Pesky-Clasp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

Trades

415

lifetime

Volume

$4.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-07 08:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 40% $-134

Other

1% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	12	$236	162	162	+0	open	—	05-04 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	8	$206	161	161	+0	open	—	05-02 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	6	$184	131	131	+0	Down	+$42	05-05 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	4	$160	67	127	-60	open	—	05-04 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	6	$135	179	179	+0	open	—	05-02 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	2	$122	82	82	+0	open	—	05-02 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	8	$108	91	91	+0	open	—	05-02 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$97	59	59	+0	open	—	05-02 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$88	59	59	+0	open	—	05-02 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6PM ET	2	$87	78	78	+0	open	—	05-01 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	5	$86	108	108	+0	open	—	05-04 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	12	$82	167	0	+167	open	—	05-04 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	3	$81	54	54	+0	open	—	05-02 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	5	$75	51	51	+0	Up	+$21	05-06 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	7	$72	49	49	+0	Up	+$20	05-05 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$68	46	46	+0	open	—	05-02 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	3	$68	38	38	+0	open	—	05-01 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$66	46	46	+0	open	—	05-01 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	3	$61	45	45	+0	open	—	05-01 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	3	$58	38	38	+0	open	—	05-03 16:01
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	5	$57	53	53	+0	open	—	05-05 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	05-02 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	05-03 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$50	101	0	+101	open	—	05-01 14:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	3	$49	44	44	+0	No	+$9	05-06 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$49	51	51	+0	open	—	05-02 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	5	$48	107	0	+107	Down	$-48	05-06 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$47	28	28	+0	open	—	05-01 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5AM ET	4	$45	92	0	+92	open	—	05-02 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	5	$45	104	0	+104	open	—	05-02 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 08:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa218cc…
05-06 19:05:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0x507a40…
05-06 19:04:48	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	57	2¢	$1	0x14f676…
05-06 18:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x050d3f…
05-06 18:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5489fe…
05-06 16:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4bbfe6…
05-06 16:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0ad2a1…
05-06 16:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xa4d770…
05-06 15:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0x8092a1…
05-06 15:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x034440…
05-06 15:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x84a8a0…
05-06 15:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x96e95c…
05-06 15:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1ac792…
05-06 13:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfeeb3b…
05-06 13:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x788605…
05-06 13:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	60	31¢	$18	0x6ec7bf…
05-06 13:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x71a37f…
05-06 13:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb21ebd…
05-06 13:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xaa661b…
05-06 12:11:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	44	67¢	$29	0x9b1dd0…
05-06 11:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x9dfba3…
05-06 10:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9f19d1…
05-06 10:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x81aeee…
05-06 09:46:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb35c04…
05-06 09:46:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xbac1fc…
05-06 00:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf60556…
05-06 00:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x59f733…
05-06 00:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x90bc6c…
05-05 21:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x53eda5…
05-05 20:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa43841…
05-05 20:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe57b99…
05-05 20:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xebbe3e…
05-05 20:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x37fce9…
05-05 15:20:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x398c97…
05-05 15:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	49	92¢	$46	0xc909c7…
05-05 13:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x07b256…
05-05 12:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x35888c…
05-05 12:45:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x10457f…
05-05 12:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x83e54d…
05-05 12:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xefa081…
05-05 12:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x284ff6…
05-05 12:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xcba681…
05-05 11:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x16524b…
05-05 11:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xc523e4…
05-05 08:27:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x3c9109…
05-05 08:26:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0xb6cf4f…
05-05 08:26:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x555daf…
05-05 08:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xe27c17…
05-05 07:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x303216…
05-05 07:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6d1192…
05-05 07:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xaad5bc…
05-05 07:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	131	86¢	$113	0x0a814c…
05-05 05:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaec187…
05-05 05:03:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x1bc64a…
05-05 05:03:16	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x3a0af6…
05-05 05:01:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0x35a16f…
05-05 04:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x1d16a4…
05-05 04:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x149486…
05-05 04:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x0d260d…
05-05 04:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x92bdf6…
05-05 03:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8da345…
05-05 03:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x638be5…
05-05 03:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x82d64d…
05-05 03:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x68cd54…
05-05 03:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x3b8eb1…
05-05 02:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x809473…
05-05 02:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x055e6a…
05-05 02:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x54639a…
05-05 02:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf6bd86…
05-05 02:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xb2b616…
05-05 02:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x194421…
05-05 02:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb72ede…
05-05 02:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xda4b2e…
05-05 02:30:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xbce6db…
05-04 20:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe0f594…
05-04 20:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa50b6b…
05-04 20:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6b59ab…
05-04 20:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbeccb1…
05-04 20:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe74561…
05-04 20:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x9390e3…
05-04 20:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe18ec6…
05-04 20:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7bb654…
05-04 19:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	108	38¢	$41	0x50d82f…
05-04 16:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xfa6e57…
05-04 16:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3e1963…
05-04 16:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x10e9b9…
05-04 16:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x42f9e2…
05-04 15:50:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x96d58b…
05-04 15:50:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x94d2ff…
05-04 15:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	162	98¢	$160	0x12ad6f…
05-04 13:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1db3c3…
05-04 13:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x75b02d…
05-04 13:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3a6e89…
05-04 13:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xca6ecc…
05-04 13:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd96c14…
05-04 12:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4a4504…
05-04 12:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8408fe…
05-04 12:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x845378…
05-04 12:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x450c51…
05-04 12:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xab10c9…