(anonymous) 0x56d9a1…1b2ef0
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
3,358
lifetime
Volume
$6.36K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$166
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-07 18:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
70% — —
Crypto
15% — —
Other
11% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 421 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -35 $-29 82¢ $-29 $-0 06-07 18:41
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -29 $-15 56¢ $-16 $-1 06-07 18:37
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -15 $-12 92¢ $-14 $-1 06-02 21:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -13 $-13 98¢ $-13 $-0 06-02 10:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -26 $-13 30¢ $-8 +$5 06-07 18:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-7 90¢ $-7 +$0 06-07 18:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -71 $-27 10¢ $-7 +$20 06-06 10:18
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -6 $-6 94¢ $-6 +$0 06-07 18:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-5 55¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 18:42
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes -6 $-6 94¢ $-5 +$0 05-30 22:49
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -34 $-5 16¢ $-5 $-1 06-05 09:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 18:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 18:42
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? No -4 $-4 97¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 18:43
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -5 $-4 87¢ $-4 +$0 06-07 18:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -4 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 18:44
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 $-0 05-29 07:58
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -4 $-3 78¢ $-3 +$0 06-07 18:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-3 64¢ $-3 +$0 06-07 18:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -3 $-2 84¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 18:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3 $-2 86¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 18:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -3 $-1 62¢ $-2 $-1 05-29 16:26
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +3 $2 62¢ $2 +$0 06-01 22:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-02 22:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -2 $-2 97¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 06:57
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-06 05:33
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? No +2 $2 74¢ $2 $-0 05-28 23:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No -2 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 21:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 05-27 22:00
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 13:19