Puzzled-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

37,935

Trades

121,400

lifetime

Volume

$2.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-14 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 300 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$47,414

Other

0% 29% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 4142 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	—	+30	$21	1¢	$0	-$20	11-14 14:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:10 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,722	2,722	+0	Down	+$778	08-19 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	10	$2.4K	1,510	1,510	+0	Up	+$457	08-19 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:10 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,783	1,783	+0	Up	+$439	06-25 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:35 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	Down	+$491	08-24 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:45 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	+$280	08-28 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,036	1,679	+357	Down	+$805	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:00 UTC	9	$1.9K	1,276	1,276	+0	Up	+$339	08-11 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:55 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,515	1,515	+0	Down	+$362	08-20 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,305	1,305	+0	Down	+$321	06-15 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,149	1,149	+0	Up	+$405	08-24 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,173	1,173	+0	Up	+$345	08-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$337	05-26 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:30 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,464	1,447	+17	Up	+$202	02-03 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,177	1,156	+21	Up	+$663	03-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:55 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,039	1,023	+16	Up	+$425	03-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	Down	+$396	08-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,331	1,331	+0	Down	+$501	06-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:35 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,661	1,644	+17	Down	+$614	03-27 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:50 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,629	1,605	+25	Up	-$298	03-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,178	1,164	+14	Down	+$794	03-23 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:05 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,049	1,034	+15	Down	+$282	03-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$1.5K	1,131	1,131	+0	Up	+$528	05-23 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,102	1,102	+0	Down	+$405	08-24 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 09:50 UTC	3	$1.4K	982	982	+0	Up	+$482	08-28 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:05 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,093	1,076	+17	Down	+$230	03-15 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	835	829	+6	Up	+$128	03-23 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,150	1,133	+17	Up	+$129	03-15 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,107	977	+131	Up	+$207	04-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,403	1,282	+120	Down	+$133	03-23 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$322	09-08 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x48b84b…
11-14 14:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xea8a85…
11-14 14:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x249ffc…
11-14 14:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x60781f…
11-14 14:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2b7e08…
11-14 14:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x0cfb6c…
11-14 14:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xf7e355…
11-14 14:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x651bc5…
11-14 14:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xdccbd8…
11-14 14:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x3a9307…
11-14 14:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1fe3d0…
11-14 14:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1053d0…
11-14 14:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x788530…
11-14 14:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x23ec99…
11-14 14:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0xffd1dd…
11-14 14:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x7202c1…
11-14 14:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0x257c45…
11-14 14:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x2c42c8…
11-14 14:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x722cff…
11-14 14:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x665164…
11-14 14:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8148ef…
11-14 14:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x8f588a…
11-14 14:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xb4dc7c…
11-14 14:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4ce5fd…
11-14 14:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0xef9127…
11-14 14:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0xa0e2c6…
11-14 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xffd63e…
11-14 14:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7a047a…
11-14 14:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x83a525…
11-14 14:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x75e52e…
11-14 14:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	57¢	$29	0x69ab18…
11-14 14:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x5c9624…
11-14 14:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x37d958…
11-14 14:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x101977…
11-14 14:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x3ab8ab…
11-14 14:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xa4e24e…
11-14 14:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x201094…
11-14 14:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x8f04d2…
11-14 14:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x1060ba…
11-14 14:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xd07250…
11-14 14:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x4a1b0b…
11-14 14:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	66¢	$23	0x60fb5e…
11-14 14:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x2e2c56…
11-14 14:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x04cdb7…
11-14 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xca3390…
11-14 14:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xc41198…
11-14 14:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x8906c1…
11-14 14:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xc23ca9…
11-14 14:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x01c413…
11-14 14:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x4ec9fd…
11-14 14:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x39d50a…
11-14 14:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xdb2fcc…
11-14 14:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x4428d4…
11-14 14:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb4be34…
11-14 14:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf78c7e…
11-14 14:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x06c4f7…
11-14 14:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0xd15395…
11-14 14:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x97be23…
11-14 14:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x8bdf3b…
11-14 14:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1783c2…
11-14 14:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x1dd34a…
11-14 14:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x308d2e…
11-14 14:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0x14eaaf…
11-14 14:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x37663a…
11-14 14:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xbce492…
11-14 14:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0x426ec7…
11-14 14:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8fe416…
11-14 14:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x452525…
11-14 14:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x9bc2b2…
11-14 14:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xee46ff…
11-14 14:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x8d5c98…
11-14 14:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x73922e…
11-14 13:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x908e90…
11-14 13:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x2b28ad…
11-14 13:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x308147…
11-14 13:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0x6ba167…
11-14 13:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x235d5e…
11-14 13:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	57¢	$15	0x36663e…
11-14 13:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x732aca…
11-14 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x17453d…
11-14 13:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8ac2c4…
11-14 13:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x995716…
11-14 13:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x6048d2…
11-14 13:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x887806…
11-14 13:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x610d99…
11-14 13:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x996fd7…
11-14 13:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0x4874fb…
11-14 13:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x0c1fa4…
11-14 13:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x37f737…
11-14 13:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x1d410c…
11-14 13:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x04f25c…
11-14 13:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x7d33d9…
11-14 13:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x93dccb…
11-14 13:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xf8db33…
11-14 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0x867a5a…
11-14 13:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xc73597…
11-14 13:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1d15f5…
11-14 13:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x0d7099…
11-14 13:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x391441…
11-14 13:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x20edc7…