Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$34,098
Trades
5,078
Unique wallets
805
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2026-10-12
First seen
2026-10-12
last 10-12 12:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.7¢
(top1%: 19% YES on $17.9K
vs crowd: 24% YES on $30.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 161 | $3.4K | $16.1K | $12.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 230 | $2.5K | $4.5K | $1.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 246 | $1.0K | $2.1K | $1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 168 | $417 | $624 | $206 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 157 | $3.4K | $14.5K | $11.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 97 | $589 | $1.6K | $1.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 45 | $231 | $647 | $416 |
| Median | 58 | $85 | $137 | $52 |
| Below median | 168 | $257 | $1.5K | $1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 102 | $922 | $837 | +$86 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 110 | $805 | $2.1K | $1.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 68 | $1.0K | $2.1K | $1.1K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +2,345 | $2,321 | $2,321 | 15 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +1,308 | $387 | $387 | 118 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +1,275 | $891 | $1,146 | 89 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +1,226 | $738 | $738 | 80 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x30cc…f47d | Up | +1,217 | $335 | $335 | 1 | 10-12 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | +1,000 | $990 | $990 | 13 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +913 | $418 | $418 | 61 | 10-12 12:32 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +821 | $543 | $543 | 60 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +815 | $149 | $149 | 105 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +802 | $593 | $593 | 56 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +797 | $135 | $135 | 12 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +783 | $208 | $208 | 49 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +775 | $563 | $563 | 57 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +671 | $564 | $564 | 18 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +650 | $498 | $498 | 7 | 10-12 12:32 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +600 | $6 | $6 | 44 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | +518 | $513 | $513 | 1 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +503 | $56 | $56 | 25 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 8 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +452 | $15 | $15 | 26 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +443 | $90 | $90 | 29 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x631f…694d | Down | +431 | $400 | $400 | 4 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +415 | $348 | $348 | 13 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +405 | $272 | $272 | 13 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Down | +400 | $180 | $180 | 16 | 10-12 12:30 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +368 | $22 | $22 | 8 | 10-12 12:32 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +356 | $211 | $211 | 7 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x79d0…ece0 | Up | +355 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-12 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbba5…12f0 | Up | +345 | $46 | $46 | 42 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c23…411f | Up | +333 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Puzzled-Caramel 0x24b7…4a73 | Up | +333 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-12 12:32 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +328 | $236 | $236 | 2 | 10-12 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +325 | $73 | $73 | 21 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd36e…6319 | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | +300 | $297 | $297 | 4 | 10-12 12:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | +300 | $294 | $294 | 5 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +278 | $110 | $110 | 38 | 10-12 12:32 |
| Sniveling-Curd 0x691f…877a | Up | +272 | $12 | $12 | 31 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +270 | $80 | $80 | 19 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x81ff…9c4d | Down | +269 | $201 | $201 | 41 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Joyous-Internet 0x8759…d94f | Down | +264 | $175 | $175 | 9 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +262 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | +250 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x32e0…58be | Up | +247 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 10-12 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | +247 | $44 | $44 | 9 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe16d…ac45 | Up | +240 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Down | +232 | $115 | $115 | 13 | 10-12 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | +232 | $25 | $25 | 58 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Stylish-Support 0x5ac6…e3d5 | Up | +220 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +211 | $38 | $38 | 29 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf | Down | +200 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 10-12 12:32 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Down | +200 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 10-12 12:33 |
| Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0 | Down | +200 | $132 | $132 | 13 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +190 | $108 | $108 | 24 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +184 | $130 | $130 | 15 | 10-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Down | +168 | $138 | $138 | 25 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Down | +161 | $69 | $125 | 21 | 10-12 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Down | +159 | $111 | $111 | 28 | 10-12 12:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 12:35:51 | (anonymous) 0x5349…1a42 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc0effb… |
| 10-12 12:35:51 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc0effb… |
| 10-12 12:34:45 | (anonymous) 0x9cf2…6ebc | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb01fb1… |
| 10-12 12:34:45 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb01fb1… |
| 10-12 12:34:26 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x47d227… |
| 10-12 12:34:26 | (anonymous) 0xb2f0…c7f0 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x47d227… |
| 10-12 12:34:17 | (anonymous) 0xe0cc…27b3 | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xb58286… |
| 10-12 12:34:17 | (anonymous) 0x81a3…1471 | Down | SELL | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xb58286… |
| 10-12 12:34:17 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xb58286… |
| 10-12 12:34:14 | (anonymous) 0xe0cc…27b3 | Down | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $33 | 0xa2fd76… |
| 10-12 12:34:14 | (anonymous) 0xb2f0…c7f0 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa2fd76… |
| 10-12 12:34:14 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 66 | 99¢ | $66 | 0xa2fd76… |
