Early-Ski — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$604

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

26,247

Trades

94,353

lifetime

Volume

$476.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$120

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-12 13:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 64% -$161

Other

14% 42% +$758

Sports

1% 35% +$71

Politics

0% 0% -$64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 982 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+114	$83	82¢	$93	+$10	05-14 16:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+114	$32	18¢	$21	-$11	05-14 16:30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+6	$5	83¢	$5	+$0	07-05 16:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+6	$1	17¢	$1	$0	07-05 16:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	843	$2.6K	4,108	1,137	+2,972	Noemi Basiletti	+$67	05-07 12:03
dota2 yes vp 2026 06 24	16	$2.1K	3,612	3,612	+0	Virtus.pro	-$33	06-24 14:38
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	430	$1.7K	1,586	1,085	+501	Casper Ruud	+$443	04-28 17:05
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste	188	$1.2K	1,210	770	+440	Hailey Baptiste	+$313	04-28 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:55 UTC	6	$1.1K	940	940	+0	Up	+$250	08-20 10:58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	166	$1.0K	1,031	780	+252	FUT Esports	+$536	04-29 17:13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	127	$944	1,982	0	+1,982	Coco Gauff	+$49	05-12 18:49
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	31	$920	1,468	514	+954	magic	-$10	05-12 07:28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	321	$861	1,550	1,115	+435	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	+$183	05-07 12:42
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz	39	$800	1,755	0	+1,755	Tristan Boyer	+$46	05-11 16:57
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Anastasia Potapova	271	$758	1,169	373	+796	Anastasia Potapova	-$13	04-29 13:08
Utah vs. Golden Knights	502	$705	2,012	0	+2,012	Golden Knights	+$131	04-30 06:17
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	228	$671	848	341	+507	Alexander Blockx	+$10	04-30 13:21
Mauthausen: Hugo Gaston vs Darwin Blanch	124	$636	675	465	+210	Darwin Blanch	+$293	04-29 10:04
Saint-Malo: Sofia Costoulas vs Leolia Jeanjean	143	$603	608	388	+219	Sofia Costoulas	+$173	04-29 18:00
Cagliari: Federico Arnaboldi vs Matteo Arnaldi	190	$594	639	319	+320	Matteo Arnaldi	+$44	04-29 15:14
Santos: Ryan Dickerson vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl	205	$585	998	898	+100	Joao Eduardo Schiessl	-$46	05-07 17:18
atp aboian casanov 2026 06 25	240	$572	640	540	+100	Valerio Aboian	-$6	06-26 15:18
La Bisbal: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Ashlyn Krueger	185	$550	621	284	+337	Beatriz Haddad Maia	+$18	04-29 18:01
Aix en Provence: Rinky Hijikata vs Sebastian Ofner	202	$536	600	245	+355	Rinky Hijikata	-$47	04-30 12:18
Aix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan Quinn	164	$532	586	586	-0	Ethan Quinn	+$66	04-30 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	151	$532	1,070	0	+1,070	Up	-$4	05-04 14:17
Rockets vs. Lakers	341	$507	1,603	0	+1,603	Rockets	-$47	04-30 04:43
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	190	$475	1,064	0	+1,064	Flavio Cobolli	-$155	04-28 21:30
atp torres aguil 2026 06 25	209	$464	571	430	+141	Joaquin Aguilar	-$11	06-26 14:47
Istanbul: Storm Hunter vs Guiomar Maristany	200	$455	990	0	+990	Guiomar Maristany	+$100	05-06 10:00
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Alina Charaeva	118	$449	361	276	+85	Alina Charaeva	+$103	04-30 14:40
Cagliari: Lorenzo Sonego vs Mattia Bellucci	106	$447	349	297	+52	Mattia Bellucci	+$141	04-29 18:07
Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Federico Cina	160	$440	548	213	+335	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	-$14	04-29 14:00
Cagliari: Cristian Garin vs Nuno Borges	152	$438	551	221	+331	Nuno Borges	+$3	04-30 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 13:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0ca4c3…
10-12 13:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9fe2e3…
10-12 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x51d275…
10-12 13:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc8e4ae…
10-12 13:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x060ba8…
10-12 13:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x14a20e…
10-12 13:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x63bbe6…
10-12 13:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3ff6de…
10-12 13:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbe41a0…
10-12 13:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x55b162…
10-12 12:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf9dc73…
10-12 12:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xff7f8f…
10-12 12:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x60ef07…
10-12 12:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6fd660…
10-12 12:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x907e1f…
10-12 12:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5f0f54…
10-12 12:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xeb02c9…
10-12 12:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd8aa17…
10-12 12:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xfe69b7…
10-12 12:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb04a7f…
10-12 03:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb612df…
10-12 03:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x537bcf…
10-12 03:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf53f41…
10-12 03:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb4c908…
10-12 03:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4dc7a7…
10-12 03:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf101c6…
10-12 03:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd246fe…
10-12 03:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xdde848…
10-12 03:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb314ae…
10-12 03:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf6943a…
10-12 03:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3880ce…
10-12 03:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x365165…
10-12 03:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x838219…
10-12 03:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2a6d85…
10-12 03:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x93cbb7…
10-12 03:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbc72a6…
10-12 03:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xf2da9c…
10-12 03:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x95c99b…
10-12 03:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0c2ba0…
10-12 03:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x433735…
10-12 03:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa4ccfc…
10-12 03:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x31f1db…
10-12 02:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8e621b…
10-12 02:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa78aef…
10-12 02:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2b4211…
10-12 02:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb8b3d6…
10-12 02:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb620af…
10-12 02:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc3f66a…
10-12 02:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbd48e0…
10-12 02:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9bfe68…
10-12 02:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xc87054…
10-12 02:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xb7f203…
10-12 02:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x4ec269…
10-12 02:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x35fa11…
10-12 02:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc6b8ec…
10-12 02:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9ccc10…
10-12 02:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9c299b…
10-12 02:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbd5bda…
10-12 02:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x10554f…
10-12 02:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd1bd28…
10-12 02:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x449640…
10-12 02:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa258ae…
10-12 02:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf47231…
10-12 01:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7e1dc9…
10-12 01:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xecdafc…
10-12 01:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x10cb1d…
10-12 01:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x5de32a…
10-12 01:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x7b69c8…
10-12 01:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x914fa6…
10-12 01:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6c479e…
10-12 01:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x13008a…
10-12 01:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x3ca33a…
10-12 01:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5e883f…
10-12 01:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x45e346…
10-12 01:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd1df86…
10-12 01:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa64583…
10-12 01:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xd956dc…
10-12 01:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xeafcb2…
10-12 01:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xd55d7f…
10-12 01:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xff9022…
10-12 01:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x086067…
10-12 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc5d6d7…
10-12 00:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa5e6df…
10-12 00:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xce41a5…
10-12 00:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x925894…
10-12 00:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6ccbf4…
10-12 00:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x148088…
10-12 00:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa0a220…
10-12 00:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x36327e…
10-12 00:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcb9acd…
10-12 00:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xade9e2…
10-12 00:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x829de8…
10-12 00:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd21bb6…
10-12 00:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xff00b9…
10-12 00:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xb69f9c…
10-12 00:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbf834c…
10-12 00:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2fb8bd…
10-12 00:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4bda14…
10-12 00:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd29ea4…
10-12 00:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x919a97…