Bleak-Opinion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

7,935

Trades

148,407

lifetime

Volume

$11.5M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 03:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 294 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% -$42,848

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1673 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	3	$28.0K	14,000	14,000	+0	Up	+$0	03-02 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 09:15 UTC	50	$25.0K	14,945	10,241	+4,703	Up	+$102	03-10 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:00 UTC	113	$24.6K	15,990	8,988	+7,002	Up	+$165	02-11 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 16:30 UTC	72	$21.4K	14,695	6,848	+7,847	Up	+$88	03-13 16:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 22:05 UTC	33	$19.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	Up	+$90	03-08 22:10
bitcoin up or down march 13 9am et	174	$18.6K	9,427	9,425	+1	Up	+$176	03-13 13:55
bitcoin up or down february 10 9am et	65	$18.5K	11,274	11,274	+0	Down	+$71	02-10 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:05 UTC	80	$18.1K	18,654	0	+18,654	Down	+$533	03-10 15:07
bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	39	$17.8K	8,534	9,388	-854	Up	+$96	02-13 15:58
bitcoin up or down february 3 2pm et	72	$17.0K	8,608	8,683	-75	Up	+$61	02-03 20:08
bitcoin up or down march 14 2am et	440	$16.8K	8,470	8,470	+0	Down	+$68	03-14 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	27	$16.6K	8,380	8,380	+0	Up	+$161	09-14 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:30 UTC	81	$16.4K	12,033	4,538	+7,495	Down	+$114	02-11 14:44
bitcoin up or down february 5 10am et	86	$16.4K	8,996	8,883	+112	Down	+$70	02-05 15:55
bitcoin up or down march 11 6pm et	38	$15.9K	7,983	7,983	+0	Down	+$63	03-11 23:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 16:15 UTC	49	$15.9K	11,472	4,500	+6,972	Up	+$77	03-17 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 20:45 UTC	99	$15.8K	11,836	4,227	+7,609	Up	+$80	02-11 21:00
bitcoin up or down march 9 9am et	16	$15.7K	7,878	7,878	+0	Up	+$35	03-09 14:04
bitcoin up or down february 11 9am et	39	$15.6K	8,799	8,799	+0	Down	+$4	02-11 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 14:00 UTC	24	$15.4K	15,525	0	+15,525	Up	+$155	03-11 14:03
bitcoin up or down january 31 12pm et	67	$15.1K	6,816	8,468	-1,652	Down	+$91	01-31 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	83	$14.7K	8,437	8,437	+0	Up	+$2,001	09-10 00:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 22:15 UTC	47	$14.7K	14,854	0	+14,854	Down	+$163	03-11 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 16:30 UTC	73	$14.1K	9,844	4,421	+5,423	Down	+$101	03-20 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 13:35 UTC	67	$14.1K	7,089	7,089	+0	Down	+$73	03-10 13:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:45 UTC	38	$13.9K	10,165	3,903	+6,263	Down	+$108	03-02 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 17:00 UTC	6	$13.9K	14,082	0	+14,082	Up	+$158	03-08 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:55 UTC	40	$13.6K	13,742	0	+13,742	Up	+$179	03-10 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 14:30 UTC	49	$13.3K	6,742	6,741	+0	Up	+$107	02-06 14:44
bitcoin up or down january 30 9am et	111	$13.2K	6,518	6,802	-285	Up	+$57	01-30 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3,131	0¢	$6	0x8d0a00…
10-28 03:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4e901f…
10-28 03:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x915785…
10-28 02:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xa2db7e…
10-28 02:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1,619	99¢	$1,603	0x6ad223…
10-28 02:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x3b1876…
10-28 02:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	61	90¢	$55	0xf8addb…
10-28 02:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0xc2adeb…
10-28 02:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0xec82c2…
10-28 02:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x29bf6c…
10-28 02:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	86¢	$49	0x189354…
10-28 02:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb125cd…
10-28 02:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	318	15¢	$48	0x6e3cbf…
10-28 02:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	487	16¢	$78	0x0dc088…
10-28 02:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6e554b…
10-28 02:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xfe19ea…
10-28 02:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xa4b35b…
10-28 02:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x60e802…
10-28 02:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x1fb47f…
10-28 02:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x4cba08…
10-28 02:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xcd8ee9…
10-28 02:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0xbfaf6e…
10-28 02:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xbcc622…
10-28 02:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x8c7f9c…
10-28 02:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x3a088f…
10-28 02:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x29278f…
10-28 02:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd65e1b…
10-28 02:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xcd07f9…
10-28 02:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xc1d030…
10-28 02:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	31¢	$17	0x5d6fbf…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	31¢	$6	0xf1455a…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xe9b7c5…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0xa99eef…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xa3f5ee…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x8ed728…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x662d70…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0x59d663…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4f0a28…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	107	31¢	$33	0x470d93…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0x3f2a91…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x35f616…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x25e397…
10-28 02:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb774a4…
10-28 00:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd7f052…
10-28 00:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2f0368…
10-28 00:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x8c3ec0…
10-28 00:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x37dc38…
10-28 00:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x235134…
10-28 00:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xeee09b…
10-28 00:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe7fbe2…
10-28 00:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xafb337…
10-28 00:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x48e9a7…
10-28 00:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xb7a24f…
10-28 00:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xb1b22c…
10-28 00:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x2562dd…
10-28 00:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xf8d218…
10-28 00:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xf7990a…
10-28 00:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xd213d6…
10-28 00:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1ae354…
10-28 00:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd3fe06…
10-28 00:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x861005…
10-28 00:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x18bcf4…
10-28 00:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd63e7e…
10-28 00:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7c96ba…
10-28 00:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x632af4…
10-28 00:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xf493de…
10-28 00:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd37d12…
10-28 00:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa984f9…
10-28 00:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa60771…
10-28 00:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2ee6bb…
10-28 00:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x20837f…
10-28 00:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x001fee…
10-28 00:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xac59cc…
10-28 00:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x68bb99…
10-28 00:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xb716e7…
10-28 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf98d50…
10-28 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf537ea…
10-28 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	244	2¢	$5	0xaed0fd…
10-28 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa6522f…
10-28 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	122	2¢	$2	0xa1ccee…
10-28 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x819fbe…
10-28 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x40f094…
10-28 00:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xeb9ba7…
10-28 00:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	550	2¢	$11	0xe61fd1…
10-28 00:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xdb34c1…
10-28 00:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb372ec…
10-28 00:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xabc2a3…
10-28 00:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x8efd42…
10-28 00:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x84cff5…
10-28 00:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x7a00ac…
10-28 00:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x2e8f5c…
10-28 00:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1b3c42…
10-28 00:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8d359a…
10-28 00:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x7c5d85…
10-28 00:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x244175…
10-28 00:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x75b571…
10-28 00:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	417	4¢	$17	0x41d581…
10-27 21:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x502028…
10-27 21:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	259	5¢	$13	0x1d3c9f…
10-27 21:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	151	5¢	$8	0x1ec3e3…