Sad-Molasses — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved

300

Trades

1,485

lifetime

Volume

$178.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 11-01 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

79% 53% +$6,281

Sports

12% 85% +$2,112

Politics

9% 62% +$543

Crypto

0% 20% -$185

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?	17	$12.9K	12,455	1,205	+11,250	Yes	+$305	06-15 22:06
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?	15	$7.0K	7,143	0	+7,143	No	+$148	07-30 01:52
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?	21	$5.7K	5,010	2,006	+3,004	No	+$104	06-29 15:08
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?	28	$5.4K	5,290	1,789	+3,501	No	+$1,042	06-28 04:09
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$5.3K	6,900	0	+6,900	Yes	+$1,597	06-23 00:01
will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	12	$5.0K	5,527	323	+5,204	No	+$324	06-28 04:10
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	5	$4.7K	5,339	0	+5,339	No	+$616	06-01 02:40
Will Iran be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	18	$4.3K	4,399	0	+4,399	No	+$108	06-28 04:01
abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	11	$3.5K	3,630	0	+3,630	No	+$85	07-30 01:53
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	4	$3.4K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$575	06-20 17:28
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	21	$3.2K	4,700	3,350	+1,350	Yes	+$889	06-22 02:25
abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	5	$3.1K	3,426	58	+3,368	No	+$369	08-07 15:25
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	41	$3.0K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	-$1,273	07-18 22:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	25	$2.8K	2,694	2,694	+0	No	-$216	07-21 01:15
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	4	$2.8K	2,877	700	+2,177	Yes	-$130	07-04 18:53
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	2	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$15	06-22 02:23
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	4	$2.4K	1,551	1,551	+0	No	+$68	07-08 01:11
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	9	$2.4K	2,730	0	+2,730	No	+$361	07-09 23:49
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	31	$2.3K	3,887	2,587	+1,300	No	-$348	06-20 04:27
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	13	$2.3K	2,499	20	+2,479	No	+$219	06-20 18:47
will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by june 30	24	$2.3K	1,777	1,328	+449	Yes	+$66	06-15 17:32
will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	8	$2.2K	2,394	0	+2,394	No	+$202	06-15 10:44
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	France	+$140	07-04 19:27
Will Iran be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	2	$1.8K	1,764	0	+1,764	No	+$4	06-28 04:00
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 1pt5	7	$1.6K	3,680	0	+3,680	Over	+$2,066	07-18 21:52
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?	15	$1.5K	2,096	1,328	+768	No	+$47	06-30 15:56
Will Iran be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	3	$1.5K	1,491	0	+1,491	No	+$4	06-28 03:51
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	4	$1.5K	1,800	0	+1,800	England	+$346	07-11 23:19
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	6	$1.4K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$1,052	07-10 20:16
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	8	$1.4K	2,700	0	+2,700	Yes	+$1,280	07-07 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:42:15	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xf29627…
11-01 17:37:21	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x8c6c77…
11-01 17:36:49	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xc8f3eb…
11-01 17:16:06	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x61db59…
11-01 17:15:40	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$16	0xa2ad64…
11-01 17:14:06	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x36290e…
11-01 17:13:52	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x61ce4f…
11-01 17:06:27	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	68	72¢	$49	0xde8570…
11-01 17:06:18	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x3e2c91…
11-01 16:57:45	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xfd9825…
11-01 16:57:28	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x1e2b3a…
10-31 15:23:51	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x483119…
10-25 20:44:41	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x162947…
10-25 20:44:17	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xc2d8b2…
10-25 20:44:09	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x91b90f…
10-25 20:43:56	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xa8fabe…
10-25 20:43:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x4a0208…
10-25 20:38:29	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xf756b5…
10-21 17:34:11	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x9ee327…
10-21 17:06:51	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x16e6b4…
10-21 17:06:08	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x1d3616…
10-20 20:44:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xb5b93f…
10-20 20:36:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xc3e109…
10-20 19:57:56	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xfab55c…
10-20 19:52:00	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6bb4be…
10-20 19:51:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x23427c…
10-20 19:51:35	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3a9fb8…
09-30 11:47:17	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x5a1fe0…
09-30 09:50:09	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	SELL	863	8¢	$71	0x77845d…
09-29 21:00:26	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	SELL	187	10¢	$19	0x4e0c7d…
09-29 14:46:18	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0xeb189b…
09-28 16:12:50	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	SELL	130	75¢	$97	0x7e2224…
