Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$371

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$5.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$129

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-25 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

78% 53% -$38

Politics

20% 62% +$522

Tech

1% 0% -$54

Crypto

1% 0% -$40

Sports

0% 0% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes		-2,927	-$150	4¢	$-119	+$32	10-03 01:06
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes		-194	-$5	6¢	$-11	-$6	10-10 09:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	52	$1.3K	10,050	10,050	+0	No	-$543	08-30 08:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	14	$702	0	4,500	-4,500	No	+$702	06-24 10:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	17	$676	2,979	2,979	-0	open	—	10-02 18:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	8	$469	524	524	+0	open	—	10-23 18:44
Iran Nuke before 2027?	8	$272	1,095	4,021	-2,927	open	—	10-03 01:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$174	110	110	+0	No	+$31	05-26 03:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	3	$165	200	200	+0	open	—	10-23 16:15
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	11	$160	160	160	+0	No	+$144	03-25 17:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	13	$133	9,823	0	+9,823	No	-$133	04-12 11:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$126	73	73	+0	Yes	+$17	05-24 07:01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	2	$115	250	250	+0	open	—	10-25 11:19
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	6	$111	552	552	+0	Yes	+$5	09-04 17:19
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	10	$111	883	1,077	-194	open	—	10-10 09:42
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$110	506	180	+326	Yes	+$318	02-28 07:07
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	6	$60	800	0	+800	Yes	-$60	09-25 18:10
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$56	4,448	2,374	+2,074	No	-$18	02-23 16:18
will tiktok be banned by march 31	4	$54	1,264	0	+1,264	No	-$54	01-06 15:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	20	$50	2,336	2,336	+0	No	+$7	07-01 13:46
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$20	400	0	+400	No	-$20	02-20 12:14
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$20	0	200	-200	No	+$20	02-18 18:53
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	2	$20	500	500	+0	No	+$10	07-14 21:47
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$18	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$18	06-06 17:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$18	0	6,000	-6,000	No	+$18	07-07 08:55
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 23	3	$13	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$13	02-19 04:24
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	3	$12	56	56	+0	open	—	08-31 11:58
ethereum above 1700 on february 23	1	$10	200	0	+200	Yes	-$10	02-17 13:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	500	0	+500	No	-$10	02-20 13:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$10	0	78	-78	No	+$10	02-27 20:58
bitcoin above 58k on february 20	5	$9	817	0	+817	Yes	-$9	02-17 15:09
bitcoin above 60k on february 18	5	$6	900	0	+900	Yes	-$6	02-17 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 11:19:35	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	250	26¢	$65	0xcb4b39…
10-23 18:44:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xc8f467…
10-23 17:51:29	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x0bc28d…
10-23 17:31:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xcf0ba9…
10-23 16:16:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	288	65¢	$188	0x653a68…
10-23 16:15:59	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0xdd9127…
10-22 21:21:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x4a2363…
10-22 09:32:39	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x87d19e…
10-22 09:32:38	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xfee2ff…
10-22 09:32:38	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb5cae1…
10-21 06:31:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x98d9f5…
10-15 17:33:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xfe7b06…
10-10 09:42:06	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	SELL	122	5¢	$6	0x9f1ed1…
10-10 09:40:06	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	SELL	450	5¢	$22	0x61f9f7…
10-05 05:23:29	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x741c94…
10-03 01:06:08	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	800	4¢	$31	0x816d0f…
10-02 18:54:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	11¢	$110	0x212f60…
10-01 19:09:32	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	779	12¢	$93	0x88a1bd…
09-29 18:38:59	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	299	40¢	$120	0x4d0b7a…
09-28 06:52:54	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x91b20f…
09-28 04:51:54	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x59d0f1…
09-27 16:39:27	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x6bdcd4…
09-27 14:56:39	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xe796db…
09-27 14:14:50	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x0c517b…
09-27 11:46:11	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x1d1fc0…
09-27 11:46:09	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x66348b…
09-27 11:45:50	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x2f0669…
09-26 16:32:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	225	42¢	$95	0xc696fe…
09-25 18:10:05	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	239	5¢	$12	0xb64e09…
09-25 02:38:33	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	76	5¢	$4	0xd89e0e…
