Puzzled-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

37,990

Trades

121,767

lifetime

Volume

$2.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$45

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-14 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 300 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$47,464

Other

0% 29% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 4142 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	—	+46	$36	99¢	$45	+$9	11-14 21:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:10 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,722	2,722	+0	Down	+$778	08-19 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	10	$2.4K	1,510	1,510	+0	Up	+$457	08-19 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:10 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,783	1,783	+0	Up	+$439	06-25 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:35 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	Down	+$491	08-24 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:45 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	+$280	08-28 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,036	1,679	+357	Down	+$805	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:00 UTC	9	$1.9K	1,276	1,276	+0	Up	+$339	08-11 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:55 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,515	1,515	+0	Down	+$362	08-20 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,305	1,305	+0	Down	+$321	06-15 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,149	1,149	+0	Up	+$405	08-24 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,173	1,173	+0	Up	+$345	08-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$337	05-26 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:30 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,464	1,447	+17	Up	+$202	02-03 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,177	1,156	+21	Up	+$663	03-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:55 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,039	1,023	+16	Up	+$425	03-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	Down	+$396	08-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,331	1,331	+0	Down	+$501	06-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:35 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,661	1,644	+17	Down	+$614	03-27 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:50 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,629	1,605	+25	Up	-$298	03-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,178	1,164	+14	Down	+$794	03-23 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:05 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,049	1,034	+15	Down	+$282	03-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$1.5K	1,131	1,131	+0	Up	+$528	05-23 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,102	1,102	+0	Down	+$405	08-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$1.4K	982	982	+0	Up	+$482	08-28 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:05 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,093	1,076	+17	Down	+$230	03-15 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	835	829	+6	Up	+$128	03-23 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,150	1,133	+17	Up	+$129	03-15 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,107	977	+131	Up	+$207	04-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,403	1,282	+120	Down	+$133	03-23 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$322	09-08 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 21:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x53a761…
11-14 21:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x3164a2…
11-14 21:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0xa785fb…
11-14 21:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xca2d5c…
11-14 21:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x9c2491…
11-14 21:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x971cc2…
11-14 21:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x70334e…
11-14 21:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x0bf39e…
11-14 21:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xb98804…
11-14 21:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xea192f…
11-14 21:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x906972…
11-14 21:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9f5e20…
11-14 21:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xcb029a…
11-14 21:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xbb16a1…
11-14 21:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x5a8a70…
11-14 21:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x2a00b4…
11-14 21:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x1940c3…
11-14 21:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x5ad801…
11-14 21:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xa81268…
11-14 21:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0xd646f8…
11-14 21:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xcf16b5…
11-14 21:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x92cb0c…
11-14 21:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x7452dc…
11-14 21:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xb4e265…
11-14 21:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x73f8e3…
11-14 21:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xfcfbfe…
11-14 21:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x8f1dfb…
11-14 21:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x3ab096…
11-14 21:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3c1b85…
11-14 21:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xc4d995…
11-14 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xa3bf6d…
11-14 21:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7adeb6…
11-14 21:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xffb4cb…
11-14 21:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x22e2d7…
11-14 21:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x2d1684…
11-14 21:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	83¢	$10	0xee1b94…
11-14 21:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x15e780…
11-14 21:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xacc624…
11-14 21:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x082e2c…
11-14 21:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x3694a1…
11-14 21:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x53b670…
11-14 21:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x955910…
11-14 21:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x6c248a…
11-14 21:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xc8832c…
11-14 21:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xf5c44d…
11-14 21:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xb4f455…
11-14 21:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xa07be1…
11-14 21:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x549f75…
11-14 21:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd38c88…
11-14 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x280f0e…
11-14 21:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x25cd61…
11-14 20:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x72c3e8…
11-14 20:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	72¢	$11	0x7361fc…
11-14 20:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa41666…
11-14 20:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x1af6cb…
11-14 20:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xd1352a…
11-14 20:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xa61582…
11-14 20:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe3ce8b…
11-14 20:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0ab420…
11-14 20:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x89c6b6…
11-14 20:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x825d31…
11-14 20:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x049727…
11-14 20:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x8c43c6…
11-14 20:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xddf599…
11-14 20:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x2247ae…
11-14 20:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9d4150…
11-14 20:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x6b7c64…
11-14 20:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	67¢	$12	0xa27b2a…
11-14 20:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd450d4…
11-14 20:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xfd6761…
11-14 20:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x7fb665…
11-14 20:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0xcac0b9…
11-14 20:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x90fca7…
11-14 20:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xd84073…
11-14 20:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb7f0ab…
11-14 20:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x1d5c49…
11-14 20:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x9d4ad8…
11-14 20:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xdf234b…
11-14 20:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xc8aecf…
11-14 20:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xf7b521…
11-14 20:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xa56d6c…
11-14 20:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa90a3f…
11-14 20:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xca7359…
11-14 20:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xc288eb…
11-14 20:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x49ed2f…
11-14 20:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0xfc42eb…
11-14 20:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1b312f…
11-14 20:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x7c9bdb…
11-14 20:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x081135…
11-14 20:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x8264c9…
11-14 20:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x2a6a0a…
11-14 20:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x6ebcf4…
11-14 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xc22ee9…
11-14 20:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x348aad…
11-14 20:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x0de7b9…
11-14 20:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x1a5660…
11-14 20:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x30bcf2…
11-14 20:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x8f5255…
11-14 20:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x4846de…
11-14 20:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x0c82ab…