Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
open
Total volume
$1,205
Trades
35
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$3,909
Latest YES mid
62¢
Latest NO mid
38¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 00:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-48.1¢
(top1%: 15% YES on $130
vs crowd: 63% YES on $458)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $19 | $111 | $91 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $269 | $60 | +$209 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $19 | $111 | $91 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $51 | $51 |
| unranked | 9 | $262 | $3 | +$258 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +477 | $191 | $191 | 12 | 05-06 00:44 |
| Boiling-Ethnicity 0xe384…b4ac | Down | +144 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-06 00:09 |
| Knowledgeable-Socialism 0xfcbe…8f44 | Up | +125 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 05-06 00:06 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +38 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-06 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7bb…3b18 | Up | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-06 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc09d…0ee4 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 23:45 |
| Legal-Signify 0x4fac…20ce | Up | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-06 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5618…6ae9 | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 21:59 |
| Rosy-Multimedia 0xc09b…65c3 | Up | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 00:44 |
| Extra-Small-Screamer 0xd325…8c5f | Up | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 00:23 |
| Fruitful-Suede 0xccb9…d734 | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 00:43 |
| Flamboyant-Harm 0xd9db…48a1 | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 00:13 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Down | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 00:38 |
| Stale-Abrogation 0x8310…ac48 | Down | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 00:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 00:44:48 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x1f4cc3… |
| 05-06 00:44:28 | Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | Up | SELL | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x808452… |
| 05-06 00:44:26 | Rosy-Multimedia 0xc09b…65c3 | Up | BUY | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0xf3165d… |
| 05-06 00:44:26 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 123 | 41¢ | $50 | 0x881935… |
| 05-06 00:44:06 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x1b2583… |
| 05-06 00:44:04 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x76aa68… |
| 05-06 00:44:04 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 19 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xc6c4b1… |
| 05-06 00:43:58 | Fruitful-Suede 0xccb9…d734 | Up | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x808a09… |
| 05-06 00:43:56 | Leading-Zen 0xf438…1fc2 | Up | SELL | 1,102 | 59¢ | $650 | 0x2e708c… |
| 05-06 00:43:44 | Eager-Upper 0x2dd5…ed43 | Up | SELL | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xd5bb28… |
| 05-06 00:38:46 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Down | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x466f3d… |
| 05-06 00:29:20 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xbe442d… |
| 05-06 00:29:18 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x314789… |
| 05-06 00:29:02 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 155 | 42¢ | $65 | 0x261a50… |
| 05-06 00:29:00 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xc46987… |
| 05-06 00:28:42 | Leading-Zen 0xf438…1fc2 | Up | BUY | 260 | 63¢ | $164 | 0x3f9c1d… |
| 05-06 00:23:44 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 42¢ | $12 | 0x5ba207… |
| 05-06 00:23:38 | Menacing-Participation 0xb6b7…b9e1 | Down | SELL | 7 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xa793be… |
| 05-06 00:23:24 | Extra-Small-Screamer 0xd325…8c5f | Up | BUY | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x38ecae… |
| 05-06 00:23:10 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x502d34… |
| 05-06 00:23:08 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 24 | 38¢ | $9 | 0x9b100d… |
| 05-06 00:19:12 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x2cea40… |
| 05-06 00:13:50 | Flamboyant-Harm 0xd9db…48a1 | Down | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x759e9e… |
| 05-06 00:12:42 | Menacing-Participation 0xb6b7…b9e1 | Down | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x21f76b… |
| 05-06 00:10:54 | Legal-Signify 0x4fac…20ce | Up | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x48c07c… |
| 05-06 00:09:32 | Boiling-Ethnicity 0xe384…b4ac | Down | BUY | 144 | 35¢ | $50 | 0x833586… |
| 05-06 00:08:06 | Legal-Signify 0x4fac…20ce | Up | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x6b9faf… |
| 05-06 00:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xc7bb…3b18 | Up | BUY | 12 | 66¢ | $8 | 0x0a4dc2… |
| 05-06 00:06:04 | Knowledgeable-Socialism 0xfcbe…8f44 | Up | BUY | 125 | 65¢ | $81 | 0xbcdd16… |
| 05-06 00:05:56 | Stale-Abrogation 0x8310…ac48 | Down | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xaff5b0… |
| 05-06 00:00:20 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xd4edb2… |
| 05-06 00:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x8cfd…04c9 | Up | BUY | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0xa333e8… |
| 05-06 00:00:14 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 18 | 50¢ | $9 | 0x1ac2af… |
| 05-05 23:45:28 | (anonymous) 0xc09d…0ee4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xf72342… |
| 05-05 21:59:44 | (anonymous) 0x5618…6ae9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x535580… |