Puzzled-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

37,807

Trades

120,729

lifetime

Volume

$2.37M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-11 22:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 297 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$46,666

Other

0% 29% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 4142 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:10 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,722	2,722	+0	Down	+$778	08-19 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	10	$2.4K	1,510	1,510	+0	Up	+$457	08-19 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:10 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,783	1,783	+0	Up	+$439	06-25 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:35 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	Down	+$491	08-24 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:45 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	+$280	08-28 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,036	1,679	+357	Down	+$805	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:00 UTC	9	$1.9K	1,276	1,276	+0	Up	+$339	08-11 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:55 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,515	1,515	+0	Down	+$362	08-20 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,305	1,305	+0	Down	+$321	06-15 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,149	1,149	+0	Up	+$405	08-24 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,173	1,173	+0	Up	+$345	08-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$337	05-26 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:30 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,464	1,447	+17	Up	+$202	02-03 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,177	1,156	+21	Up	+$663	03-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:55 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,039	1,023	+16	Up	+$425	03-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	Down	+$396	08-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,331	1,331	+0	Down	+$501	06-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:35 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,661	1,644	+17	Down	+$614	03-27 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:50 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,629	1,605	+25	Up	-$298	03-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,178	1,164	+14	Down	+$794	03-23 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:05 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,049	1,034	+15	Down	+$282	03-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$1.5K	1,131	1,131	+0	Up	+$528	05-23 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,102	1,102	+0	Down	+$405	08-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$1.4K	982	982	+0	Up	+$482	08-28 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:05 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,093	1,076	+17	Down	+$230	03-15 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	835	829	+6	Up	+$128	03-23 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,150	1,133	+17	Up	+$129	03-15 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,107	977	+131	Up	+$207	04-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,403	1,282	+120	Down	+$133	03-23 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$322	09-08 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 07:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xcf30a2…
11-12 07:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x2d21bb…
11-12 07:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xfdb312…
11-12 07:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x887da7…
11-12 07:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xbc6c29…
11-12 07:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0xa0ee93…
11-12 07:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x589375…
11-12 07:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	23¢	$8	0xed15a9…
11-12 07:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xccc39f…
11-12 07:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x68ce91…
11-12 07:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xad5098…
11-12 07:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x94d208…
11-12 07:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xee2883…
11-12 07:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xd3dd33…
11-12 07:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x58db37…
11-12 07:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x35c559…
11-12 07:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xebef93…
11-12 07:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0x3fc043…
11-12 07:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xe88d49…
11-12 07:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xc81683…
11-12 07:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xa5d82f…
11-12 07:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9b9e1f…
11-12 07:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	92	86¢	$79	0xa28b94…
11-12 07:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	65	28¢	$18	0xcf5a4e…
11-12 07:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xc9cd4d…
11-12 07:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x3ca3a6…
11-12 07:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xf8de65…
11-12 07:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb2c215…
11-12 07:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x08be4f…
11-12 07:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x203d95…
11-12 07:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x9eb80b…
11-12 07:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x320fa9…
11-12 07:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x3e3148…
11-12 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x88da83…
11-12 07:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8fef77…
11-12 07:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xf3f68d…
11-12 07:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x26fc1a…
11-12 07:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$6	0xbeabfc…
11-12 07:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1edfc7…
11-12 07:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x3ba3aa…
11-12 07:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	62¢	$23	0x6b0401…
11-12 07:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x6877c1…
11-12 07:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x19b36f…
11-12 07:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x49633b…
11-11 22:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	43	90¢	$39	0x94cb46…
11-11 22:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xa45321…
11-11 22:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x8aff47…
11-11 22:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x9b337d…
11-11 22:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x91ff51…
11-11 22:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x28b69a…
11-11 22:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xbc94f4…
11-11 22:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	24	86¢	$20	0xae3ef0…
11-11 22:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xd33010…
11-11 22:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0xead62e…
11-11 22:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x086e3b…
11-11 22:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x2b711c…
11-11 22:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x447dbd…
11-11 22:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0x7e46f4…
11-11 22:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0xb9aa46…
11-11 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0xa1616b…
11-11 22:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xe7c595…
11-11 22:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7cc3d2…
11-11 22:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x749373…
11-11 22:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x2f705f…
11-11 22:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x36edf8…
11-11 22:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0eed5b…
11-11 22:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xc798cb…
11-11 22:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x01f845…
11-11 22:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	84¢	$11	0x11292f…
11-11 22:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x1b71b9…
11-11 22:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x330098…
11-11 22:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x5ede1a…
11-11 22:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe8b636…
11-11 22:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x6e6621…
11-11 22:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x7d2e35…
11-11 22:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x04c41b…
11-11 22:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0x33a931…
11-11 22:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xe1ce2f…
11-11 22:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xb37af7…
11-11 22:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xe13af2…
11-11 22:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x937f1d…
11-11 22:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xcf21f4…
11-11 22:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x57fc95…
11-11 22:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0x2b2db0…
11-11 22:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x20abcf…
11-11 22:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x9a1fab…
11-11 22:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x4eb092…
11-11 22:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xa7188a…
11-11 22:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x390d6b…
11-11 22:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xc0eb36…
11-11 22:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x20c4ff…
11-11 22:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x72a2f6…
11-11 22:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xd45b70…
11-11 21:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	120	71¢	$85	0x0a9dd2…
11-11 21:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x733a2a…
11-11 21:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	26	91¢	$24	0x34bec0…
11-11 21:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	87¢	$12	0xd2a014…
11-11 21:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x2160af…
11-11 21:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xddaa37…
11-11 21:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x055280…