Puzzled-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

38,033

Trades

121,962

lifetime

Volume

$2.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$45

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-15 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 301 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$47,520

Other

0% 29% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 4142 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	—	+45	$36	98¢	$44	+$8	11-15 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	—	+17	$7	2¢	$0	-$7	11-15 08:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:10 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,722	2,722	+0	Down	+$778	08-19 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	10	$2.4K	1,510	1,510	+0	Up	+$457	08-19 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:10 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,783	1,783	+0	Up	+$439	06-25 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:35 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	Down	+$491	08-24 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:45 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	+$280	08-28 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,036	1,679	+357	Down	+$805	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:00 UTC	9	$1.9K	1,276	1,276	+0	Up	+$339	08-11 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:55 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,515	1,515	+0	Down	+$362	08-20 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,305	1,305	+0	Down	+$321	06-15 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,149	1,149	+0	Up	+$405	08-24 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,173	1,173	+0	Up	+$345	08-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$337	05-26 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:30 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,464	1,447	+17	Up	+$202	02-03 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,177	1,156	+21	Up	+$663	03-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:55 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,039	1,023	+16	Up	+$425	03-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	Down	+$396	08-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,331	1,331	+0	Down	+$501	06-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:35 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,661	1,644	+17	Down	+$614	03-27 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:50 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,629	1,605	+25	Up	-$298	03-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,178	1,164	+14	Down	+$794	03-23 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:05 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,049	1,034	+15	Down	+$282	03-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$1.5K	1,131	1,131	+0	Up	+$528	05-23 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,102	1,102	+0	Down	+$405	08-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$1.4K	982	982	+0	Up	+$482	08-28 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:05 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,093	1,076	+17	Down	+$230	03-15 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	835	829	+6	Up	+$128	03-23 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,150	1,133	+17	Up	+$129	03-15 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,107	977	+131	Up	+$207	04-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,403	1,282	+120	Down	+$133	03-23 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$322	09-08 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 08:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0xb37441…
11-15 08:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x58f27e…
11-15 08:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x7b1b91…
11-15 08:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x082720…
11-15 08:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xbec8f9…
11-15 08:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x818c12…
11-15 08:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x5c7b0f…
11-15 08:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	73¢	$30	0x0eb8df…
11-15 08:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x398005…
11-15 08:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x933d24…
11-15 08:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xf93a8e…
11-15 08:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xe3c63f…
11-15 08:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x0304ee…
11-15 08:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x7ea562…
11-15 08:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc4e8c1…
11-15 08:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2e0023…
11-15 08:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x2a1f14…
11-15 08:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x45af13…
11-15 08:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x504473…
11-15 08:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x23826f…
11-15 08:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xaf19e4…
11-15 07:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x7a7ab6…
11-15 07:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe70020…
11-15 07:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x57a8ee…
11-15 07:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x1f7540…
11-15 07:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xbaba89…
11-15 07:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x158ee3…
11-15 07:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x2a4dec…
11-15 07:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0x2219c9…
11-15 07:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	48	74¢	$36	0x898222…
11-15 07:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xf91f87…
11-15 07:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x3986c6…
11-15 07:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xef0967…
11-15 07:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x84203f…
11-15 07:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x4a46c5…
11-15 07:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0xcda5ef…
11-15 07:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x5d7e7d…
11-15 07:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x251f07…
11-15 07:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x0595fb…
11-15 07:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1dd38b…
11-15 07:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x560960…
11-15 07:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	72	80¢	$58	0x57a1f1…
11-15 07:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x088bd2…
11-15 07:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	66	65¢	$43	0x961419…
11-15 07:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x559f97…
11-15 07:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	52	78¢	$40	0xfc3a09…
11-15 07:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf08caa…
11-15 07:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x785e66…
11-15 07:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x7b035e…
11-15 07:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x216003…
11-15 07:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x6545b3…
11-15 07:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xa10d90…
11-15 07:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x08f3d8…
11-15 07:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6bcfa0…
11-15 07:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd088f4…
11-15 07:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xf558a7…
11-15 07:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x13b0c7…
11-15 07:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xaa68bf…
11-15 07:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xaffce1…
11-15 07:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x2657b6…
11-15 07:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x67f8e5…
11-15 07:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	35	81¢	$28	0x17b692…
11-15 07:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$8	0x93f4cc…
11-15 07:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xce1ef4…
11-15 07:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x232412…
11-15 07:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x09f7c2…
11-15 07:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x683096…
11-15 07:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x281ec6…
11-15 07:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$0	0xf94518…
11-15 07:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x7c6e06…
11-15 07:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbe3fce…
11-15 07:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xc91cd3…
11-15 07:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x71adb6…
11-15 07:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x388afd…
11-15 07:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xf4081f…
11-15 07:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0xd30097…
11-15 07:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xa13476…
11-15 07:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x5eeac3…
11-15 07:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3da986…
11-15 07:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x525692…
11-15 07:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x32ded9…
11-15 07:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x56aa83…
11-15 07:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x5943a1…
11-15 07:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0xa77153…
11-15 07:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xb45ce2…
11-15 07:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x5d96e7…
11-15 07:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x2e45f9…
11-15 07:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c0e60…
11-15 07:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf3426c…
11-15 07:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	88¢	$13	0x70e941…
11-15 07:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x90c7f1…
11-15 07:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xdcdbfa…
11-15 07:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x101d4b…
11-15 07:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x793996…
11-15 07:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x76dac5…
11-15 07:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x838cfe…
11-15 07:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x5fe979…
11-15 07:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xdef9b7…
11-15 07:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x0007d1…
11-15 07:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xad670d…