United-Field — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.11K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.18K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$1.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$8.75K

Open exposure

$11.8K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-11 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% 100% +$1,501

Other

40% 100% +$605

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+22,086	$15,000	54¢	$11.8K	$-3,184	07-11 18:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$94.4K	0	96,627	-96,627	open	—	03-14 20:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$79.4K	42,410	42,410	+0	open	—	04-14 18:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$75.7K	51,332	28,800	+22,532	open	—	05-29 05:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$66.2K	73,315	0	+73,315	open	—	06-11 13:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$47.6K	31,878	31,878	+0	open	—	03-22 09:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$46.3K	27,269	27,269	+0	Yes	+$1,501	05-04 19:43
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	4	$40.6K	43,221	0	+43,221	open	—	05-24 21:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$39.9K	22,238	22,238	+0	open	—	05-25 09:43
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	2	$37.3K	40,371	0	+40,371	open	—	05-25 09:46
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	5	$35.9K	29,373	29,373	+0	open	—	06-11 17:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	5	$32.0K	33,870	0	+33,870	open	—	06-02 06:13
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$28.5K	29,533	0	+29,533	open	—	06-08 06:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$26.7K	13,684	13,684	+0	open	—	05-15 05:28
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$23.0K	25,679	0	+25,679	open	—	04-14 18:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$21.7K	13,095	13,095	+0	open	—	03-23 11:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$21.6K	11,582	11,582	+0	open	—	05-24 10:27
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	2	$21.3K	10,890	10,890	+0	open	—	03-31 20:17
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	2	$21.2K	12,282	12,282	+0	open	—	01-03 09:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$21.1K	12,791	12,791	+0	open	—	03-23 11:48
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$20.9K	11,786	11,786	+0	open	—	01-03 09:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$20.6K	10,688	10,688	+0	No	+$605	05-03 13:51
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$18.7K	20,863	0	+20,863	open	—	04-14 18:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$18.4K	0	18,397	-18,397	open	—	05-22 16:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$18.0K	21,159	0	+21,159	open	—	04-19 07:41
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$15.0K	0	15,245	-15,245	open	—	05-23 03:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$15.0K	22,086	0	+22,086	open	—	07-11 18:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$14.1K	10,870	10,870	+0	open	—	05-24 00:16
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$13.4K	6,899	6,899	+0	open	—	05-20 06:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$12.8K	13,914	0	+13,914	open	—	04-25 14:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	2	$12.2K	6,188	6,188	+0	open	—	04-26 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 18:23:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22,086	68¢	$15,000	0xf4e3be…
06-15 03:52:42	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	4,071	1¢	$26	0x63f8e2…
06-14 18:32:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc38a27…
06-14 18:31:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x788366…
06-11 17:57:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	29,373	60¢	$17,726	0x4494e3…
06-11 13:47:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	27,659	97¢	$26,800	0xb98d08…
06-08 06:50:01	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	4,070	74¢	$3,000	0xab3e96…
06-08 06:48:37	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x88bbe9…
06-08 06:47:42	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5adf45…
06-08 06:47:27	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x849dcd…
06-08 06:42:18	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdfc0af…
06-08 06:37:48	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,139	97¢	$4,000	0xd2aba5…
06-05 06:21:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	16,517	87¢	$14,370	0x5f150b…
06-05 06:21:03	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	6,866	95¢	$6,512	0xdb5a50…
06-05 06:20:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	8,065	97¢	$7,828	0x8d3495…
06-02 06:13:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5,814	86¢	$5,000	0x5a40c5…
06-02 06:13:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5,263	95¢	$5,000	0x11fb5b…
06-02 04:03:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,497	86¢	$3,000	0x7efcbb…
06-02 04:03:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10,526	95¢	$10,000	0x06c5c0…
06-02 02:43:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,353	85¢	$2,000	0x53551f…
06-02 02:43:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,105	95¢	$2,000	0x86e60a…
06-02 02:41:44	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8,252	97¢	$8,000	0x3611e4…
06-01 18:23:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	17,455	86¢	$15,000	0x9a0cb2…
06-01 18:22:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	15,957	94¢	$15,000	0x9bfdd7…
06-01 17:12:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,954	53¢	$2,100	0x9a8dcd…
06-01 17:04:56	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,334	96¢	$1,280	0x1d0aae…
06-01 13:55:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9,617	61¢	$5,900	0xe56e59…
06-01 13:52:52	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,294	96¢	$2,200	0x22a9fa…
06-01 12:38:22	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	781	96¢	$750	0x359870…
06-01 10:34:34	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,418	96¢	$1,360	0x5f7e67…
06-01 08:06:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15,800	64¢	$10,190	0xf04c82…
06-01 08:03:57	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11,314	96¢	$10,900	0xdf0340…
