Realized P&L
+$20.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$373
Hit rate
89.3%
Resolved
257
Trades
15,184
lifetime
Volume
$1.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$41.9K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
75% 65% +$8,239
Politics
16% 58% +$10,292
Crypto
8% 38% +$2,409
Tech
1% 54% -$1,531
Sports
0% 50% +$1,448
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$78
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -33,000 -$26,856 83¢ $-27241 -$386 10-29 17:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -25,847 -$4,589 17¢ $-4510 +$79 10-29 17:43
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +3,511 $2,209 99¢ $3.5K +$1,268 10-29 17:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -4,000 -$3,241 81¢ $-3250 -$9 10-29 17:38
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -4,485 -$852 50¢ $-2265 -$1,413 10-29 17:43
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -600 -$518 86¢ $-513 +$5 10-29 17:38
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +427 $262 58¢ $250 -$12 10-29 17:43
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -200 -$156 80¢ $-159 -$3 10-29 17:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +410 $196 20¢ $80 -$116 10-29 17:43
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? No -71 -$66 95¢ $-67 $0 10-29 17:41
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,511 $980 1¢ $33 -$947 10-23 18:49
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +389 $185 8¢ $29 -$156 10-29 17:43
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes -900 -$16 2¢ $-21 -$5 10-29 17:42
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? No +10 -$1,382 99¢ $10 +$1,392 10-29 17:38
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +8 $6 86¢ $7 +$1 08-04 18:40
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +26 $10 16¢ $4 -$6 10-25 12:46
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +173 $7 1¢ $2 -$5 08-06 04:03
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by october 31 2026 Yes +600 $57 0¢ $1 -$56 10-25 23:55
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +10 $6 1¢ $0 -$6 09-12 23:08