Puzzled-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

38,024

Trades

121,958

lifetime

Volume

$2.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-14 23:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 300 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$47,562

Other

0% 29% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 4142 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:10 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,722	2,722	+0	Down	+$778	08-19 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	10	$2.4K	1,510	1,510	+0	Up	+$457	08-19 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:10 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,783	1,783	+0	Up	+$439	06-25 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:35 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	Down	+$491	08-24 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:45 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	+$280	08-28 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,036	1,679	+357	Down	+$805	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:00 UTC	9	$1.9K	1,276	1,276	+0	Up	+$339	08-11 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:55 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,515	1,515	+0	Down	+$362	08-20 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,305	1,305	+0	Down	+$321	06-15 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,149	1,149	+0	Up	+$405	08-24 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,173	1,173	+0	Up	+$345	08-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$337	05-26 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:30 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,464	1,447	+17	Up	+$202	02-03 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,177	1,156	+21	Up	+$663	03-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:55 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,039	1,023	+16	Up	+$425	03-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	Down	+$396	08-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,331	1,331	+0	Down	+$501	06-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:35 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,661	1,644	+17	Down	+$614	03-27 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:50 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,629	1,605	+25	Up	-$298	03-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,178	1,164	+14	Down	+$794	03-23 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:05 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,049	1,034	+15	Down	+$282	03-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$1.5K	1,131	1,131	+0	Up	+$528	05-23 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,102	1,102	+0	Down	+$405	08-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$1.4K	982	982	+0	Up	+$482	08-28 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:05 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,093	1,076	+17	Down	+$230	03-15 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	835	829	+6	Up	+$128	03-23 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,150	1,133	+17	Up	+$129	03-15 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,107	977	+131	Up	+$207	04-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,403	1,282	+120	Down	+$133	03-23 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$322	09-08 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 23:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x5f59ef…
11-14 23:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xaace29…
11-14 23:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0xaab973…
11-14 23:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x9db8e9…
11-14 23:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5f8d7f…
11-14 23:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xf6d45d…
11-14 23:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x28cd2e…
11-14 23:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xb093e4…
11-14 23:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0xe919c0…
11-14 23:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xf334d4…
11-14 23:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x2cd85d…
11-14 23:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	59	72¢	$43	0xdedac2…
11-14 23:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0xaab8ba…
11-14 23:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x1f2972…
11-14 23:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x52ba8d…
11-14 23:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x8954ca…
11-14 23:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x197307…
11-14 23:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x337ca9…
11-14 23:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x6a19c2…
11-14 23:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x6706b9…
11-14 23:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0x2397a2…
11-14 23:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbd973a…
11-14 23:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x152f51…
11-14 23:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0xc7627f…
11-14 23:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xb87189…
11-14 23:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x050206…
11-14 23:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x808f6f…
11-14 23:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x76986c…
11-14 23:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x42c37b…
11-14 23:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x1e8a62…
11-14 23:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xc9ae5a…
11-14 23:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xc8abab…
11-14 23:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x83b8e4…
11-14 23:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x765a01…
11-14 22:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x17eb7d…
11-14 22:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xca65c6…
11-14 22:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x61bbd7…
11-14 22:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x480c00…
11-14 22:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xbf823e…
11-14 22:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0x8c3d41…
11-14 22:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x46b752…
11-14 22:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xc253f6…
11-14 22:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xc8e0cc…
11-14 22:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x0445d5…
11-14 22:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x5c3b82…
11-14 22:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf037dd…
11-14 22:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xb51260…
11-14 22:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0xe5f481…
11-14 22:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0xb6a9d8…
11-14 22:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x0f15d2…
11-14 22:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe81734…
11-14 22:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0xa1da2e…
11-14 22:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x8c4b09…
11-14 22:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x8656f3…
11-14 22:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x0bb8b7…
11-14 22:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x06a2a8…
11-14 22:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xca78cf…
11-14 22:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xce963e…
11-14 22:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1f1760…
11-14 22:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x741ede…
11-14 22:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x941065…
11-14 22:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xc6aa23…
11-14 22:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xdecf68…
11-14 22:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x566b54…
11-14 22:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x5f7314…
11-14 22:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x4038e2…
11-14 22:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc2b2fb…
11-14 22:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x675616…
11-14 22:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x04e9e3…
11-14 22:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0xdef89a…
11-14 22:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xde1089…
11-14 22:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xc4a8d0…
11-14 22:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xd4a095…
11-14 22:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xe4a82c…
11-14 22:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x7244ed…
11-14 22:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xe7bce1…
11-14 22:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xeaf731…
11-14 22:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x960778…
11-14 22:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xa006b1…
11-14 22:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x96400b…
11-14 22:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xad2ba3…
11-14 22:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x3df9d6…
11-14 22:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x5c8572…
11-14 22:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0xf66981…
11-14 22:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x949a9d…
11-14 22:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0x8e1678…
11-14 22:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0xd2fd43…
11-14 22:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x9e38d0…
11-14 22:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xc8bdad…
11-14 22:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x962d92…
11-14 22:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x057580…
11-14 22:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2df8a8…
11-14 22:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x46d06e…
11-14 22:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x2a608b…
11-14 22:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x75a01e…
11-14 22:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0xdc9195…
11-14 22:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x179ec9…
11-14 22:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xe71a58…
11-14 22:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x14c4f0…
11-14 22:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x105994…