05-31 06:30:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5f3337…
05-30 07:43:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9ebd40…
05-30 07:42:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x36d32f…
05-30 07:41:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x77b3b9…
05-30 07:41:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x2915fd…
05-30 07:41:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x829761…
05-30 07:33:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x416127…
05-30 05:15:44	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xce1d87…
05-29 05:57:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	28,800	99¢	$28,556	0xbb7a95…
05-25 09:46:38	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	BUY	5,126	98¢	$5,010	0x8f2d4f…
05-25 09:43:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	22,238	100¢	$22,193	0xb6f08c…
05-24 21:29:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,734	96¢	$10,300	0x62f276…
05-24 10:36:17	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12,050	95¢	$11,500	0xb85306…
05-24 10:27:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	11,582	100¢	$11,559	0xfaeb0c…
05-24 00:18:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	4,306	97¢	$4,160	0xc8a9ac…
05-24 00:16:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10,870	38¢	$4,125	0x0b67a5…
05-23 06:58:53	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12,102	96¢	$11,600	0xebc253…
05-23 06:39:45	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	BUY	35,246	92¢	$32,300	0x0ecfe6…
05-23 03:33:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10,870	92¢	$9,960	0xe1d3ea…
05-23 03:33:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	11,582	86¢	$10,000	0xecb0fa…
05-23 03:32:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	17,931	75¢	$13,500	0xda29ca…
05-23 03:15:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	15,245	99¢	$15,034	0x746b8c…
05-22 16:35:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	18,397	100¢	$18,353	0x534c76…
05-20 06:06:52	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	6,899	100¢	$6,892	0x969137…
05-15 05:30:10	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,334	86¢	$7,167	0x26aaf5…
05-15 05:29:56	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	6,899	94¢	$6,500	0x87f448…
05-15 05:28:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	13,684	100¢	$13,657	0x102541…
05-11 07:41:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13,069	4¢	$488	0xbf0e99…
05-05 09:28:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	26,007	92¢	$23,926	0x4889b8…
05-04 19:43:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27,269	88¢	$23,923	0xaecef0…
05-04 15:44:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12,139	92¢	$11,168	0x1aa6ae…
05-03 15:07:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	13,187	91¢	$12,000	0xd69eef…
05-03 15:06:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	13,684	95¢	$13,000	0x611364…
05-03 13:51:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	10,688	99¢	$10,605	0x06c96e…
04-26 06:55:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,902	62¢	$6,184	0x5a113d…
04-26 06:54:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	6,188	100¢	$6,181	0xc51b26…
04-25 14:04:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6,188	97¢	$6,022	0xfe99db…
04-25 14:04:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13,914	92¢	$12,800	0x9cf531…
04-25 14:00:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,167	74¢	$2,350	0xc2fae9…
04-19 07:41:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	21,159	85¢	$18,034	0xfa2d3a…
04-19 07:27:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	10,688	94¢	$10,000	0xb35ba4…
04-19 07:27:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	10,505	95¢	$10,000	0xceef04…
04-19 07:18:32	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	BUY	467	96¢	$450	0xc95262…
04-19 07:16:30	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	8,289	74¢	$6,175	0x6ec637…
04-19 07:07:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	242	1¢	$3	0x9e5da1…
04-19 07:07:18	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,968	97¢	$1,899	0x94044b…
04-14 18:38:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	20,863	90¢	$18,735	0xef8a84…
04-14 18:38:12	Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	25,679	89¢	$22,981	0x9d8f5c…
04-14 18:36:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	42,410	98¢	$41,685	0x52d2cc…
03-31 20:42:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	13,340	95¢	$12,673	0x3da9a9…
03-31 20:17:35	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10,890	100¢	$10,874	0x388aea…
03-31 20:15:29	ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	No	SELL	1,794	100¢	$1,789	0x4ff114…
03-23 11:56:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	2,424	88¢	$2,121	0x4e5722…
03-23 11:48:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	10,671	80¢	$8,570	0xd44088…
03-23 11:48:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	12,791	79¢	$10,131	0x90519f…
03-22 09:43:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	31,878	81¢	$25,854	0x647d4d…
03-14 20:22:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27,269	82¢	$22,422	0xe407f0…
03-14 20:21:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	29,070	86¢	$25,000	0xdb795f…
03-14 20:20:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	13,095	84¢	$11,000	0x230696…
03-14 20:20:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	12,791	86¢	$11,000	0xdcd173…
03-14 20:18:33	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	96,627	98¢	$94,400	0xa1c81e…
03-08 11:18:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	23,356	61¢	$14,215	0xc15974…
02-24 21:32:44	ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	No	SELL	7,478	15¢	$1,155	0x1cb322…
02-24 17:43:06	ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	No	BUY	7,478	91¢	$6,805	0x5da219…
02-19 17:32:02	col kps lep 2026 02 19 kps	No	BUY	6,790	89¢	$6,068	0x40f145…
01-28 21:38:04	ucl usg1 ata1 2026 01 28 usg1	No	SELL	4,808	26¢	$1,250	0xd81f12…
01-28 19:15:46	ucl usg1 ata1 2026 01 28 usg1	No	BUY	5,714	70¢	$4,000	0x6cd2c6…
01-28 19:08:50	ucl atm bog1 2026 01 28 bog1	No	BUY	4,396	91¢	$4,000	0x8fb415…