| 10-12 12:34:12 | Failing-Detection 0xd982…ae8a | Down | SELL | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x9663c1… |
| 10-12 12:34:12 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x9663c1… |
| 10-12 12:34:02 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x0a4ae4… |
| 10-12 12:34:02 | (anonymous) 0xab74…8a01 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0a4ae4… |
| 10-12 12:33:50 | (anonymous) 0x7490…5994 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x65cc1c… |
| 10-12 12:33:50 | (anonymous) 0xd36e…6319 | Up | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x65cc1c… |
| 10-12 12:33:50 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 89 | 99¢ | $88 | 0x65cc1c… |
| 10-12 12:33:50 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 111 | 99¢ | $110 | 0x65cc1c… |
| 10-12 12:33:45 | (anonymous) 0xa334…d96f | Down | SELL | 109 | 99¢ | $108 | 0xf602f5… |
| 10-12 12:33:45 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 109 | 99¢ | $108 | 0xf602f5… |
| 10-12 12:33:44 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3eb340… |
| 10-12 12:33:44 | (anonymous) 0xb7d5…239c | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3eb340… |
| 10-12 12:33:41 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 330 | 99¢ | $327 | 0x329ec8… |
| 10-12 12:33:41 | (anonymous) 0xa17e…efbc | Down | SELL | 330 | 99¢ | $327 | 0x329ec8… |
| 10-12 12:33:33 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x782971… |
| 10-12 12:33:33 | (anonymous) 0xc544…a8bc | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x782971… |
| 10-12 12:33:30 | (anonymous) 0x5e2a…81a4 | Down | SELL | 216 | 99¢ | $214 | 0x64133b… |
| 10-12 12:33:30 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xde6737… |
| 10-12 12:33:30 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 216 | 99¢ | $214 | 0x64133b… |
| 10-12 12:33:30 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xde6737… |
| 10-12 12:33:29 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x73ad2c… |
| 10-12 12:33:29 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x93cddb… |
| 10-12 12:33:29 | (anonymous) 0x59b7…ad26 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x436eae… |
| 10-12 12:33:29 | (anonymous) 0xcf48…7fef | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x93cddb… |
| 10-12 12:33:29 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x436eae… |
| 10-12 12:33:29 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x73ad2c… |
| 10-12 12:33:27 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd6b97d… |
| 10-12 12:33:27 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x4e62a6… |
| 10-12 12:33:27 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x4e62a6… |
| 10-12 12:33:27 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd6b97d… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe74d0e… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 109 | 99¢ | $108 | 0x609eb0… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe74d0e… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x94777f… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x64fc…e1c5 | Up | BUY | 86 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x98d96e… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe74d0e… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0xe74d0e… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Circular-Boot 0x608c…4f52 | Down | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 518 | 99¢ | $513 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | BUY | 109 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 86 | 99¢ | $85 | 0x98d96e… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1fc593… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x14ea…83b5 | Down | SELL | 87 | 99¢ | $86 | 0x609eb0… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Gleeful-Dumbwaiter 0x8a01…01ce | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1fc593… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x9d2b…fb2c | Up | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x609eb0… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x469cbb… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x64fc…e1c5 | Up | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x469cbb… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x94777f… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x469cbb… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x609eb0… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x14ea…83b5 | Down | SELL | 113 | 99¢ | $112 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 117 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x375a66… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Deep-Sunbonnet 0x41b1…5fc0 | Up | BUY | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96c3d7… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x975365… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 57 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x469cbb… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe74d0e… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x375a66… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 93 | 99¢ | $92 | 0x469cbb… |
| 10-12 12:33:26 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x975365… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x552087… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Satisfied-Curd 0xf0dd…ba35 | Down | BUY | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0xbcb41e… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x98f135… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | BUY | 52 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x99c9ba… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x4013…c3b0 | Up | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3d92c… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf449cd… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0bef3c… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x552087… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3d92c… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Gleeful-Dumbwaiter 0x8a01…01ce | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x98f135… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 135 | 99¢ | $134 | 0x99c9ba… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 74 | 99¢ | $73 | 0xa3d92c… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Deep-Sunbonnet 0x41b1…5fc0 | Up | BUY | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3d92c… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x601073… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf449cd… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x9d2b…fb2c | Up | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4f2cd4… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x1536…1cda | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3d92c… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x633189… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x16be…c697 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x633189… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x99c9ba… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | Expensive-Cclamp 0x2f9d…c744 | Down | SELL | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0xbcb41e… |
| 10-12 12:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x44f0…209b | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x196e16… |