United-Field — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$20.4K

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$1.79M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$9.30K

Open exposure

$6.32K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-16 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

47% 76% -$48,519

Other

41% 68% -$76,636

Sports

12% 92% +$19,546

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+39,361	$25,000	12¢	$4.5K	-$20,474	07-28 15:01
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	+2,202	$1,660	77¢	$1.7K	+$35	10-16 18:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+106	$100	92¢	$97	-$3	10-03 11:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	5	$125.2K	89,850	37,593	+52,257	No	+$461	06-18 17:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$101.9K	0	107,206	-107,206	No	-$5,346	05-23 10:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$98.1K	51,332	51,332	+0	No	+$3,927	05-30 07:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$94.4K	0	96,627	-96,627	No	-$2,227	03-14 20:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$79.4K	42,410	42,410	+0	No	+$4,012	04-14 18:36
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$66.2K	73,315	0	+73,315	Yes	-$66,185	06-11 13:47
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$50.0K	61,133	0	+61,133	Yes	+$11,133	06-13 21:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$47.6K	31,878	31,878	+0	No	+$4,139	03-22 09:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$46.3K	27,269	27,269	+0	Yes	+$1,501	05-04 19:43
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	4	$40.6K	43,221	0	+43,221	No	+$2,653	05-24 21:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$39.9K	22,238	22,238	+0	Yes	+$4,533	05-25 09:43
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$38.3K	52,647	0	+52,647	Yes	-$38,320	05-25 15:39
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	2	$37.3K	40,371	0	+40,371	No	+$3,061	05-25 09:46
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	5	$35.9K	29,373	29,373	+0	Yes	-$465	06-11 17:57
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	2	$35.9K	18,397	18,397	+0	Yes	+$853	05-22 16:35
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	9	$32.5K	33,702	0	+33,702	Yes	+$1,211	06-08 06:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	5	$32.0K	33,870	0	+33,870	No	+$1,855	06-02 06:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$28.5K	15,245	15,245	+0	Yes	+$1,534	05-23 03:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$28.5K	33,261	0	+33,261	No	+$4,761	05-29 06:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$26.7K	13,684	13,684	+0	No	+$657	05-15 05:28
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	1	$26.0K	26,723	0	+26,723	No	+$723	06-14 17:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$25.0K	39,361	0	+39,361	open	—	07-28 15:01
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	1	$23.8K	24,419	0	+24,419	No	+$634	06-15 16:17
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$23.0K	25,679	0	+25,679	No	+$2,698	04-14 18:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$22.4K	23,349	0	+23,349	No	+$934	05-30 07:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$21.7K	13,095	13,095	+0	No	-$308	03-23 11:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$21.6K	11,582	11,582	+0	Yes	+$1,559	05-24 10:27
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?	4	$21.5K	25,341	21,445	+3,896	Yes	-$18,531	07-29 18:28
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	2	$21.3K	10,890	10,890	+0	No	+$474	03-31 20:17
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	2	$21.2K	12,282	12,282	+0	No	-$1,779	01-03 09:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 18:04:03	Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	447	83¢	$370	0x180c57…
10-16 18:03:32	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	1,265	79¢	$1,000	0x31fb4d…
10-11 11:50:49	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	723	71¢	$510	0x4e1445…
10-11 11:50:07	Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	226	66¢	$150	0x9b9a5b…
10-11 11:49:49	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	738	68¢	$500	0xa201b0…
10-03 11:29:38	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x122a7d…
10-03 11:26:39	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	213	70¢	$150	0x8201bc…
10-03 11:24:44	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x863a9d…
10-03 11:22:36	Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	382	92¢	$350	0xe3f4f5…
09-28 16:13:36	Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	378	92¢	$350	0xf0a51b…
08-06 15:56:26	uel lep ki 2026 08 06 team to advance	KKS Lech Poznań	BUY	10,182	95¢	$9,700	0x7cc33b…
07-30 13:35:53	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	BUY	767	65¢	$500	0xa5647b…
07-30 13:32:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	10,535	95¢	$10,000	0x9848b7…
07-29 18:28:05	Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?	No	SELL	21,445	7¢	$1,489	0x172a1c…
07-29 16:22:45	Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?	No	BUY	25,316	79¢	$20,000	0xa009b9…
07-28 15:03:35	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	11,765	85¢	$10,000	0x5faf32…
07-28 15:03:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	10,638	94¢	$10,000	0x593cdb…
07-28 15:01:46	Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb6b96f…
07-28 15:01:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8,929	56¢	$5,000	0xa268e1…
07-26 15:48:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,799	94¢	$1,700	0xcdf996…
07-26 15:47:22	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	17,809	95¢	$17,000	0x929e24…
07-26 15:46:48	Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8878bf…
07-26 15:44:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8,346	60¢	$5,000	0xeaff44…
07-11 18:23:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22,086	68¢	$15,000	0xf4e3be…
07-09 18:02:02	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10,341	97¢	$10,000	0xcd461a…
07-07 16:48:46	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20,828	96¢	$20,000	0x0d2067…
07-07 16:48:32	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8d66ac…
07-05 17:11:10	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10,081	99¢	$10,000	0x18b083…
