Realized P&L
+$12.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.44K
Hit rate
86.3%
Resolved
83
Trades
558
lifetime
Volume
$348.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$625
Open exposure
$82.0K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 13:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Politics
70% 76% +$9,292
Other
27% 85% +$1,115
Sports
3% 89% +$1,991
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +14,938 $13,604 97¢ $14.5K +$915 09-26 16:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +12,136 $10,907 94¢ $11.5K +$561 10-21 12:55
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,953 $10,002 91¢ $10.0K -$35 09-20 00:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +9,455 $7,621 94¢ $8.9K +$1,314 07-01 16:33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +10,312 $8,609 82¢ $8.4K -$205 09-28 01:13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -6,602 -$6,147 97¢ $-6434 -$287 05-29 17:08
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6,085 $5,000 86¢ $5.3K +$263 07-02 18:34
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +4,862 $4,010 82¢ $4.0K +$2 10-27 13:43
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +4,371 $3,918 90¢ $4.0K +$38 09-28 00:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +6,294 $3,080 45¢ $2.8K -$248 10-21 12:56
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,289 $2,000 96¢ $2.2K +$194 08-19 13:02
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -1,167 -$919 92¢ $-1068 -$148 05-12 22:25
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,132 $1,014 90¢ $1.0K +$4 10-18 15:00
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 No +720 $500 74¢ $537 +$37 07-01 17:07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? No +534 $502 100¢ $532 +$30 09-23 02:52
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +469 $405 88¢ $415 +$10 09-29 16:16
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +212 $200 98¢ $207 +$7 09-16 01:31
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +139 $126 92¢ $127 +$1 09-14 03:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +203 $98 43¢ $87 -$11 10-19 02:00