Bleak-Opinion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

7,933

Trades

148,310

lifetime

Volume

$11.5M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 21:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 293 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% -$43,948

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 1673 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	3	$28.0K	14,000	14,000	+0	Up	+$0	03-02 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 09:15 UTC	50	$25.0K	14,945	10,241	+4,703	Up	+$102	03-10 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:00 UTC	113	$24.6K	15,990	8,988	+7,002	Up	+$165	02-11 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 16:30 UTC	72	$21.4K	14,695	6,848	+7,847	Up	+$88	03-13 16:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 22:05 UTC	33	$19.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	Up	+$90	03-08 22:10
bitcoin up or down march 13 9am et	174	$18.6K	9,427	9,425	+1	Up	+$176	03-13 13:55
bitcoin up or down february 10 9am et	65	$18.5K	11,274	11,274	+0	Down	+$71	02-10 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:05 UTC	80	$18.1K	18,654	0	+18,654	Down	+$533	03-10 15:07
bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	39	$17.8K	8,534	9,388	-854	Up	+$96	02-13 15:58
bitcoin up or down february 3 2pm et	72	$17.0K	8,608	8,683	-75	Up	+$61	02-03 20:08
bitcoin up or down march 14 2am et	440	$16.8K	8,470	8,470	+0	Down	+$68	03-14 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	27	$16.6K	8,380	8,380	+0	Up	+$161	09-14 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:30 UTC	81	$16.4K	12,033	4,538	+7,495	Down	+$114	02-11 14:44
bitcoin up or down february 5 10am et	86	$16.4K	8,996	8,883	+112	Down	+$70	02-05 15:55
bitcoin up or down march 11 6pm et	38	$15.9K	7,983	7,983	+0	Down	+$63	03-11 23:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 16:15 UTC	49	$15.9K	11,472	4,500	+6,972	Up	+$77	03-17 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 20:45 UTC	99	$15.8K	11,836	4,227	+7,609	Up	+$80	02-11 21:00
bitcoin up or down march 9 9am et	16	$15.7K	7,878	7,878	+0	Up	+$35	03-09 14:04
bitcoin up or down february 11 9am et	39	$15.6K	8,799	8,799	+0	Down	+$4	02-11 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 14:00 UTC	24	$15.4K	15,525	0	+15,525	Up	+$155	03-11 14:03
bitcoin up or down january 31 12pm et	67	$15.1K	6,816	8,468	-1,652	Down	+$91	01-31 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	83	$14.7K	8,437	8,437	+0	Up	+$2,001	09-10 00:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 22:15 UTC	47	$14.7K	14,854	0	+14,854	Down	+$163	03-11 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 16:30 UTC	73	$14.1K	9,844	4,421	+5,423	Down	+$101	03-20 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 13:35 UTC	67	$14.1K	7,089	7,089	+0	Down	+$73	03-10 13:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:45 UTC	38	$13.9K	10,165	3,903	+6,263	Down	+$108	03-02 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 17:00 UTC	6	$13.9K	14,082	0	+14,082	Up	+$158	03-08 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:55 UTC	40	$13.6K	13,742	0	+13,742	Up	+$179	03-10 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 14:30 UTC	49	$13.3K	6,742	6,741	+0	Up	+$107	02-06 14:44
bitcoin up or down january 30 9am et	111	$13.2K	6,518	6,802	-285	Up	+$57	01-30 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x502028…
10-27 21:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	259	5¢	$13	0x1d3c9f…
10-27 21:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	151	5¢	$8	0x1ec3e3…
10-27 21:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	90	5¢	$5	0x052c66…
10-27 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xe08ee4…
10-27 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xb6da39…
10-27 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	94	17¢	$16	0xa419d3…
10-27 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9d0b7e…
10-27 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8be2c8…
10-27 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x89d380…
10-27 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x6ed4d7…
10-27 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x0984d0…
10-27 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0x036cfe…
10-27 21:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0xfc0374…
10-27 21:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xeb4b5c…
10-27 21:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xe67cf3…
10-27 21:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8ff78f…
10-27 21:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7fa3ef…
10-27 21:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x20effc…
10-27 21:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	349	8¢	$28	0x7975c1…
10-27 21:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	764	8¢	$61	0xb937f2…
10-27 21:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	109	8¢	$9	0x6c0408…
10-27 21:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x682c01…
10-27 20:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	501	0¢	$3	0x9006aa…
10-27 20:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xce20ea…
10-27 20:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x61590a…
10-27 20:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x2cabc6…
10-27 20:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	325	2¢	$7	0x15db56…
10-27 20:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	152	95¢	$145	0x5b8347…
10-27 19:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x4c067a…
10-27 19:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x19481a…
10-27 19:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	529	1¢	$5	0x452f73…
10-27 19:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	141	1¢	$1	0x03405d…
10-27 18:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	764	1¢	$8	0x9de2ef…
10-27 17:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x847220…
10-27 17:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x841cdb…
10-27 17:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xcf1500…
10-27 17:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	204	1¢	$2	0x75ba79…
10-27 17:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x6773d2…
10-27 17:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xc38ac5…
10-27 17:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x84028b…
10-27 17:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x836977…
10-27 17:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5136d1…
10-27 17:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3c41e8…
10-27 17:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x11511a…
10-27 17:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xaa62b1…
10-27 17:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x79457f…
10-27 17:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x75a8f3…
10-27 17:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	632	1¢	$6	0x8d2fde…
10-27 17:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x7956cd…
10-27 17:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xfc64f9…
10-27 17:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0xdf3388…
10-27 17:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0x97ee20…
10-27 17:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x08f3ad…
10-27 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x472fc2…
10-27 17:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb8844a…
10-27 17:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xc4df58…
10-27 17:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6f5850…
10-27 17:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x342af1…
10-27 17:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x271675…
10-27 17:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0xf489ef…
10-27 17:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe98558…
10-27 17:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x88493b…
10-27 17:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x414282…
10-27 17:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x062970…
10-27 17:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf870ad…
10-27 17:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x917977…
10-27 17:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x56707b…
10-27 17:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x0311d4…
10-27 17:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd86005…
10-27 17:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbf4f01…
10-27 17:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2d94c9…
10-27 17:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xecf75e…
10-27 17:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0x8f63b5…
10-27 17:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x081efc…
10-27 17:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	416	1¢	$4	0xfb6a02…
10-27 17:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x8c9e42…
10-27 17:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	258	1¢	$3	0x73c9c9…
10-27 17:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x56e542…
10-27 17:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xd664d6…
10-27 17:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x24b7cf…
10-27 15:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x21befa…
10-27 15:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7fb620…
10-27 14:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0xbc9eea…
10-27 14:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	387	97¢	$375	0x661de9…
10-27 13:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x93cbfa…
10-27 13:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xb80260…
10-27 13:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2c494c…
10-27 13:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x4b8083…
10-27 13:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xaa202f…
10-27 13:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x96fda4…
10-27 13:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x58c580…
10-27 13:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0xfa5beb…
10-27 13:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x7385b9…
10-27 13:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x44e2ce…
10-27 13:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x313023…
10-27 13:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xdccb72…
10-27 13:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xb74be7…
10-27 13:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x23a0e2…
10-27 13:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x05049b…