07-05 17:11:01	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10,163	98¢	$10,000	0xd07544…
07-05 17:10:46	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20,263	99¢	$20,000	0x2700b5…
07-05 17:10:26	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20,683	97¢	$20,000	0x23339c…
07-05 13:22:53	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb73eb2…
06-22 17:24:55	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19,401	98¢	$19,000	0xc7cb6a…
06-18 17:08:50	Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	52,257	100¢	$52,000	0xad97f8…
06-15 16:17:33	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	24,419	97¢	$23,785	0x7649eb…
06-15 03:52:42	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	4,071	1¢	$26	0x63f8e2…
06-14 18:32:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc38a27…
06-14 18:31:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x788366…
06-14 17:25:58	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	No	BUY	26,723	97¢	$26,000	0x23f08e…
06-13 21:04:19	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	61,133	82¢	$50,000	0xf74c71…
06-13 21:03:15	Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	SELL	37,593	98¢	$36,705	0xba4b30…
06-11 17:57:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	29,373	60¢	$17,726	0x4494e3…
06-11 13:47:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	27,659	97¢	$26,800	0xb98d08…
06-08 06:50:01	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	4,070	74¢	$3,000	0xab3e96…
06-08 06:48:37	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x88bbe9…
06-08 06:47:42	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5adf45…
06-08 06:47:27	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x849dcd…
06-08 06:42:18	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdfc0af…
06-08 06:40:55	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0cfb76…
06-08 06:37:48	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,139	97¢	$4,000	0xd2aba5…
06-05 06:21:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	16,517	87¢	$14,370	0x5f150b…
06-05 06:21:03	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	6,866	95¢	$6,512	0xdb5a50…
06-05 06:20:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	8,065	97¢	$7,828	0x8d3495…
06-02 11:41:05	Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	25,209	98¢	$24,600	0x5c460b…
06-02 06:13:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5,814	86¢	$5,000	0x5a40c5…
06-02 06:13:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5,263	95¢	$5,000	0x11fb5b…
06-02 04:03:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,497	86¢	$3,000	0x7efcbb…
06-02 04:03:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10,526	95¢	$10,000	0x06c5c0…
06-02 02:43:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,353	85¢	$2,000	0x53551f…
06-02 02:43:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,105	95¢	$2,000	0x86e60a…
06-02 02:41:44	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8,252	97¢	$8,000	0x3611e4…
06-01 18:29:43	Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	12,383	96¢	$11,900	0x4e9e55…
06-01 18:28:10	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc270af…
06-01 18:23:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	17,455	86¢	$15,000	0x9a0cb2…
06-01 18:22:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	15,957	94¢	$15,000	0x9bfdd7…
06-01 18:18:59	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,169	96¢	$4,000	0xef7d69…
06-01 17:12:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,954	53¢	$2,100	0x9a8dcd…
06-01 17:04:56	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,334	96¢	$1,280	0x1d0aae…
06-01 13:55:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9,617	61¢	$5,900	0xe56e59…
06-01 13:52:52	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,294	96¢	$2,200	0x22a9fa…
06-01 12:38:22	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	781	96¢	$750	0x359870…
06-01 10:34:34	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,418	96¢	$1,360	0x5f7e67…
06-01 08:06:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15,800	64¢	$10,190	0xf04c82…
06-01 08:03:57	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11,314	96¢	$10,900	0xdf0340…
05-31 06:30:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5f3337…
05-30 07:55:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23,333	96¢	$22,400	0x698a62…
05-30 07:54:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	22,532	100¢	$22,465	0xcef9eb…
05-30 07:43:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9ebd40…
05-30 07:42:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x36d32f…
05-30 07:41:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x77b3b9…
05-30 07:41:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x2915fd…
05-30 07:41:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x829761…
05-30 07:38:32	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0bad7b…
05-30 07:33:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x416127…
05-30 07:32:39	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x797257…
05-30 05:15:44	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xce1d87…
05-29 06:00:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	33,261	86¢	$28,500	0x1c85fd…
05-29 05:57:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	28,800	99¢	$28,556	0xbb7a95…
05-27 07:15:34	Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xef3c2e…
05-27 07:14:29	Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbba33e…
05-27 07:04:50	Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x21f15a…
05-27 07:04:43	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe38ea2…
05-27 07:04:08	Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6dfb29…
05-25 15:39:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,386	77¢	$5,665	0xc5a656…
05-25 15:39:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15,440	74¢	$11,435	0x669ea8…
05-25 09:46:38	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	BUY	5,126	98¢	$5,010	0x8f2d4f…
05-25 09:43:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	22,238	100¢	$22,193	0xb6f08c…
05-24 21:29:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,734	96¢	$10,300	0x62f276…
05-24 21:27:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14,133	73¢	$10,363	0xfe7ea5…
05-24 10:36:17	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12,050	95¢	$11,500	0xb85306…