Realized P&L
-$3.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$316
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
1,042
Trades
5,452
lifetime
Volume
$280.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$7.95K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 09:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Other
51% 48% -$9,972
Politics
26% 39% +$4,326
Sports
22% 57% +$1,787
Crypto
1% 43% +$241
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,000 $2,123 78¢ $2.4K +$232 10-26 15:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,500 $1,619 66¢ $1.7K +$43 10-26 20:53
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,000 $680 77¢ $770 +$90 10-26 17:57
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $578 78¢ $550 -$28 10-26 15:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +500 $289 64¢ $322 +$33 10-26 01:24
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $310 62¢ $308 -$2 10-20 14:48
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +400 $215 72¢ $290 +$75 10-14 19:10
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +400 $286 72¢ $286 $0 10-26 17:51
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +501 $211 46¢ $229 +$18 10-26 23:50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $200 62¢ $184 -$16 10-20 20:41
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +531 $172 35¢ $183 +$11 10-26 18:12
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +500 $145 29¢ $143 -$2 10-26 23:53
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +400 $115 32¢ $126 +$11 10-20 00:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $106 36¢ $109 +$3 10-26 08:51
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,400 $96 4¢ $98 +$2 10-16 16:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $90 92¢ $92 +$2 10-09 22:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$76 18¢ $-91 -$15 10-05 18:27
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +500 $95 11¢ $55 -$40 10-22 03:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $56 12¢ $47 -$9 06-13 01:22
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $40 46¢ $46 +$6 10-26 22:47
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? Yes +2,725 $106 0¢ $3 -$104 10-25 16:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 -$5 12¢ $0 +$5 07-02 12:09