Puzzled-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

37,901

Trades

121,102

lifetime

Volume

$2.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$49

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-13 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 299 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$47,418

Other

0% 29% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 4142 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	—	+38	$26	100¢	$38	+$12	11-14 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	—	+11	$6	98¢	$11	+$4	11-14 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	—	+11	$7	2¢	$0	-$6	11-14 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	—	+16	$11	0¢	$0	-$11	11-14 07:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:10 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,722	2,722	+0	Down	+$778	08-19 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	10	$2.4K	1,510	1,510	+0	Up	+$457	08-19 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:10 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,783	1,783	+0	Up	+$439	06-25 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:35 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	Down	+$491	08-24 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:45 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	+$280	08-28 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,036	1,679	+357	Down	+$805	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:00 UTC	9	$1.9K	1,276	1,276	+0	Up	+$339	08-11 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:55 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,515	1,515	+0	Down	+$362	08-20 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,305	1,305	+0	Down	+$321	06-15 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,149	1,149	+0	Up	+$405	08-24 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,173	1,173	+0	Up	+$345	08-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$337	05-26 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:30 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,464	1,447	+17	Up	+$202	02-03 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,177	1,156	+21	Up	+$663	03-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:55 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,039	1,023	+16	Up	+$425	03-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	Down	+$396	08-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,331	1,331	+0	Down	+$501	06-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:35 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,661	1,644	+17	Down	+$614	03-27 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:50 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,629	1,605	+25	Up	-$298	03-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,178	1,164	+14	Down	+$794	03-23 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:05 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,049	1,034	+15	Down	+$282	03-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$1.5K	1,131	1,131	+0	Up	+$528	05-23 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,102	1,102	+0	Down	+$405	08-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$1.4K	982	982	+0	Up	+$482	08-28 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:05 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,093	1,076	+17	Down	+$230	03-15 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	835	829	+6	Up	+$128	03-23 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,150	1,133	+17	Up	+$129	03-15 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,107	977	+131	Up	+$207	04-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,403	1,282	+120	Down	+$133	03-23 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$322	09-08 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 07:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x6530d0…
11-14 07:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x771a57…
11-14 07:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x8043cb…
11-14 07:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcb718a…
11-14 07:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x21fe2e…
11-14 07:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5aa085…
11-14 07:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd78d54…
11-14 07:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x10f0a7…
11-14 07:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x3c991e…
11-14 07:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xdd2545…
11-14 07:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x2dbfc7…
11-14 07:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3db1c9…
11-14 07:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x745a7a…
11-14 07:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3a1a7b…
11-14 07:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x51e8d8…
11-14 07:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9caf3d…
11-14 07:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x48aa15…
11-14 07:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x49d96a…
11-14 07:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd38f20…
11-14 07:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9067db…
11-13 21:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xc8c3f0…
11-13 21:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x64e4f4…
11-13 21:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xcb048c…
11-13 21:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x524e63…
11-13 21:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd47034…
11-13 21:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbfd832…
11-13 21:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2d4749…
11-13 21:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbdbfdb…
11-13 21:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xa3c773…
11-13 21:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xdf99bb…
11-13 21:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xb43dab…
11-13 21:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8bbdde…
11-13 21:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xeba0a5…
11-13 21:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x543e59…
11-13 21:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb28203…
11-13 21:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xb10e53…
11-13 21:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x294b53…
11-13 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3046e5…
11-13 21:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xabe3dd…
11-13 21:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xdd20bc…
11-13 21:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1b20b9…
11-13 21:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3c7809…
11-13 21:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbb97da…
11-13 21:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xad3cc8…
11-13 21:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3a5c13…
11-13 21:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xec2ff7…
11-13 20:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x165fe3…
11-13 20:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa36ce9…
11-13 20:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc7d5c7…
11-13 20:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb8673d…
11-13 20:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc2e282…
11-13 20:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x00e949…
11-13 20:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x07b2c1…
11-13 20:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x4550ae…
11-13 20:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x9d3db3…
11-13 20:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x29f067…
11-13 20:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x09ef11…
11-13 20:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x46a346…
11-13 20:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf17089…
11-13 20:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x32bd18…
11-13 20:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x172cc2…
11-13 20:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa52d56…
11-13 20:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x68e21a…
11-13 20:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x75e829…
11-13 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6125ae…
11-13 20:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4c6067…
11-13 20:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x7b0f05…
11-13 20:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xcdb610…
11-13 20:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x082827…
11-13 20:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1d7461…
11-13 20:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xdb8c9c…
11-13 20:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x3e5b2e…
11-13 20:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xc718ab…
11-13 18:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x5fa799…
11-13 18:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x05ba74…
11-13 18:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf64a8b…
11-13 18:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8e85b4…
11-13 18:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdedbd6…
11-13 18:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x21ebef…
11-13 18:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x166c5d…
11-13 18:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc0c983…
11-13 18:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xced504…
11-13 18:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa2855d…
11-13 18:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x935ae1…
11-13 18:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x237c40…
11-13 18:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x7268d2…
11-13 18:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa24766…
11-13 18:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x25e377…
11-13 18:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x5cedfb…
11-13 18:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5ee5ce…
11-13 18:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6acff4…
11-13 18:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xc27e6e…
11-13 18:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd3d161…
11-13 18:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3bc484…
11-13 18:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x64fb61…
11-13 18:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1529f5…
11-13 18:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xf3a514…
11-13 16:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0xcf58e6…
11-13 16:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xaddb6d…
11-13 16:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x4c19bb…