09-28 10:18:59	Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xca7bde…
09-28 10:16:38	Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	SELL	292	84¢	$245	0x7bcfcb…
09-26 20:04:03	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x019752…
09-26 20:02:27	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0xf7095d…
09-26 20:02:14	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0xf4a9d5…
09-26 20:00:29	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0x6c4a25…
09-26 20:00:27	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	295	14¢	$41	0xff7ad7…
09-26 20:00:24	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	138	14¢	$19	0x717fed…
09-26 19:59:24	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	390	6¢	$23	0x068e45…
09-26 19:29:06	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x2031f2…
09-26 19:28:59	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x5f88fd…
09-19 21:16:17	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x053e8d…
09-19 16:17:44	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x99c6b1…
09-19 16:17:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x5dead9…
09-19 16:16:56	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x53fc89…
09-19 16:16:44	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x87e4d4…
09-18 15:33:45	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	BUY	170	84¢	$143	0x6084df…
09-15 09:35:27	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	BUY	435	76¢	$328	0x24974d…
09-15 09:35:12	Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	140	59¢	$83	0x685e27…
09-15 08:45:49	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,500	19¢	$285	0xc13a69…
09-12 23:27:15	Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	158	56¢	$89	0x847e5e…
09-12 04:28:22	Will USD be at least 3.1M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb3da2c…
09-12 04:28:04	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	BUY	529	65¢	$344	0x2383d9…
09-12 04:26:21	Will USD be between 2.8M and 3.1M Iranian rials on September 30?	No	BUY	484	92¢	$444	0xbb9008…
08-15 00:20:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	1,291	4¢	$53	0x7ffb1d…
08-14 07:45:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x595550…
08-14 07:44:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x347115…
08-14 07:43:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	32	26¢	$8	0x5950f3…
08-14 07:43:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xfc997d…
08-14 07:43:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	790	6¢	$48	0x5337a9…
08-10 16:53:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	51	35¢	$18	0x01bd52…
08-10 16:52:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x422f03…
08-10 16:39:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x495507…
08-10 16:39:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xef9fed…
08-10 16:27:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0x7d33be…
08-10 16:27:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xc73443…
08-09 17:32:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0x57dd1e…
08-09 17:31:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x0433a3…
08-09 16:57:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x62e401…
08-09 16:06:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x50164c…
08-09 15:57:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xcb9f92…
08-09 15:50:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xb5881b…
08-09 15:36:54	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	468	33¢	$154	0x754208…
08-09 15:35:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1,400	17¢	$239	0xc64c3e…
08-09 15:34:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xbcd492…
08-09 15:34:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x6df55e…
08-09 15:34:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xae0d64…
08-09 15:33:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x52c199…
08-07 15:25:15	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x80f258…
08-04 20:20:39	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0x30d90b…
07-31 06:49:21	Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?	Yes	BUY	182	90¢	$165	0x86e5d4…
07-30 01:53:39	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfb4f79…
07-30 01:52:42	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325082	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xd1ed3e…
07-30 01:52:32	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x4c5777…
07-30 01:52:08	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325082	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5389b4…
07-26 16:06:54	Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on July 31?	No	SELL	114	81¢	$93	0x0576e4…
07-26 15:17:09	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	No	BUY	2,721	99¢	$2,692	0xb0ec17…
07-26 15:16:00	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325082	No	BUY	1,785	99¢	$1,775	0x319ecf…
07-26 15:11:40	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x899705…
07-26 15:11:24	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325082	No	BUY	193	99¢	$190	0xfbaebd…
07-25 22:23:46	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0xfb838d…
07-25 22:23:39	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	2,700	90¢	$2,422	0x48bc43…
07-25 22:22:51	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	702	87¢	$610	0xdd88ae…
07-25 22:22:36	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	No	BUY	201	97¢	$195	0xf7e5f3…
07-25 22:18:28	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325082	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x0a8313…
07-25 14:53:01	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325082	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x283826…
07-25 11:30:57	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325082	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0x1fa468…
07-25 05:23:42	Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on July 31?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0xaa6971…