Puzzled-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

37,924

Trades

121,292

lifetime

Volume

$2.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$34

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-14 11:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 300 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$47,476

Other

0% 29% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 4142 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	—	+34	$24	99¢	$34	+$10	11-14 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	—	+17	$10	1¢	$0	-$10	11-14 12:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:10 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,722	2,722	+0	Down	+$778	08-19 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	10	$2.4K	1,510	1,510	+0	Up	+$457	08-19 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:10 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,783	1,783	+0	Up	+$439	06-25 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:35 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	Down	+$491	08-24 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:45 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	+$280	08-28 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,036	1,679	+357	Down	+$805	02-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:00 UTC	9	$1.9K	1,276	1,276	+0	Up	+$339	08-11 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:55 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,515	1,515	+0	Down	+$362	08-20 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,305	1,305	+0	Down	+$321	06-15 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,149	1,149	+0	Up	+$405	08-24 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,173	1,173	+0	Up	+$345	08-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$1.7K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$337	05-26 11:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:30 UTC	7	$1.7K	1,464	1,447	+17	Up	+$202	02-03 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,177	1,156	+21	Up	+$663	03-30 12:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:55 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,039	1,023	+16	Up	+$425	03-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 16:20 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	Down	+$396	08-16 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,331	1,331	+0	Down	+$501	06-11 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:35 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,661	1,644	+17	Down	+$614	03-27 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:50 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,629	1,605	+25	Up	-$298	03-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,178	1,164	+14	Down	+$794	03-23 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:05 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,049	1,034	+15	Down	+$282	03-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$1.5K	1,131	1,131	+0	Up	+$528	05-23 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,102	1,102	+0	Down	+$405	08-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$1.4K	982	982	+0	Up	+$482	08-28 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:05 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,093	1,076	+17	Down	+$230	03-15 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	835	829	+6	Up	+$128	03-23 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,150	1,133	+17	Up	+$129	03-15 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,107	977	+131	Up	+$207	04-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:15 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,403	1,282	+120	Down	+$133	03-23 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$322	09-08 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 12:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x0425e7…
11-14 12:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	67¢	$17	0x111f13…
11-14 12:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2a4365…
11-14 12:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5b5f4f…
11-14 12:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x652a05…
11-14 12:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x1c3f8b…
11-14 12:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x07cef8…
11-14 12:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0xbf9c44…
11-14 12:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0x5b3f8b…
11-14 11:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x53b2a4…
11-14 11:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xb9b425…
11-14 11:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc5fe96…
11-14 11:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x26ab68…
11-14 11:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	46	56¢	$26	0x109e92…
11-14 11:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x74bc44…
11-14 11:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1f7462…
11-14 11:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xeeb331…
11-14 11:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0x9bf109…
11-14 11:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x682e49…
11-14 11:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xac4c4f…
11-14 11:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x2cb198…
11-14 11:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x696226…
11-14 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	63	78¢	$49	0xf376af…
11-14 11:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd40134…
11-14 11:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x091a1a…
11-14 11:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0x2dfa3b…
11-14 11:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x27dc51…
11-14 11:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$8	0x514720…
11-14 11:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xee1b8e…
11-14 11:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x907121…
11-14 11:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xa4ce34…
11-14 11:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf27560…
11-14 11:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xfee39b…
11-14 10:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	97	91¢	$88	0x022d15…
11-14 10:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	97	51¢	$50	0x3fa0eb…
11-14 10:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0x1e1b92…
11-14 10:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xb562dc…
11-14 10:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	81	53¢	$43	0x6824d3…
11-14 10:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x20870a…
11-14 10:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xf3bdf4…
11-14 10:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x92e99e…
11-14 10:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$8	0xe6ad00…
11-14 10:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$7	0x0b1302…
11-14 10:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x62b0be…
11-14 10:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6de2dd…
11-14 10:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x0cd837…
11-14 10:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x1fb6e0…
11-14 10:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x9283dd…
11-14 10:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	48	57¢	$27	0x5a13a9…
11-14 10:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x74662e…
11-14 10:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x75a26f…
11-14 10:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x62e2b0…
11-14 10:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x74f7c8…
11-14 10:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x27fdf3…
11-14 10:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x896f8e…
11-14 10:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x4b84d4…
11-14 10:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0xbfad7f…
11-14 10:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9f29e4…
11-14 10:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x30b7dd…
11-14 10:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xfa9a1f…
11-14 10:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x348e48…
11-14 10:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x3fe622…
11-14 10:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	57¢	$15	0x39c388…
11-14 10:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x635f1a…
11-14 10:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x6a0903…
11-14 10:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x2957ad…
11-14 10:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0xc4fd2a…
11-14 10:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x320f94…
11-14 10:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	71¢	$18	0x11ce7a…
11-14 10:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	99	59¢	$59	0x58f610…
11-14 10:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x8ac99e…
11-14 10:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x28b397…
11-14 10:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xbb4b35…
11-14 10:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x05d32f…
11-14 10:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x057b46…
11-14 10:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0xc368d1…
11-14 10:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x29e125…
11-14 10:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x109050…
11-14 10:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x8ac079…
11-14 10:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x61f62e…
11-14 10:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x77aaf9…
11-14 10:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xc534d6…
11-14 10:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xa793b6…
11-14 10:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x965dec…
11-14 10:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x7a265b…
11-14 10:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x592715…
11-14 10:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$8	0x7a1249…
11-14 10:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xd7c242…
11-14 10:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x62b7c4…
11-14 10:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xd65745…
11-14 10:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$9	0xb25c40…
11-14 10:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$9	0x906884…
11-14 10:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xf7e3d8…
11-14 10:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x765260…
11-14 10:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2337d7…
11-14 10:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x689bba…
11-14 10:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x64a127…
11-14 10:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xde4191…
11-14 10:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x091917…
11-14 10:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xdf418e…