Fat-Matrix — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

+$53

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

385

lifetime

Volume

$19.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$608

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

33% — —

Crypto

26% — —

Other

26% 100% +$21

Politics

11% — —

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes		+610	$556	100¢	$608	+$53	06-01 13:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 82k december 29 january 4	1	$2.9K	0	2,926	-2,926	open	—	01-05 00:24
nba hou nop 2026 03 29	2	$1.3K	651	651	+0	open	—	03-30 00:54
nba bos cha 2026 03 29	4	$1.2K	639	639	+0	open	—	03-30 00:05
nfl no atl 2026 01 04	3	$1.1K	650	650	+0	open	—	01-04 21:15
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	9	$1.1K	556	556	+0	open	—	06-01 12:30
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	40	$1.1K	2,804	2,804	+0	open	—	03-26 12:36
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	5	$934	537	499	+38	open	—	05-31 10:14
spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	5	$708	656	200	+456	open	—	06-12 17:12
fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	2	$561	300	300	+0	open	—	03-30 20:58
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	2	$556	610	0	+610	open	—	06-01 13:55
will bitcoin dip to 84k december 29 january 4	1	$540	0	541	-541	open	—	01-04 20:11
nba sas ind 2026 01 02	6	$497	401	401	+0	open	—	01-03 02:28
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	9	$485	484	586	-102	open	—	01-03 22:07
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	1	$406	424	0	+424	open	—	06-12 14:06
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	36	$403	3,157	281	+2,876	open	—	03-18 17:46
nfl kc lv 2026 01 04	1	$370	578	0	+578	open	—	01-04 21:15
nfl dal nyg 2026 01 04	1	$365	589	0	+589	open	—	01-04 14:20
nfl car tb 2026 01 04	1	$242	366	0	+366	open	—	01-03 22:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 4	3	$236	123	123	+0	open	—	03-04 18:46
will bitcoin reach 92k december 29 january 4	3	$221	187	187	+0	open	—	01-03 22:21
bitcoin above 90k on january 3	7	$216	258	258	+0	open	—	01-03 15:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	11	$205	320	0	+320	open	—	03-05 16:26
will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 645	7	$192	293	293	+0	open	—	03-04 13:55
will bitcoin reach 96k january 12 18	1	$184	341	0	+341	open	—	01-13 17:58
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 bog1	2	$183	106	106	+0	open	—	01-20 13:17
will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on spotify this week	3	$168	135	135	+0	open	—	03-04 15:02
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	13	$159	116	190	-74	open	—	03-05 15:04
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$149	180	180	+0	open	—	05-22 17:39
will greenland 2 migration opening weekend box office be greater than 13pt5m	2	$140	234	234	+0	open	—	01-08 23:26
nfl was phi 2026 01 04	8	$139	212	0	+212	open	—	01-04 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 17:12:51	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	BUY	99	93¢	$92	0xe59025…
06-12 16:44:18	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x61a7b6…
06-12 16:35:06	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	BUY	57	89¢	$51	0x388fb0…
06-12 14:06:48	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	No	BUY	424	96¢	$406	0x987d14…
06-12 13:29:30	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x93a89f…
06-12 12:40:34	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xe29090…
06-03 01:41:45	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	SELL	22	43¢	$9	0x0c1d24…
06-03 01:40:38	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x751d88…
06-03 01:40:30	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xadd739…
06-03 01:37:31	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xcb670f…
06-02 20:57:26	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xf8d268…
06-02 20:56:18	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe503db…
06-02 20:56:18	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb40c47…
06-02 20:56:14	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8cc104…
06-01 13:55:07	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	588	91¢	$536	0x726d57…
06-01 13:45:01	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x4fc436…
06-01 12:30:04	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	327	100¢	$327	0x4bd8cb…
06-01 12:29:58	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x6089b7…
06-01 02:11:19	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3e3e8c…
06-01 01:39:23	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xc854ac…
06-01 01:37:17	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x80655c…
06-01 01:37:15	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x90d826…
05-31 11:37:10	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	336	95¢	$319	0x458763…
05-31 11:36:59	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	195	95¢	$185	0x435705…
05-31 10:57:00	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x1f9664…
05-31 10:14:16	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	438	98¢	$430	0xe309f7…
05-31 07:28:17	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xefef79…
05-31 06:33:03	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2f103a…
05-29 18:02:50	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x83f730…
05-26 00:05:00	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0x8c2adb…
05-25 22:15:25	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	281	83¢	$232	0xfa69f2…
05-25 21:33:01	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	256	83¢	$211	0xcc1d1a…
05-25 20:06:53	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x4a9fec…
05-25 19:52:32	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	New York Yankees	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x4eb5ba…
05-23 00:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x29542f…
05-23 00:33:55	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	246	43¢	$106	0xca7e4b…
05-22 17:39:08	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	180	40¢	$72	0x40f155…
05-22 17:00:40	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0x45dd0c…
