Puzzled-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

38,102

Trades

122,358

lifetime

Volume

$2.39M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$56

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-15 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 301 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$47,514

Other

0% 29% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 4142 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	—	+56	$37	99¢	$55	+$19	11-15 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	—	+55	$42	1¢	$1	-$41	11-15 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:10 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,722	2,722	+0	Down	+$778	08-19 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	10	$2.4K	1,510	1,510	+0	Up	+$457	08-19 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:10 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,783	1,783	+0	Up	+$439	06-25 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:35 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	Down	+$491	08-24 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:45 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	+$280	08-28 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,036	1,679	+357	Down	+$805	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:00 UTC	9	$1.9K	1,276	1,276	+0	Up	+$339	08-11 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:55 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,515	1,515	+0	Down	+$362	08-20 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,305	1,305	+0	Down	+$321	06-15 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,149	1,149	+0	Up	+$405	08-24 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,173	1,173	+0	Up	+$345	08-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$337	05-26 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:30 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,464	1,447	+17	Up	+$202	02-03 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,177	1,156	+21	Up	+$663	03-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:55 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,039	1,023	+16	Up	+$425	03-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	Down	+$396	08-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,331	1,331	+0	Down	+$501	06-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:35 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,661	1,644	+17	Down	+$614	03-27 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:50 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,629	1,605	+25	Up	-$298	03-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,178	1,164	+14	Down	+$794	03-23 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:05 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,049	1,034	+15	Down	+$282	03-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$1.5K	1,131	1,131	+0	Up	+$528	05-23 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,102	1,102	+0	Down	+$405	08-24 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 09:50 UTC	3	$1.4K	982	982	+0	Up	+$482	08-28 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:05 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,093	1,076	+17	Down	+$230	03-15 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	835	829	+6	Up	+$128	03-23 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,150	1,133	+17	Up	+$129	03-15 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,107	977	+131	Up	+$207	04-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,403	1,282	+120	Down	+$133	03-23 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$322	09-08 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 15:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	67¢	$34	0x14cd7d…
11-15 15:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x428958…
11-15 15:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x637d70…
11-15 15:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x4a6a1c…
11-15 15:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x82c342…
11-15 15:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x213ab6…
11-15 15:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xd21dd8…
11-15 15:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf92136…
11-15 15:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x30e33c…
11-15 15:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xa4ec09…
11-15 15:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x65b153…
11-15 15:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x33089b…
11-15 14:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x0526f6…
11-15 14:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x6d74f4…
11-15 14:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xf0a824…
11-15 14:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xa518c6…
11-15 14:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xf3e683…
11-15 14:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x2efec0…
11-15 14:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x4ebbd6…
11-15 14:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xff97b7…
11-15 14:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xb25402…
11-15 14:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x61b253…
11-15 14:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x160bac…
11-15 14:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x62c200…
11-15 14:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x7f1660…
11-15 14:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x0663eb…
11-15 14:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xc21a33…
11-15 14:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2b8214…
11-15 14:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x1388ec…
11-15 14:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xe5e6df…
11-15 14:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x9503e3…
11-15 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xc4866f…
11-15 14:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xb6e095…
11-15 14:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x656c12…
11-15 14:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xdf6613…
11-15 14:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x4b0797…
11-15 14:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	48	92¢	$45	0x8c8f96…
11-15 14:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xf7c90b…
11-15 14:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x15e0b0…
11-15 14:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x8f366e…
11-15 14:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd601be…
11-15 14:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7a2501…
11-15 14:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x52aea6…
11-15 14:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xd95e8c…
11-15 14:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xcafa15…
11-15 14:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x9dc96d…
11-15 14:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	66	75¢	$49	0xb7b8d5…
11-15 14:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xff191a…
11-15 14:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	62¢	$10	0xa7a269…
11-15 14:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xa48921…
11-15 14:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x94b12c…
11-15 14:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe802f4…
11-15 14:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x6f6eb4…
11-15 14:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0xe888d4…
11-15 14:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	96¢	$19	0xda4396…
11-15 14:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0x36f7e5…
11-15 14:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xe61422…
11-15 14:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x228860…
11-15 14:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xcd22ef…
11-15 14:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1b1597…
11-15 14:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x938f11…
11-15 14:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x320fcb…
11-15 14:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x891290…
11-15 14:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x59b6aa…
11-15 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xe79cde…
11-15 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x4cdeb2…
11-15 13:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0xf4c4fc…
11-15 13:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	81¢	$19	0xa1d50e…
11-15 13:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x235bb6…
11-15 13:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x145412…
11-15 13:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x653370…
11-15 13:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe8ae4c…
11-15 13:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcbe007…
11-15 13:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x528d86…
11-15 13:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xe82fc3…
11-15 13:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0130d6…
11-15 13:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xa4d5e0…
11-15 13:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$14	0x1ea45e…
11-15 13:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x32dbad…
11-15 13:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x2c6f14…
11-15 13:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xd9b3fd…
11-15 13:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1c8b99…
11-15 13:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xafd082…
11-15 13:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5d02a6…
11-15 13:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x2ee034…
11-15 13:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x8f8e57…
11-15 13:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	39	74¢	$29	0x80881f…
11-15 13:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x64dd6b…
11-15 13:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xce7664…
11-15 13:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x80c399…
11-15 13:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$6	0xd7cb63…
11-15 13:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0x8b2c41…
11-15 13:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x72ed0b…
11-15 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xfc387d…
11-15 13:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x7871e5…
11-15 13:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xa92198…
11-15 13:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x337315…
11-15 13:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xe6a8cb…
11-15 13:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x202e7f…
11-15 13:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x89ce6e…