Puzzled-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

37,846

Trades

120,872

lifetime

Volume

$2.37M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$61

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-12 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 298 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$46,565

Other

0% 29% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 4142 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	—	+61	$38	99¢	$60	+$23	11-12 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	—	+57	$40	1¢	$1	-$39	11-12 11:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:10 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,722	2,722	+0	Down	+$778	08-19 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	10	$2.4K	1,510	1,510	+0	Up	+$457	08-19 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:10 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,783	1,783	+0	Up	+$439	06-25 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:35 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	Down	+$491	08-24 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:45 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	+$280	08-28 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,036	1,679	+357	Down	+$805	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:00 UTC	9	$1.9K	1,276	1,276	+0	Up	+$339	08-11 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:55 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,515	1,515	+0	Down	+$362	08-20 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,305	1,305	+0	Down	+$321	06-15 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,149	1,149	+0	Up	+$405	08-24 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,173	1,173	+0	Up	+$345	08-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$337	05-26 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:30 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,464	1,447	+17	Up	+$202	02-03 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,177	1,156	+21	Up	+$663	03-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:55 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,039	1,023	+16	Up	+$425	03-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	Down	+$396	08-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,331	1,331	+0	Down	+$501	06-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:35 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,661	1,644	+17	Down	+$614	03-27 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:50 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,629	1,605	+25	Up	-$298	03-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,178	1,164	+14	Down	+$794	03-23 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:05 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,049	1,034	+15	Down	+$282	03-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$1.5K	1,131	1,131	+0	Up	+$528	05-23 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,102	1,102	+0	Down	+$405	08-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$1.4K	982	982	+0	Up	+$482	08-28 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:05 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,093	1,076	+17	Down	+$230	03-15 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	835	829	+6	Up	+$128	03-23 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,150	1,133	+17	Up	+$129	03-15 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,107	977	+131	Up	+$207	04-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,403	1,282	+120	Down	+$133	03-23 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$322	09-08 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 11:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa53be7…
11-12 11:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x10f240…
11-12 11:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x444726…
11-12 11:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xcbc0b3…
11-12 11:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x04600c…
11-12 11:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x202e99…
11-12 11:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0xd54e79…
11-12 11:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xa6f288…
11-12 11:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x9399a6…
11-12 10:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x845b2c…
11-12 10:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x2e38a0…
11-12 10:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0x61de2c…
11-12 10:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x10b655…
11-12 10:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x015e3e…
11-12 10:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x37eaf3…
11-12 10:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x2b4f6e…
11-12 10:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	47	82¢	$38	0x195c8a…
11-12 10:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xab7c2d…
11-12 10:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	67¢	$8	0xa82f3a…
11-12 10:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x831baa…
11-12 10:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0xc7d51e…
11-12 10:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xe091dd…
11-12 10:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x637fbe…
11-12 10:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	80¢	$11	0x2a9101…
11-12 10:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xf967a0…
11-12 10:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xef211b…
11-12 10:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x90d4af…
11-12 10:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0xc99c3b…
11-12 10:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4430f0…
11-12 10:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x138f6b…
11-12 10:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x124f1b…
11-12 10:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	13	94¢	$13	0x71ebde…
11-12 10:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x7f0f83…
11-12 10:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x9f6557…
11-12 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xd88336…
11-12 10:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xba2e8b…
11-12 10:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0xd5dd30…
11-12 10:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x7858e5…
11-12 10:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x5f50c3…
11-12 10:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0xce6eb3…
11-12 10:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0x64fa79…
11-12 10:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe657a1…
11-12 10:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdc175a…
11-12 10:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x08bf4f…
11-12 10:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x0184bc…
11-12 10:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xb17d98…
11-12 10:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x065edb…
11-12 10:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x544b34…
11-12 10:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0x604ff2…
11-12 10:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xbd5ef5…
11-12 10:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x0b11e0…
11-12 10:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x1a44f4…
11-12 10:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x94fa34…
11-12 10:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8499b7…
11-12 10:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4f6167…
11-12 10:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0xb4a438…
11-12 10:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x5d8346…
11-12 10:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x326b00…
11-12 10:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xe7accc…
11-12 10:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0xc7bdd5…
11-12 10:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xbb6625…
11-12 10:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x7f9dda…
11-12 09:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0x72a8ed…
11-12 09:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe9000e…
11-12 09:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x906f50…
11-12 09:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x148b98…
11-12 09:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x94bd8f…
11-12 09:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xd45061…
11-12 09:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x85cb7e…
11-12 09:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x26d41a…
11-12 09:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xf3f42d…
11-12 09:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xa6b2e8…
11-12 09:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x43010e…
11-12 09:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0xf6841a…
11-12 09:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x6c007a…
11-12 09:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x5e5a8b…
11-12 09:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1507eb…
11-12 09:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x44b47c…
11-12 09:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x7f2209…
11-12 09:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0x305020…
11-12 09:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xfdc4e7…
11-12 09:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xe3fee5…
11-12 09:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xac35a0…
11-12 09:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xfbf953…
11-12 09:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x0d1f7d…
11-12 09:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x7527eb…
11-12 09:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0x7dcde2…
11-12 09:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x1ea1e1…
11-12 09:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfee88b…
11-12 09:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x26761c…
11-12 09:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	67¢	$23	0x341254…
11-12 09:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x0d3eff…
11-12 09:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xc0f565…
11-12 09:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7dcdb3…
11-12 09:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0xdd5619…
11-12 09:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	25	70¢	$17	0x6ca75b…
11-12 09:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xc6d5dd…
11-12 09:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x3a9b5e…
11-12 09:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0xcfe4bd…
11-12 09:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	53	71¢	$37	0xd5aa36…