False-Airman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$242

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

654

Trades

1,159

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$59

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 11-13 08:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

39% 62% -$474

Crypto

36% 82% +$3

Sports

20% 63% +$200

Politics

5% 57% +$30

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+74	$42	62¢	$47	+$5	11-13 05:21
Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	Yes	+20	$8	44¢	$9	+$0	11-13 05:20
New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$2	24¢	$2	$0	11-13 01:58
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+26	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	11-01 15:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb det hou 2026 06 15	2	$569	309	309	+0	Detroit Tigers	+$49	06-16 03:13
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime?	2	$486	260	260	+0	Yes	+$34	06-16 02:10
wnba por min 2026 06 15	2	$434	229	229	+0	Minnesota Lynx	+$23	06-16 01:47
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$344	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	06-19 00:23
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	2	$342	180	180	+0	No	-$5	06-18 13:49
mlb pit oak 2026 06 15	1	$307	320	0	+320	Athletics	+$13	06-16 03:14
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	16	$306	179	179	+0	open	—	05-15 07:52
mlb sd stl 2026 06 17	1	$288	300	0	+300	San Diego Padres	+$12	06-17 20:44
mlb sf atl 2026 06 16	1	$270	300	0	+300	San Francisco Giants	+$30	06-17 19:22
wnba min la 2026 06 17	2	$264	300	0	+300	Minnesota Lynx	+$36	06-18 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 17?	2	$191	98	98	+0	No	+$4	06-17 12:14
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	4	$186	200	0	+200	No	+$14	06-18 23:34
lol nsea t1a 2026 06 17	1	$171	200	0	+200	T1 Academy	+$29	06-17 12:31
mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	2	$145	169	0	+169	Philadelphia Phillies	+$24	06-16 23:23
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$142	355	0	+355	No	-$142	05-30 09:23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina	6	$140	75	75	+0	Elena Rybakina	+$10	05-11 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$139	78	78	+0	Down	+$15	05-12 06:30
mlb bal sea 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	1	$138	200	0	+200	Seattle Mariners	+$62	06-18 20:31
kbo kt doo 2026 06 16	2	$135	151	0	+151	KT Wiz	+$16	06-16 11:02
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$133	72	72	+0	No	+$3	05-15 04:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	6	$132	160	160	+0	Yes	-$125	05-07 08:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	10	$130	70	70	+0	open	—	05-14 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?	11	$121	9,421	0	+9,421	No	-$121	05-07 03:06
Will Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?	6	$119	90	90	+0	Yes	-$19	05-14 13:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 10?	3	$111	60	60	+0	No	+$9	05-10 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	2	$111	61	61	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 07:12
mlb tor bos 2026 06 16	2	$110	113	0	+113	Toronto Blue Jays	+$3	06-17 01:25
wta keys wa 2026 06 15	1	$110	150	0	+150	Madison Keys	+$40	06-16 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2AM ET	2	$109	56	56	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6AM ET	5	$103	61	61	+0	Down	+$19	04-27 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 08:21:03	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xac9511…
11-13 08:20:27	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xc39d7f…
11-13 08:09:06	Will Gemini Hydrogen debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x511f53…
11-13 08:07:43	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xb53550…
11-13 08:06:25	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner	Saigon Warriors	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1aae77…
11-13 06:31:01	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner	Saigon Warriors	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x591d0b…
11-13 06:26:40	Will Gemini Hydrogen debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x711cf8…
11-13 05:32:37	Islanders vs. Kings	Islanders	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x8533f2…
11-13 05:21:39	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd97424…
11-13 05:20:40	Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x6ad26e…
11-13 03:21:42	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4cd8f4…
11-13 03:20:46	Spread: Memphis (-14.5)	South Florida	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x4aca89…
11-13 03:19:24	Hornets vs. Suns: 1H Moneyline	Suns	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x24ae8a…
11-13 02:39:55	nba cha phx 2026 11 12 1h moneyline	Suns	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0ea68b…
11-13 02:37:48	Raptors vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xea20e3…
11-13 02:02:33	Raptors vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	19	93¢	$17	0x737a9f…
11-13 02:01:19	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x92f5c1…
11-13 01:59:39	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x435d6d…
11-13 01:58:45	New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x07ebec…
11-12 12:08:40	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x6f1d40…
11-12 05:49:10	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x074cce…
11-12 05:46:45	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x83db19…
11-12 01:14:04	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x9b7695…
11-12 00:45:18	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x634fc8…
11-12 00:31:10	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x877ab3…
11-12 00:30:19	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xbe773c…
11-11 00:29:37	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x7743a3…
11-11 00:28:22	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0x82cad8…
11-10 09:02:00	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x78b0c5…
11-09 21:09:27	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xeb1897…
11-08 20:58:55	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xd04d47…
11-08 20:54:45	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x8e39f8…