09-25 02:38:33	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0x369b64…
09-24 17:27:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	800	5¢	$38	0x413d63…
09-24 17:25:59	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	495	5¢	$25	0xa0cfcc…
09-24 17:25:32	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	88	5¢	$4	0xd06e33…
09-22 07:21:54	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0x6943a5…
09-22 04:02:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	216	10¢	$22	0x44f7c3…
09-18 07:46:24	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x21900e…
09-18 06:49:39	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	199	10¢	$20	0xa82f3c…
09-17 17:07:19	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xc1b3e1…
09-16 10:41:42	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x7bb8a3…
09-04 17:19:31	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	52	6¢	$3	0xb3580c…
08-31 11:58:51	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	11¢	$6	0x487a87…
08-31 05:40:25	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xd9fa9d…
08-30 15:00:40	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,200	12¢	$144	0xf56a06…
08-30 08:04:37	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	352	2¢	$7	0x1d44af…
08-30 08:02:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xe5a4cb…
08-30 06:58:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xf5b9e5…
08-29 19:48:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,388	2¢	$28	0xabe59c…
08-28 14:22:12	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,950	2¢	$39	0xd6fe81…
08-25 18:25:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	95	24¢	$23	0x1f109b…
08-25 15:54:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,300	2¢	$23	0x71edca…
08-24 20:54:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	28¢	$36	0xfa42c2…
08-24 09:09:18	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xdec806…
08-23 17:32:10	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8dc000…
08-18 21:33:06	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	834	4¢	$30	0x3898f1…
08-18 18:59:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	366	4¢	$13	0x044fce…
08-10 05:58:31	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x30cece…
08-07 21:49:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0x9456c9…
08-07 12:59:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$11	0x9bed84…
08-07 12:57:19	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	82	10¢	$8	0x3adc45…
08-07 12:06:18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x28e380…
08-06 23:33:56	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	386	11¢	$43	0x39733b…
08-06 19:31:15	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2,133	5¢	$102	0x33e4e3…
07-26 12:24:46	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x700e73…
07-25 19:12:33	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x8c0839…
07-24 17:43:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	518	10¢	$52	0x77454e…
07-20 06:52:15	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0xeef39c…
07-18 18:48:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	163	7¢	$11	0xa59d7e…
07-18 14:07:06	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x9f301f…
07-18 13:03:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	148	7¢	$10	0xabbe76…
07-18 13:03:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x492543…
07-18 13:03:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0x93385f…
07-18 11:25:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x4bd1cf…
07-18 11:25:43	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	505	7¢	$35	0xb7a83e…
07-18 10:30:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0x44dcb5…
07-15 04:26:43	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	117	12¢	$14	0xdba641…
07-14 21:47:52	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$14	0xa7b058…
07-07 08:57:37	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	206	8¢	$17	0xe49618…
07-07 08:55:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,000	0¢	$18	0xa734bd…
07-01 14:39:17	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	338	5¢	$17	0x5e5442…
07-01 13:46:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,603	1¢	$18	0x912031…
07-01 13:14:28	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe83bf1…
07-01 09:01:01	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xed2cb6…
07-01 06:04:05	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x84a182…
07-01 05:59:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	650	2¢	$10	0x895330…
07-01 05:36:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$1	0xf72ede…
07-01 03:20:01	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6d3c1b…
06-30 19:53:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0x31fa9d…
06-30 17:34:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0x3f46d4…
06-30 17:34:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x361b34…
06-30 17:32:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0x7048ad…
06-30 17:32:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	148	1¢	$1	0xf5e9b3…
06-30 17:30:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0xc4ec52…
06-30 17:30:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	208	1¢	$2	0x9f0bef…
06-30 17:30:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3d27df…
06-30 17:30:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x20d413…
06-30 17:30:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x7d98e2…
06-30 17:30:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x42b2ed…
06-30 17:30:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0x1baa02…
06-30 17:29:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0xd70336…