Worldly-Parsley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.58K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

201

Trades

1,853

lifetime

Volume

$21.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 08-11 20:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

80% 26% +$1,562

Politics

11% 43% +$21

Sports

8% 32% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	56	$1.8K	2,836	2,545	+291	No	+$1,166	05-20 00:52
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	37	$1.5K	1,069	1,069	+0	Yes	+$289	05-12 13:26
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	36	$1.0K	3,521	2,614	+907	No	-$271	06-02 00:47
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	65	$991	1,243	1,243	+0	Yes	+$316	06-16 23:07
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	20	$811	554	554	+0	Yes	+$94	06-30 11:25
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	67	$769	887	887	+0	Yes	+$378	06-23 13:45
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	43	$639	1,538	1,223	+315	No	-$265	05-20 10:47
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	16	$580	568	568	+0	Yes	+$233	05-27 13:14
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	12	$576	392	392	+0	Yes	+$50	05-31 17:49
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	15	$546	6,935	429	+6,506	Yes	-$15	06-08 15:58
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	14	$538	379	379	+0	Yes	+$107	06-24 13:08
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	37	$530	5,171	2,347	+2,824	No	-$30	04-30 22:03
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	33	$497	1,029	1,029	+0	No	-$58	07-01 21:00
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	8	$494	278	278	+0	No	+$6	04-25 03:46
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$447	506	506	+0	No	+$321	05-05 16:59
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	42	$421	966	966	+0	No	-$108	06-23 17:51
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	36	$377	1,064	1,064	+0	No	-$41	06-28 14:24
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	80	$361	1,095	1,095	+0	No	-$28	06-22 11:35
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	14	$336	556	556	+0	Yes	+$215	05-20 00:02
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	29	$329	5,927	4,366	+1,561	Yes	-$50	06-15 20:48
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	14	$327	248	248	+0	Yes	+$132	05-05 18:13
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$324	190	190	+0	Yes	+$40	04-21 13:24
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	5	$303	313	313	+0	Yes	-$37	04-27 03:19
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	30	$297	440	440	+0	Yes	+$3	06-29 15:30
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	43	$216	3,399	1,826	+1,574	No	-$177	05-27 15:33
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	11	$198	951	71	+880	No	-$173	04-27 03:20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	11	$193	466	466	+0	No	-$23	05-30 13:34
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	209	$187	11,206	7,906	+3,300	No	+$22	07-16 19:41
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	13	$186	6,173	2,560	+3,612	No	-$103	05-31 23:58
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	30	$182	1,766	924	+842	No	-$159	05-27 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 20:38:28	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xb7afba…
08-11 12:31:03	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5081e9…
08-08 14:14:04	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x3155e9…
08-08 13:57:24	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x66148d…
08-08 13:21:24	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	Yes	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0x7e7d63…
08-08 13:20:42	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	Yes	BUY	77	7¢	$5	0xf764ec…
07-18 23:22:13	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x47bed1…
07-18 21:47:13	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	994	0¢	$1	0x155019…
07-18 21:29:12	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xa1f0b6…
07-17 08:26:34	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x962828…
07-17 08:26:12	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6918a9…
07-16 19:41:05	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x734245…
07-16 19:22:17	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	994	0¢	$3	0xaae2ab…
07-16 19:22:14	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xfae7bd…
07-16 15:49:56	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	403	0¢	$1	0x027244…
07-16 15:49:49	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	290	0¢	$1	0x8736e6…
07-15 16:01:41	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 7 20260626172559968	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x44e6cc…
07-15 16:01:34	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 7 20260626172559968	Yes	BUY	992	0¢	$1	0x6e23c4…
07-15 03:30:55	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xa8bfe7…
07-14 22:29:01	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xa4aeda…
07-14 22:28:25	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x5a191a…
07-14 21:05:29	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x1223f0…
07-14 20:47:01	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xe1f830…
07-14 20:43:01	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xe3f8cb…
07-14 20:42:53	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x7b77c6…
07-14 20:38:23	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x821c1b…
07-14 20:38:16	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc9ed47…
07-14 20:38:16	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x1cd6a4…
07-14 20:37:58	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xea68e3…
07-14 20:37:56	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xfd6085…
07-14 20:36:32	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd93a7f…
07-14 20:36:05	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	270	0¢	$0	0xd3a882…
07-14 20:35:35	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xb395ea…
07-14 20:33:11	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc50161…
07-14 20:33:11	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5894f1…
07-14 20:33:11	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x4a0f66…
07-14 20:32:50	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x304c22…
07-14 20:32:49	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8e7c76…
07-14 20:30:59	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x9ecba0…
07-14 20:30:49	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x80b685…
07-14 20:30:35	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb48378…
07-14 20:30:34	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb5b037…
07-14 20:30:34	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x6e8ce5…
07-14 20:30:34	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x649a38…
07-14 20:30:17	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xab585d…
07-14 20:30:14	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5b5eaa…
07-14 20:29:58	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xd35c33…
07-14 20:29:58	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcb2e1c…
07-14 20:29:58	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x776c77…
07-14 20:29:56	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x816eca…
07-14 20:29:35	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xe13446…
07-14 20:29:35	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3a2d74…
07-14 20:29:35	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x196e6a…
07-14 20:29:34	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x7edb08…
07-14 19:24:35	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xaab7a5…
07-14 19:15:38	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x95ba54…
07-14 18:40:02	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x4740e4…
07-14 18:03:29	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x004aa2…
07-14 17:48:29	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x23c47a…
07-14 17:14:28	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x513374…
07-14 15:12:46	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xadbb7f…
07-14 15:06:35	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x1195cc…
07-14 14:49:38	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xea64fc…
07-14 14:25:16	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 7 20260626172559968	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x37a070…
07-14 14:23:34	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xd02551…
07-14 14:15:08	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x9cd495…
07-14 13:59:17	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x811791…
07-14 13:56:38	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x6bf7ca…
07-14 13:55:01	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x59c54b…
07-14 13:16:53	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x0b4a8f…
07-14 11:45:20	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0xc1295c…
07-14 08:49:35	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x0c778c…
07-14 08:49:26	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xb0531a…
07-14 08:49:19	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x190eef…
07-14 04:37:47	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa28a23…
07-14 01:43:44	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x6ae593…
07-14 01:03:23	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	SELL	33	50¢	$17	0xf514e2…
07-14 00:55:35	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x7da18b…
07-14 00:54:35	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xd0d21b…
07-14 00:53:01	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xeb0152…
07-14 00:41:10	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x269d2d…
07-14 00:09:22	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xccd4f5…
07-14 00:05:07	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xdc7c2a…
07-14 00:05:07	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xabc06f…
07-14 00:05:05	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x6a932f…
07-14 00:04:55	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x67693b…
07-14 00:04:47	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x0399f7…
07-14 00:04:46	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x8e8ee1…
07-14 00:04:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xea3440…
07-14 00:04:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xd86f4e…
07-14 00:04:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xc10abd…
07-14 00:04:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xa53e9f…
07-14 00:04:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x97c300…
07-14 00:04:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x6db433…
07-14 00:04:28	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x7a8d58…
07-13 23:39:43	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xe54318…
07-13 23:36:10	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	154	8¢	$12	0xb261e1…
07-13 23:34:34	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x8033c6…
07-13 23:28:02	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xcaa214…
07-13 23:27:19	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x21e62b…