Informal-Wiseguy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

Trades

960

lifetime

Volume

$772

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 05-21 20:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1772730000	22	$118	85	85	+0	open	—	03-05 19:39
btc updown 4h 1772744400	10	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	03-06 00:32
btc updown 4h 1772758800	11	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-06 03:23
btc updown 4h 1772830800	7	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	03-06 23:35
btc updown 4h 1772874000	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-07 12:22
btc updown 4h 1772845200	7	$4	4	3	+0	open	—	03-07 02:57
btc updown 4h 1772888400	3	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-07 14:39
btc updown 4h 1775606400	8	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	9	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5PM ET	12	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 21:35
btc updown 4h 1776182400	4	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-14 19:58
btc updown 4h 1774800000	8	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-29 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9PM ET	11	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	21	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	10	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 14:53
btc updown 4h 1774454400	3	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 16:26
btc updown 5m 1774920300	2	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	03-31 01:27
btc updown 4h 1776873600	3	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET	6	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 22:33
btc updown 5m 1773950100	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 19:58
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 4pm et	14	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	04-18 20:50
bitcoin above 68k on april 5	8	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-05 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	7	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 22:35
btc updown 4h 1774785600	13	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-29 15:33
bitcoin above 68k on march 30	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 16:13
btc updown 4h 1776355200	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-16 17:55
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 10am et	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 14:49
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 8pm et	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 01:06
btc updown 4h 1774526400	5	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-26 14:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 20:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xac09ac…
05-21 20:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x4a31e7…
05-21 20:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x0f4581…
05-21 20:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xdf8649…
05-21 20:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x223d76…
05-21 20:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x1dc5f9…
05-21 20:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x5a0f1c…
05-21 20:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x896348…
05-21 20:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xf156f2…
05-21 20:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xe3b36c…
05-21 20:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x71afd3…
05-21 20:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x65289a…
05-21 20:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x2db1ce…
05-21 20:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x373d0d…
05-21 19:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x7ae784…
05-21 18:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3e0c3b…
05-21 15:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xeebfe1…
05-21 15:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xd5700b…
05-21 13:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xfef5b0…
05-21 13:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbb1eae…
05-21 13:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x5083d6…
05-21 13:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x03c4fb…
05-21 13:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbcea9b…
05-21 13:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7bb62b…
05-21 13:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x758295…
05-21 13:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x22b5bd…
05-20 16:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x914cf8…
05-20 16:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb4d96a…
05-20 15:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x9992f9…
05-20 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xa782a4…
05-20 15:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xf28211…
05-20 15:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x356e24…
05-20 15:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x32b5fd…
05-20 15:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x1483d6…
05-20 15:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x10beba…
05-20 15:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x431203…
05-20 15:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x7af886…
05-20 15:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xf542e8…
05-20 15:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xd056ec…
05-20 15:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x0236b4…
05-20 15:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x0ccfac…
05-20 15:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb6107a…
05-20 14:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3bbac0…
05-20 14:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x867330…
05-20 14:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdbac13…
05-20 14:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xafdea7…
05-20 14:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe68426…
05-20 14:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x52a06c…
05-20 14:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd940ef…
05-20 14:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x858c9c…
05-20 14:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce9aaa…
05-20 14:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x37b156…
05-18 11:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xd5a3ca…
05-18 11:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x0a4160…
05-18 11:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x6f5057…
05-18 11:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x57ce83…
05-18 11:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x29aff7…
05-18 11:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xe3cc63…
05-18 11:43:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe87b4b…
05-18 11:42:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2a8737…
05-18 11:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x76d816…
05-18 11:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9b612e…
05-17 23:58:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0d0ca8…
05-17 23:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x20ccbd…
05-17 10:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xad79da…
05-17 10:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xcf1587…
05-17 01:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3fede0…
05-14 13:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xcb05fb…
05-14 13:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x722210…
05-14 13:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x720dec…
05-14 13:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x39601a…
05-14 13:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x291274…
05-14 13:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xfb8084…
05-14 13:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x9af8a0…
05-14 13:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x73360d…
05-14 12:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x563572…
05-14 12:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x9476fe…
05-13 16:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbfb0c8…
05-13 15:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xdc89a3…
05-13 12:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x5bd16b…
05-13 12:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xfc90c3…
05-13 11:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xfe4d7b…
05-13 11:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xaac2b8…
05-13 11:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xa4f58f…
05-12 23:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xc0a423…
05-12 23:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x3de334…
05-12 23:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2142a5…
05-12 22:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x10e673…
05-12 22:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x5feca2…
05-12 22:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xa9016e…
05-12 22:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x070ce5…
05-12 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x88fd6d…
05-12 22:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x1ccd4f…
05-12 22:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x89f8f7…
05-12 21:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x76ebe1…
05-12 21:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xd7ab1a…
05-12 21:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x3c1005…
05-12 21:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x9efe1a…
05-12 21:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xdab985…
05-12 21:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xbe1a12…