…
10-01 05:48:53	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	356	0¢	$0	0x66f7e1…
09-26 22:04:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x89b479…
09-26 22:03:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	3¢	$7	0x8a6ffa…
09-26 22:02:29	Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?	No	BUY	176	3¢	$5	0xdfffeb…
09-26 22:01:33	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xab9ad3…
09-26 22:01:06	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	254	5¢	$12	0xd903e1…
09-25 19:08:33	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0xc8b0a9…
09-25 06:23:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	237	2¢	$5	0x9d0364…
09-25 06:05:54	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0xcd8893…
09-25 06:04:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	157	7¢	$11	0xdb9398…
09-24 21:35:05	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	256	4¢	$9	0xd48da8…
09-23 08:46:46	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	248	4¢	$10	0x2c532d…
09-23 08:45:56	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,091	1¢	$12	0x33487d…
09-23 08:44:29	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x73d3e3…
09-23 08:43:23	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x384f0b…
09-23 08:41:05	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?	Yes	BUY	301	3¢	$10	0x44c216…
09-23 08:39:37	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	669	1¢	$10	0xc26f1c…
09-23 08:38:56	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	157	7¢	$11	0x9c2e89…
09-23 08:36:43	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	No	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x090bcc…
09-23 08:35:28	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x67fe28…
09-01 18:16:15	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,176	2¢	$20	0xdb088c…
08-22 11:50:48	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	814	1¢	$7	0xedefd2…
08-21 19:35:24	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	589	1¢	$5	0x2f5e9d…
08-21 19:23:57	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,403	1¢	$19	0xfa44f0…
08-19 20:31:31	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	503	3¢	$15	0x3fbaf1…
08-19 14:29:04	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	196	4¢	$8	0x50c0bd…
08-19 14:28:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	165	5¢	$8	0x71ea58…
08-19 06:21:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0x038dc5…
08-19 06:20:48	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	306	5¢	$15	0xcb8f9d…
08-17 03:10:37	will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x2b68b5…
08-17 03:10:28	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xe3c700…