False-Airman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

191

Trades

663

lifetime

Volume

$6.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-05 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 87% $-14

Politics

6% — —

Other

5% 75% +$11

Sports

4% 75% +$7

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$139	78	78	+0	Down	+$15	05-12 06:30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina	5	$139	74	75	-1	Elena Rybakina	+$10	05-11 20:52
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$124	62	72	-10	open	—	05-15 04:42
Will Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?	6	$119	90	90	+0	open	—	05-14 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	2	$111	61	61	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2AM ET	2	$109	56	56	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6AM ET	5	$103	61	61	+0	open	—	04-27 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$101	56	56	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10PM ET	2	$100	53	53	+0	Up	+$6	05-13 03:31
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$86	46	46	+0	Thunder	+$6	05-12 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	2	$84	44	44	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$83	93	0	+93	Down	$-83	05-12 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5AM ET	2	$80	42	41	+0	open	—	04-27 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	2	$77	41	41	+0	open	—	05-03 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$76	55	55	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$76	83	0	+83	Down	+$7	05-12 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$69	37	37	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 10:33
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	5	$68	41	41	+0	open	—	05-03 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$67	74	0	+74	open	—	05-15 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET	2	$66	36	36	+0	open	—	04-26 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	2	$64	47	47	+0	Down	$-16	05-12 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$63	83	0	+83	open	—	05-15 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$62	64	0	+64	Up	+$2	05-11 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$60	85	0	+85	Down	$-60	05-07 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$60	33	33	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2PM ET	4	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	04-26 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5PM ET	6	$60	49	48	+1	open	—	04-27 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$59	66	66	+0	Down	$-10	05-12 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$58	63	0	+63	open	—	05-15 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$56	62	0	+62	Down	+$6	05-11 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 05:09:13	btc updown 5m 1780635900	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x9e2b8f…
06-02 22:20:25	Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa38e6a…
06-02 22:18:31	Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeney	Taylah Preston	SELL	13	82¢	$10	0x2c6633…
06-02 22:16:48	Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeney	Taylah Preston	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x005d55…
06-01 11:53:12	Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings	Dallas Wings	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xa0318d…
06-01 11:52:28	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x34c3c4…
06-01 10:26:52	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x09f2b0…
06-01 10:26:15	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xbee6d8…
06-01 08:31:18	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x1225b9…
06-01 08:20:48	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x52e1f8…
06-01 08:19:22	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xec92fd…
05-31 04:20:17	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7d4801…
05-30 11:00:50	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x6a9dd2…
05-29 23:03:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x56fb91…
05-29 01:49:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7cadbb…
05-25 13:05:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x10bd9e…
05-23 12:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x0ca96b…
05-23 12:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9b4ed2…
05-23 11:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x186d58…
05-23 11:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0xa810cb…
05-23 07:25:50	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x15b11b…
05-23 07:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbfa0b2…
05-23 03:21:11	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1725d0…
05-23 00:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xec7ca0…
05-23 00:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xce5c9b…
05-22 22:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe0387c…
05-22 22:08:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7d71f1…
05-22 21:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x305a8e…
05-22 21:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb906c1…
05-22 21:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd67163…
05-22 21:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x37d4d9…
05-21 00:45:42	Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x150dd4…
05-21 00:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xe11699…
05-21 00:18:57	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xa60c0f…
05-20 23:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc2f61e…
05-20 23:26:37	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa94b47…
05-20 10:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x09f2c4…
05-20 05:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xef6c57…
05-20 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa22a11…
05-20 01:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8526e9…
05-20 00:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2789ee…
05-19 20:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xe5a682…
05-19 20:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x69134d…
05-19 20:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe21a2b…
05-19 14:23:33	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6b4324…
05-19 13:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xac24e4…
05-19 12:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x0588e7…
05-19 12:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb1719c…
05-19 12:28:08	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xce6383…
05-18 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x8b2605…
05-18 21:10:02	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x6912a7…
05-18 21:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x5675c6…
05-18 21:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x49e9cf…
05-18 21:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x4604e4…
05-18 20:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xa077c8…
05-18 20:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x425670…
05-18 20:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x018fb0…
05-18 20:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x8aa184…
05-18 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x933893…
05-18 19:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x796e21…
05-18 19:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6b2e4b…
05-18 19:17:53	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in May 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x493b54…
05-18 05:37:06	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in May 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xca3834…
05-17 10:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x45b1f4…
05-17 10:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x480be0…
05-17 10:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4de63f…
05-17 10:47:41	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x296836…
05-17 06:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x71dbb5…
05-17 05:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb22f19…
05-15 23:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x5adba6…
05-15 23:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x4d6fb6…
05-15 23:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x1395ac…
05-15 22:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb5d0b4…
05-15 22:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x8de202…
05-15 22:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf0ee8e…
05-15 13:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3f8e51…
05-15 13:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa5074b…
05-15 13:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x70b5a1…
05-15 07:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	74	91¢	$67	0xf94948…
05-15 07:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0xf1b84c…
05-15 07:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x805352…
05-15 07:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x5aaa6d…
05-15 06:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xe06c9f…
05-15 06:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xbb220d…
05-15 06:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xb25210…
05-15 05:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	83	76¢	$63	0xf668bd…
05-15 04:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	63	92¢	$58	0xf6504d…
05-15 04:42:33	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0x764b13…
05-15 03:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6131e1…
05-14 23:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6a808c…
05-14 23:13:47	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x28c4ca…
05-14 23:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7c628a…
05-14 22:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x6fb94e…
05-14 22:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8b0111…
05-14 22:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xa09ca8…
05-14 22:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5dc4d8…
05-14 22:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5752c3…
05-14 22:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x757ecc…
05-14 22:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x2badfc…
05-14 22:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x76d579…