Lumpy-Pagoda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$150.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

68,001

Trades

296,210

lifetime

Volume

$5.39M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 10-31 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% +$149,067

Other

1% 70% +$1,189

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 2618 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	—	+30	$12	99¢	$30	+$17	10-31 04:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 22:25 UTC	36	$12.1K	12,313	+12,313	Down	-$43	07-31 22:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 02:15 UTC	42	$12.0K	12,250	+12,250	Down	+$248	07-21 02:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 22:30 UTC	6	$12.0K	12,140	+12,140	Up	+$153	07-31 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 18:35 UTC	4	$12.0K	12,500	+12,500	Up	+$30	07-24 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 08:40 UTC	9	$11.9K	12,034	+12,034	Down	+$151	08-02 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:05 UTC	10	$11.9K	12,000	+12,000	Down	+$120	08-03 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 18:55 UTC	21	$11.9K	12,000	+12,000	Down	+$120	07-24 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:05 UTC	1	$11.9K	12,000	+12,000	Up	+$120	07-29 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$11.9K	12,000	+12,000	Down	+$120	07-21 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 05:20 UTC	4	$11.9K	12,000	+12,000	Down	+$120	07-24 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 12:55 UTC	1	$11.9K	12,000	+12,000	Down	+$120	07-26 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 21:45 UTC	1	$11.8K	11,990	+11,990	Up	+$203	07-24 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 02:05 UTC	1	$11.8K	12,000	+12,000	Up	+$215	07-25 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:55 UTC	51	$11.0K	11,130	+11,130	Down	+$147	08-03 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:55 UTC	6	$10.9K	11,000	+11,000	Up	+$110	07-21 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:20 UTC	74	$10.2K	10,340	+10,340	Up	+$103	07-22 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:10 UTC	25	$10.1K	10,350	+10,350	Down	+$275	07-24 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	27	$9.9K	10,000	+10,000	Up	+$100	07-21 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 19:15 UTC	12	$9.9K	10,000	+10,000	Down	+$100	08-06 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:45 UTC	6	$9.9K	10,000	+10,000	Down	+$105	08-01 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:00 UTC	3	$9.7K	10,012	+10,012	Up	+$253	08-05 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	24	$8.5K	8,625	+8,625	Up	+$87	05-31 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	14	$8.4K	8,518	+8,518	Up	+$85	07-25 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	11	$8.4K	8,515	+8,515	Up	+$85	05-31 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:10 UTC	50	$8.1K	8,323	+8,323	Up	-$100	07-25 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 21:25 UTC	4	$8.0K	8,350	+8,350	Up	+$304	07-25 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 22:40 UTC	31	$8.0K	8,100	+8,100	Down	+$24	07-31 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:25 UTC	88	$8.0K	8,100	+8,100	Down	+$35	08-03 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:45 UTC	2	$8.0K	8,100	+8,100	Up	+$35	07-25 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 23:00 UTC	34	$8.0K	8,059	+8,059	Up	+$97	07-26 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xc6cbda…
10-31 04:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xa34de7…
10-31 04:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb8a748…
10-31 04:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	44	31¢	$14	0x7aa912…
10-31 04:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xa20f71…
10-31 03:50:15	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x24ff65…
10-31 03:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	99	66¢	$65	0xfa3ffd…
10-31 03:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x5a07dc…
10-31 03:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	68¢	$16	0x42b52c…
10-31 03:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x35baa7…
10-31 03:34:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x5a0a3c…
10-31 03:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	72¢	$42	0xdccc66…
10-31 03:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xb9cf1a…
10-31 03:25:33	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x7dc9d1…
10-31 03:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	79	81¢	$64	0x32e263…
10-31 03:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	103	95¢	$98	0xbcf007…
10-31 03:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x00f2a3…
10-31 03:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x6fce9d…
10-31 03:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x315627…
10-31 03:05:33	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf6ada4…
10-31 03:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x778091…
10-31 02:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	112	68¢	$76	0x948819…
10-31 02:48:01	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x995412…
10-31 02:48:01	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x88d4c6…
10-31 02:48:01	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x4cb068…
10-31 02:48:01	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3a27ad…
10-31 02:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x736a64…
10-31 02:36:48	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x945e94…
10-31 02:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	91	36¢	$33	0x775f44…
10-31 02:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	101	32¢	$32	0xe51038…
10-31 02:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	75	43¢	$32	0x339c54…
10-31 02:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	28¢	$9	0x55da05…
10-31 02:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xab23a6…
10-31 02:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x7fea20…
10-31 02:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0x2ef544…
10-31 02:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x6f853d…
10-31 02:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x34413f…
10-31 02:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x07c42c…
10-31 02:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x8e400f…
10-31 02:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x188e7a…
10-31 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	150	28¢	$42	0x1fc3ec…
10-31 02:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xd140d3…
10-31 02:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x6826e6…
10-31 02:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x58db53…
10-31 02:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xe9b576…
10-31 02:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0x5d9998…
10-31 02:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	44	79¢	$34	0x4ef419…
10-31 02:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x0926eb…
10-31 02:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0x970287…
10-31 02:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	188	71¢	$133	0x5a23e2…
10-31 02:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0xbf6d19…
10-31 02:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x883c4d…
10-31 02:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	68¢	$102	0x5dba61…
10-31 02:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfb4c16…
10-31 02:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe81f2b…
10-31 02:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb1b692…
10-31 02:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaf8f03…
10-31 02:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x100f2a…
10-31 02:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0x0f9ee5…
10-31 02:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	150	41¢	$61	0x14165f…
10-31 02:01:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x44c1d1…
10-31 01:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	141	98¢	$138	0x0f72ce…
10-31 01:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x848be0…
10-31 01:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfca8ac…
10-31 01:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xf20c77…
10-31 01:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xe17334…
10-31 01:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc60628…
10-31 01:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8fb146…
10-31 01:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x6d8a75…
10-31 01:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x5aab6b…
10-31 01:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0xfafec5…
10-31 01:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xeb44ee…
10-31 01:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xc21327…
10-31 01:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa9cef3…
10-31 01:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x5edf58…
10-31 01:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4293b9…
10-31 01:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x139441…
10-31 01:46:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x4e2732…
10-31 01:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd1318a…
10-31 01:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	117	83¢	$97	0xbfdd02…
10-31 01:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb674af…
10-31 01:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xbcb9cc…
10-31 01:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	52	33¢	$17	0x61f7d4…
10-31 01:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x467d35…
10-31 01:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	73¢	$37	0x3ef33c…
10-31 01:27:57	ZCash Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xdd3031…
10-31 01:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	7¢	$4	0xc57699…
10-31 01:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xf6c798…
10-31 01:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x6e7973…
10-31 01:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x08557f…
10-31 01:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x4b6e7f…
10-31 01:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x07f9d6…
10-31 01:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xc0849a…
10-31 01:17:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3eae28…
10-31 01:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xedcd0e…
10-31 01:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xb21e9d…
10-31 01:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x5edb62…
10-31 01:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbee5ed…
10-31 01:15:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x77bbc7…
10-31 01:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x4decd4…