Puzzled-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

37,824

Trades

120,814

lifetime

Volume

$2.37M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-12 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 298 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$46,633

Other

0% 29% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 4142 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	—	+200	$50	2¢	$3	-$47	11-12 09:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:10 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,722	2,722	+0	Down	+$778	08-19 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	10	$2.4K	1,510	1,510	+0	Up	+$457	08-19 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:10 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,783	1,783	+0	Up	+$439	06-25 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:35 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	Down	+$491	08-24 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:45 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	+$280	08-28 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,036	1,679	+357	Down	+$805	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:00 UTC	9	$1.9K	1,276	1,276	+0	Up	+$339	08-11 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:55 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,515	1,515	+0	Down	+$362	08-20 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,305	1,305	+0	Down	+$321	06-15 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,149	1,149	+0	Up	+$405	08-24 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,173	1,173	+0	Up	+$345	08-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$337	05-26 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:30 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,464	1,447	+17	Up	+$202	02-03 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,177	1,156	+21	Up	+$663	03-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:55 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,039	1,023	+16	Up	+$425	03-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	Down	+$396	08-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,331	1,331	+0	Down	+$501	06-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:35 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,661	1,644	+17	Down	+$614	03-27 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:50 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,629	1,605	+25	Up	-$298	03-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,178	1,164	+14	Down	+$794	03-23 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:05 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,049	1,034	+15	Down	+$282	03-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$1.5K	1,131	1,131	+0	Up	+$528	05-23 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,102	1,102	+0	Down	+$405	08-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$1.4K	982	982	+0	Up	+$482	08-28 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:05 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,093	1,076	+17	Down	+$230	03-15 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	835	829	+6	Up	+$128	03-23 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,150	1,133	+17	Up	+$129	03-15 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,107	977	+131	Up	+$207	04-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,403	1,282	+120	Down	+$133	03-23 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$322	09-08 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 09:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	25	70¢	$17	0x6ca75b…
11-12 09:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xc6d5dd…
11-12 09:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x3a9b5e…
11-12 09:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0xcfe4bd…
11-12 09:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	53	71¢	$37	0xd5aa36…
11-12 09:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xb1a967…
11-12 09:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x3f9db7…
11-12 09:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x777746…
11-12 09:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xf4a605…
11-12 09:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0xe4241b…
11-12 09:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x7ef321…
11-12 09:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x71afc7…
11-12 09:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	49	84¢	$41	0x5bbf0d…
11-12 09:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xbbb1bf…
11-12 09:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x37f43c…
11-12 09:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-12 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	75¢	$12	0x426d99…
11-12 09:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-12 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe5fa31…
11-12 09:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	55	82¢	$45	0x167923…
11-12 09:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0xe45135…
11-12 09:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	53	80¢	$42	0x4bff2a…
11-12 09:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0xf62377…
11-12 09:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xc146f4…
11-12 09:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x2c07a1…
11-12 09:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0x3de0ab…
11-12 09:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-12 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x8ffa26…
11-12 08:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x9458f1…
11-12 08:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb1605e…
11-12 08:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0x6ee8b6…
11-12 08:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	54	14¢	$8	0xf624f4…
11-12 08:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	84¢	$17	0xdd3c2a…
11-12 08:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0xae2a3c…
11-12 08:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x8e99b6…
11-12 08:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	41	76¢	$31	0x16f735…
11-12 08:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0xbf393e…
11-12 08:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x2a93e8…
11-12 08:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x293600…
11-12 08:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	84¢	$17	0xfab2e9…
11-12 08:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x3643a8…
11-12 08:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x78ae81…
11-12 08:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	84	17¢	$14	0x27e5e5…
11-12 08:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	89¢	$18	0xefafd1…
11-12 08:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x22d506…
11-12 08:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x3d1dcf…
11-12 08:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x64bc42…
11-12 08:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd6094a…
11-12 08:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	90¢	$21	0x5815da…
11-12 08:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	79¢	$13	0xa021b5…
11-12 08:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x351979…
11-12 08:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x228952…
11-12 08:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x88fad4…
11-12 08:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x369941…
11-12 08:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	51	93¢	$47	0x21033a…
11-12 08:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x33b734…
11-12 08:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	87¢	$12	0xc5edcc…
11-12 08:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0xfcca9e…
11-12 08:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x93aeae…
11-12 08:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x6159b3…
11-12 08:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x02deb1…
11-12 08:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x76535c…
11-12 08:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0xb73108…
11-12 08:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x7dd49d…
11-12 08:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xa60b98…
11-12 08:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x93e4b1…
11-12 08:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0xffe258…
11-12 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xe48c67…
11-12 07:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xcf30a2…
11-12 07:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x2d21bb…
11-12 07:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xfdb312…
11-12 07:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x887da7…
11-12 07:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xbc6c29…
11-12 07:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0xa0ee93…
11-12 07:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x589375…
11-12 07:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	23¢	$8	0xed15a9…
11-12 07:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xccc39f…
11-12 07:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x68ce91…
11-12 07:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xad5098…
11-12 07:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x94d208…
11-12 07:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xee2883…
11-12 07:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xd3dd33…
11-12 07:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x58db37…
11-12 07:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x35c559…
11-12 07:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xebef93…
11-12 07:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0x3fc043…
11-12 07:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xe88d49…
11-12 07:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xc81683…
11-12 07:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xa5d82f…
11-12 07:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9b9e1f…
11-12 07:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	92	86¢	$79	0xa28b94…
11-12 07:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	65	28¢	$18	0xcf5a4e…
11-12 07:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xc9cd4d…
11-12 07:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x3ca3a6…
11-12 07:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xf8de65…
11-12 07:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb2c215…
11-12 07:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x08be4f…
11-12 07:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x203d95…
11-12 07:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x9eb80b…
11-12 07:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x320fa9…
11-12 07:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x3e3148…
11-12 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x88da83…
11-12 07:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8fef77…