Quarrelsome-Provision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$728

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

34.6%

Resolved

4,172

Trades

14,375

lifetime

Volume

$97.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-24 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 60% -$773

Sports

42% 11% -$20

Politics

8% 25% $0

Other

2% 40% +$65

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No		+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	05-15 10:49
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	05-06 03:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	950	$5.6K	2,871	2,871	+0	No	-$3	05-24 04:42
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	844	$5.1K	2,545	2,545	+0	open	—	05-24 04:50
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	828	$5.0K	2,512	2,512	+0	No	-$3	05-24 05:27
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	260	$3.4K	1,713	1,713	+0	No	-$2	05-15 09:26
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	238	$3.4K	1,691	1,691	+0	No	-$2	05-10 17:16
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	316	$3.3K	1,706	1,706	+0	No	-$2	05-15 08:24
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	234	$3.2K	1,610	1,610	+0	No	-$2	05-15 08:47
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	190	$2.6K	1,310	1,310	+0	No	-$1	05-15 09:33
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	224	$2.6K	1,304	1,304	+0	No	-$1	05-25 01:39
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	212	$2.4K	1,221	1,221	+0	No	-$1	05-15 08:57
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	164	$2.3K	1,158	1,158	+0	No	-$1	05-15 09:02
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	162	$2.3K	1,161	1,161	+0	No	-$1	05-15 07:56
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	176	$2.2K	1,118	1,118	+0	No	-$1	05-15 09:43
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	120	$726	369	369	+0	open	—	05-17 21:58
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	8	$664	631	631	+0	FaZe	+$66	04-30 22:45
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	108	$657	331	331	+0	No	$0	05-09 03:31
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	82	$484	243	243	+0	No	$0	05-04 02:53
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	52	$350	176	176	+0	open	—	05-06 03:16
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	25	$304	1,169	1,169	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	$0	04-26 21:24
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	48	$285	146	146	+0	No	$0	05-15 19:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	48	$274	139	139	+0	No	$0	05-15 14:19
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	42	$244	124	124	+0	No	$0	05-25 02:03
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	34	$211	106	106	+0	open	—	05-09 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$210	137	137	+0	Up	+$62	05-10 22:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	18	$197	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-15 01:55
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 07:15 UTC	8	$162	106	106	+0	Down	+$48	04-01 07:21
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:15 UTC	2	$158	295	0	+295	Up	+$137	04-03 19:15
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	26	$153	77	77	+0	No	$0	05-09 20:23
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:25 UTC	16	$147	273	0	+273	Down	+$126	04-03 03:25
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$141	94	94	+0	Down	+$45	09-24 03:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 07:40:18	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb03a30…
10-24 07:35:33	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x304f33…
10-24 06:43:51	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x21fd95…
10-24 06:40:05	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xffb70f…
10-24 06:20:05	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2bfe27…
10-22 12:39:18	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd50462…
10-22 12:26:24	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9b2172…
10-22 11:43:53	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd17a2a…
10-22 11:41:33	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1a7a99…
10-22 10:25:08	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x46af67…
10-22 09:21:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x46a593…
10-19 11:50:14	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x180cb1…
10-19 10:53:59	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb3303b…
10-19 10:50:05	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x091fb0…
10-14 10:34:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7f1d05…
09-29 07:35:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x102d08…
09-29 07:30:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x010101…
09-29 06:55:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd4ad93…
09-26 10:19:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9c5159…
09-26 10:15:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x17a5a1…
09-26 09:40:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x97c90c…
09-26 09:31:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf955ae…
09-26 09:25:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa3e01a…
09-26 00:05:24	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x60dcce…
09-26 00:05:21	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfcbb9c…
09-25 23:55:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5e5331…
09-25 23:00:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x69cc01…
09-25 22:51:30	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x740c77…
09-25 22:51:30	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x6fee20…
09-25 22:44:56	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7d354f…
09-25 22:44:56	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x30c5ee…
09-25 22:40:08	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0b84e4…
09-25 22:35:23	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfed5b8…
09-25 22:31:03	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf87448…
09-25 22:26:27	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7ad6ad…
09-25 15:54:59	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4ee85c…
09-25 15:54:41	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3e763d…
09-25 15:54:35	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x370d09…
09-25 15:50:09	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x88bccb…
09-25 15:50:09	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6f71ee…
09-25 15:45:02	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa41e53…
09-25 15:40:08	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2d891e…
09-25 13:53:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xd84311…
09-25 13:49:59	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa1f432…
09-25 13:49:59	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0x1751ad…
09-25 13:45:12	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x94d460…
09-25 13:45:12	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x603c16…
09-25 13:40:20	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x492e98…
09-25 13:30:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd7385d…
09-25 10:47:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x137506…
09-25 10:45:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf3fab7…
09-25 10:05:15	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5cddf0…
09-25 02:55:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbe3358…
09-25 02:45:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe16eea…
09-25 02:20:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf40d5e…
09-25 00:44:33	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0x3cbdcb…
09-25 00:40:15	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x4fe465…
09-25 00:40:14	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x69e672…
09-25 00:34:54	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x92fc72…
09-25 00:30:11	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdac843…
09-24 23:15:08	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x55f644…
09-24 15:58:45	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x20a1c7…
09-24 15:55:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x78c0e8…
09-24 15:25:24	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x020e01…
09-24 13:05:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6d90c9…
09-24 11:08:38	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3742d2…
09-24 11:08:36	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x155e93…
09-24 11:04:42	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x8563e4…
09-24 11:00:24	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xce8ea2…
09-24 09:37:21	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x22b092…
09-24 09:35:08	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd7121c…
09-24 08:35:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdb774c…
09-24 08:30:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	54¢	$20	0x854138…
09-24 08:30:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0xcc68de…
09-24 08:25:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0xdd84c8…
09-24 08:25:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xbb2fb4…
09-24 08:25:53	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x17dc3b…
09-24 08:15:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xcbb8ec…
09-24 08:10:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xc59a29…
09-24 08:05:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0719d5…
09-24 05:13:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xdf810e…
09-24 05:10:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x099165…
09-24 05:10:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x564286…
09-24 05:05:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x867a23…
09-24 05:00:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x48ca4e…
09-24 03:07:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x8c488e…
09-24 03:05:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1aa316…
09-24 03:05:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	75	50¢	$38	0x0f7e75…
09-24 03:00:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x2981b8…
09-24 02:55:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xe8bf13…
09-24 02:45:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbf8abe…
09-24 02:40:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x498dc4…
09-24 02:11:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x22e426…
09-24 02:05:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb6f4e2…
09-24 02:00:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3a899f…
09-23 22:50:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x90c495…
09-23 22:40:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x04ac8c…
09-23 22:35:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x596475…
09-23 19:01:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x80635b…
09-23 18:56:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x08b5cc…