Remorseful-Drizzle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.92K

Unrealized P&L

-$74

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

129

Trades

1,129

lifetime

Volume

$476.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$422

Open exposure

$317

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Politics

42% 73% -$16,811

Other

32% 67% +$5,809

Crypto

19% 83% +$7,013

Tech

6% 100% +$1,417

Sports

2% 57% -$1,345

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes		+449	$391	70¢	$317	-$74	10-19 06:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		+0	$0	6¢	$0	$0	09-10 23:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	42	$27.5K	44,664	23,039	+21,625	Yes	-$8,352	02-28 19:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	18	$27.4K	15,346	15,346	+0	No	+$1,417	06-09 19:00
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	14	$25.4K	15,834	11,154	+4,680	No	+$1,168	02-28 14:14
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	25	$23.1K	21,626	3,000	+18,626	Yes	+$1,140	04-30 10:30
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$22.8K	25,000	0	+25,000	No	+$2,235	05-11 08:34
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	69	$22.4K	13,012	13,012	+0	No	-$520	03-02 09:07
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	7	$18.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$420	05-18 06:41
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	41	$17.1K	20,322	4,884	+15,438	No	+$1,953	01-24 22:52
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	16	$17.1K	10,600	10,600	+0	No	-$72	04-24 10:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$14.5K	15,266	0	+15,266	No	+$764	05-22 21:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$14.2K	7,200	7,200	+0	No	+$120	04-13 18:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	27	$13.2K	71,500	0	+71,500	Yes	-$13,195	02-28 06:50
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$12.0K	18,045	0	+18,045	No	+$5,454	06-03 20:37
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	63	$11.7K	13,427	4,477	+8,950	No	+$671	01-20 22:42
Zama auction clearing price above $0.07?	4	$11.6K	11,874	0	+11,874	No	+$258	01-24 19:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	14	$11.5K	10,000	5,000	+5,000	No	+$400	01-22 17:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$9.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$512	05-23 13:36
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	25	$9.3K	8,290	3,100	+5,190	No	+$223	01-23 19:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	3	$9.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$0	06-03 19:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$8.8K	6,000	3,000	+3,000	No	+$114	04-26 09:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	94	$7.0K	47,000	47,000	+0	open	—	09-10 23:10
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	4	$6.9K	6,841	6,841	+0	Yes	-$2,383	06-03 20:36
Ranger FDV above $40M one day after launch?	11	$6.6K	8,764	0	+8,764	No	+$2,212	01-10 20:02
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	12	$5.6K	2,667	3,446	-779	No	+$297	01-18 18:41
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	11	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	10-25 03:58
Immunefi FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$245	01-20 12:43
Ranger FDV above $50M one day after launch?	7	$4.5K	5,217	0	+5,217	No	+$739	01-10 16:56
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	6	$4.5K	2,509	2,075	+434	No	+$57	04-14 11:39
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	10	$4.4K	3,202	2,000	+1,202	Yes	+$200	04-24 14:32
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$4.4K	4,372	0	+4,372	No	+$4	02-07 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:42:53	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	519	99¢	$516	0xa1a770…
10-25 14:42:42	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x68ff83…
10-25 03:58:18	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	2,500	99¢	$2,475	0xd82971…
10-20 09:26:57	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x657ec2…
10-19 06:41:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xfc844a…
10-19 04:02:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	146	87¢	$127	0x3bc084…
10-19 04:02:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	301	87¢	$262	0x0195d8…
10-19 01:52:57	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	395	98¢	$385	0xc24d86…
10-19 01:31:24	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0xb8216f…
10-19 00:32:44	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0xcdaa2c…
10-18 23:49:42	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$976	0x40b90e…
10-18 23:28:06	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x79077a…
10-18 22:55:23	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0xe8855d…
10-18 22:32:45	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb29846…
10-18 20:56:12	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	350	98¢	$342	0xbf4d6d…
10-18 19:52:33	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$80	0x6141b4…
10-18 16:53:50	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	570	98¢	$560	0x7101ab…
10-18 16:48:20	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x719f68…
10-18 15:31:08	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe75bd1…
09-10 23:10:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,918	7¢	$204	0x5a7b23…
09-10 20:22:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x7a9fa3…
09-10 19:42:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x73a6a5…
09-10 18:55:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xf62a0e…
09-10 18:55:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	7¢	$2	0xa80f13…
09-10 18:55:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,948	7¢	$416	0x60545e…
09-10 18:04:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	320	7¢	$22	0x9b68aa…