11-07 13:44:45	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2ac247…
11-06 22:15:12	Celtics vs. Hornets	Celtics	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xd093dd…
11-06 09:49:15	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x22a78d…
11-06 06:18:30	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x8135ce…
11-06 06:16:04	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x2f3603…
11-06 05:06:06	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xcf3bda…
11-06 05:05:07	Heat vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x428eba…
11-06 05:04:00	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x0ba055…
11-05 00:45:46	Lakers vs. Kings	Lakers	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0xcc9352…
11-04 23:49:46	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2842d3…
11-04 23:24:19	Dota 2: Team Allied vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B	Team Lynx	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x305e1a…
11-04 23:24:18	Dota 2: Team Allied vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B	Team Lynx	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x2522d9…
11-04 23:21:51	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5f28ed…
11-04 23:21:42	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x9f6b97…
11-04 07:13:07	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x006ba3…
11-04 07:11:27	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xbbad4b…
11-04 07:09:54	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x900636…
11-04 07:08:49	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3b61ee…
11-04 07:08:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbd4a12…
11-04 02:04:54	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0e5860…
11-04 02:04:34	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x1a56cc…
11-04 02:03:31	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd82ea1…
11-02 04:39:03	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xb576c7…
11-02 03:58:33	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x71aade…
11-02 01:37:03	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa5978f…
11-02 01:34:18	Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x56741c…
11-02 01:33:33	Oilers vs. Rangers	Oilers	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xee6fcf…
11-02 00:53:18	Oilers vs. Rangers	Oilers	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0x79dc28…
11-01 18:05:16	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Osijek: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x92aff3…
11-01 17:25:33	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Osijek: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x5fb70f…
11-01 17:22:57	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Racing Club O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xcca1e4…
11-01 16:01:43	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Racing Club O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x611e32…
11-01 16:00:48	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x977943…
11-01 15:59:57	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Racing Club O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xca9209…
11-01 15:53:36	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x32b576…
11-01 15:51:43	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x236f90…
11-01 15:50:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x4d8075…
11-01 15:43:22	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x772b59…
11-01 15:36:22	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x83554f…
11-01 14:54:30	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x31b75a…
11-01 14:51:52	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x0b42e6…
11-01 11:30:57	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x8cb425…
11-01 11:30:13	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1085d6…
11-01 11:28:51	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x73ccd2…
11-01 11:28:04	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xed3c0f…
11-01 11:27:16	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xe44933…
07-27 11:20:00	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27 spread away 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xc940d1…
07-26 08:03:07	npb sai fuk 2026 07 26	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x271a9d…
07-25 17:37:25	mlb ari wsh 2026 07 25	Washington Nationals	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd6a2e5…
07-20 15:44:33	wnba min sea 2026 07 20	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xb92752…
07-04 06:13:17	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	T1	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x5a59c2…
07-04 04:32:28	mlb tor sea 2026 07 03	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x17d349…
07-02 21:01:55	wnba dal conn 2026 07 02	Dallas Wings	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcc9f84…
07-02 20:20:35	Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x248988…
07-02 19:06:14	atp mensik dimitro 2026 07 02	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xce6228…
07-01 22:09:35	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x8ebf87…
07-01 21:29:13	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x557067…
07-01 17:13:11	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xefcfd7…
07-01 17:09:10	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x82f554…
07-01 17:06:31	wta bencic wa 2026 07 01	Belinda Bencic	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0xb40dd9…
07-01 00:51:20	mlb tex cle 2026 06 30	Texas Rangers	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x732ba5…
07-01 00:51:20	mlb tex cle 2026 06 30	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x08e230…
07-01 00:35:53	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game handicap away 1pt5	T1	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x05e0e7…
06-30 04:02:08	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x05dc72…
06-30 03:59:07	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x5e1e17…
06-30 02:03:41	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xb0b360…
06-30 01:46:56	mlb min hou 2026 06 29	Minnesota Twins	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xce13c0…
06-29 03:50:40	lol t1 kc 2026 06 28	T1	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xf945dd…