(anonymous) 0x56d9a1…1b2ef0
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
3,374
lifetime
Volume
$6.40K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$99
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-15 19:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
70% — —
Crypto
14% — —
Other
11% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 421 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -35 $-29 86¢ $-31 $-2 06-07 18:41
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -29 $-15 60¢ $-17 $-2 06-07 18:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -26 $-13 26¢ $-7 +$6 06-07 18:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 18:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-5 58¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 18:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 18:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 06-07 18:42
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -5 $-4 92¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 18:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -4 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 18:44
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -4 $-3 86¢ $-3 $-0 06-07 18:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 18:40
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -3 $-2 86¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 18:43
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? No +2 $2 81¢ $2 $-0 05-28 23:04
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 06-15 19:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 76¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 11:59
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 22:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 19:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -85 $-30 0¢ $-0 +$30 06-15 19:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -0 $-0 82¢ $-0 +$0 06-15 19:58