09-10 17:32:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x82eea0…
09-10 16:58:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	800	7¢	$56	0x50631d…
09-10 16:06:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xadee3e…
09-10 16:04:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x680123…
09-10 14:45:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	274	7¢	$19	0x347ae4…
09-10 14:20:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x71f394…
09-10 13:06:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x141694…
09-10 12:35:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x63b66e…
09-10 08:00:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xc5a172…
09-10 06:17:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0xd5555e…
09-10 06:12:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xc05a02…
09-10 05:59:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xa47138…
09-10 05:57:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xa79c44…
09-10 05:43:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	214	7¢	$15	0x992da3…
09-10 05:25:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xae970f…
09-10 03:44:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	53	7¢	$4	0xf06007…
09-10 03:43:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	7¢	$3	0x282dbc…
09-10 03:27:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	319	7¢	$22	0x063b98…
09-10 03:26:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	7¢	$4	0xc70eab…
09-10 03:14:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	96	7¢	$7	0x325e9f…
09-10 03:13:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	160	7¢	$11	0x8877f0…
09-10 02:57:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	85	7¢	$6	0x19f0fb…
09-10 02:56:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	193	7¢	$13	0x8359ae…
09-10 02:56:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	102	7¢	$7	0x8f2c21…
09-10 02:55:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	121	7¢	$8	0xc76daf…
09-10 02:55:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	123	7¢	$9	0x6b7909…
09-10 02:40:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	85	7¢	$6	0x50a5a4…
09-10 02:39:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	106	7¢	$7	0x087634…
09-10 02:39:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	74	7¢	$5	0x35c8e6…
09-10 02:19:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	7¢	$4	0xc4a27f…
09-10 02:18:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	141	7¢	$10	0xf355cd…
09-10 02:17:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	112	7¢	$8	0x805298…
09-10 02:17:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	109	7¢	$8	0x7bc982…
09-10 02:17:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	117	7¢	$8	0x034056…
09-10 02:07:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	121	7¢	$8	0x55802c…
09-10 02:06:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	114	7¢	$8	0x08fc90…
09-10 02:06:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	129	7¢	$9	0x7718a0…
09-10 02:05:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	106	7¢	$7	0xb8cb1b…
09-10 02:04:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	121	7¢	$8	0x4f6fab…
09-10 01:33:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x208899…
09-09 23:16:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x0aaebf…
09-09 22:53:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xbf51c9…
09-09 21:48:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	114	7¢	$8	0xc1b550…
09-09 19:51:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x147ed9…
09-09 19:00:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0x62fad1…
09-09 17:35:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0xecab80…
09-09 17:34:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	591	7¢	$41	0x442ef6…
09-05 09:39:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15,000	8¢	$1,200	0xe4a8ef…
08-10 01:19:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14,149	7¢	$990	0x41d4e1…
08-10 00:19:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x73fc3d…
08-09 22:15:40	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	286	7¢	$20	0xc14944…
08-09 22:14:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x7b718e…
08-09 19:43:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x25ff96…
08-09 19:23:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x865042…
08-09 19:14:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	491	7¢	$34	0x3db89a…
08-06 17:35:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15,000	6¢	$900	0x00a77b…
08-04 00:53:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15,000	7¢	$1,050	0x49d6a9…
08-01 07:41:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xf4f292…
08-01 07:41:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x44614a…
08-01 07:40:23	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x548571…
08-01 07:40:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xdd20f7…
08-01 07:16:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xadfcae…
08-01 07:16:08	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x05e3d6…
08-01 07:16:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x7c83a5…
08-01 07:11:26	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x1b4604…
08-01 07:05:47	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xeacb2e…
08-01 07:05:35	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xcba22e…
08-01 06:43:41	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x197ddc…
08-01 05:57:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	9¢	$4	0x120f08…
08-01 05:19:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xd47c35…
08-01 04:26:20	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0xc0605d…
08-01 02:51:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xda6845…
08-01 02:33:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x15b73b…
08-01 02:07:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x98a20f…