05-22 15:11:49	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	180	43¢	$77	0xfcc86e…
05-22 15:05:59	Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	Learner Tien	SELL	75	44¢	$33	0x2e5704…
05-22 14:54:22	Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	Learner Tien	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbb37fb…
05-22 14:52:43	Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	Learner Tien	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x38aa85…
05-22 14:50:51	Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	Learner Tien	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x23a18e…
05-22 14:50:49	Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	Learner Tien	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0a6c4e…
05-22 14:50:44	Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	Learner Tien	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x18a6ee…
05-22 01:44:48	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	154	81¢	$125	0x7579d0…
05-21 23:47:24	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	180	36¢	$65	0x1edfcf…
05-21 00:48:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	180	34¢	$61	0x612e7a…
05-20 00:31:20	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb4ce88…
05-20 00:30:08	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6829ee…
05-20 00:07:23	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	BUY	67	52¢	$35	0x294309…
05-18 19:50:14	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xda639f…
05-18 19:24:02	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xff5225…
05-18 19:19:26	Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xde8e16…
05-07 17:43:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenasso	Gianluca Cadenasso	SELL	143	3¢	$4	0xe4564f…
05-07 15:42:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristian Garin vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Cristian Garin	BUY	131	87¢	$114	0x257fc6…
04-21 02:31:30	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x59da23…
04-19 21:59:10	2026 rbc heritage winner scottie scheffler win	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x0c7f4d…
04-17 23:14:22	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x618722…
04-17 12:24:46	dota2 ic modus 2026 04 17	Inner Circle	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x294130…
04-12 14:22:13	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x7bc146…
04-09 15:14:31	btc updown 5m 1775747700	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xde3b1f…
04-09 14:13:45	btc updown 5m 1775743800	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3781f9…
03-31 00:52:51	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Pistons	BUY	46	16¢	$7	0x58e740…
03-31 00:52:19	nba phi mia 2026 03 30	76ers	SELL	67	11¢	$7	0x5f3e90…
03-31 00:27:09	nba phi mia 2026 03 30	76ers	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xd2b887…
03-31 00:14:05	nba phi mia 2026 03 30	76ers	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xabd7bd…
03-30 20:58:17	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x6e2de9…
03-30 18:54:51	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	Yes	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x01583d…
03-30 13:28:58	bitcoin above 68k on march 30	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x0fe196…
03-30 00:54:50	nba hou nop 2026 03 29	Rockets	SELL	651	99¢	$647	0xbc70ab…
03-30 00:22:38	nba hou nop 2026 03 29	Rockets	BUY	651	98¢	$638	0x1d7943…
03-30 00:05:30	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Celtics	SELL	603	100¢	$601	0xd73d05…
03-30 00:05:24	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Celtics	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xc6f471…
03-29 23:15:20	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Celtics	BUY	44	81¢	$36	0x103e85…
03-29 23:15:00	spx up or down on march 30 2026	Up	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xcd05c5…
03-29 23:10:20	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Celtics	BUY	595	81¢	$482	0x2c020c…
03-29 16:18:10	spx up or down on march 30 2026	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x26d2fb…
03-29 02:12:26	nba chi mem 2026 03 28	Bulls	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x50a2f8…
03-27 16:11:35	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xbd1dc4…
03-27 14:27:47	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xd8aaa8…
03-27 14:27:35	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xdc2736…
03-27 14:27:35	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x0e15ed…
03-27 13:09:03	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x809231…
03-27 13:09:03	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	95	33¢	$32	0x699bc0…
03-27 12:59:03	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	146	34¢	$50	0x03b71b…
03-26 21:45:05	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 bra	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe60fab…
03-26 21:45:03	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4206ad…
03-26 21:22:17	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 bra	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7b09cb…
03-26 20:57:45	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x6796db…
03-26 20:57:45	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	Yes	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x12abf2…
03-26 20:29:21	uef wal bih 2026 03 26 wal	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcfce3d…
03-26 19:57:57	uef wal bih 2026 03 26 wal	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xa13c21…
03-26 12:47:51	bitcoin above 70k on march 26	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb592a9…
03-26 12:36:31	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	470	19¢	$89	0x3dc05c…
03-26 12:36:25	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	19¢	$23	0x142855…
03-26 12:36:25	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	115	19¢	$22	0x005f78…
03-26 12:36:19	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x5b5de4…
03-26 12:36:19	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	340	19¢	$65	0x2f1193…
03-26 12:36:17	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x5b463c…