Both-Seaside-Approach — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$71.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.19K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,652

lifetime

Volume

$2.92M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$628

Open exposure

$318.2K

10 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-27 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

91% 100% +$67,350

Politics

8% 86% +$4,343

Sports

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+213,048	$200,216	94¢	$200.3K	+$49	10-27 00:14
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+68,185	$64,494	96¢	$65.6K	+$1,066	10-27 03:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+49,600	$46,452	94¢	$46.4K	-$76	10-03 06:47
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+2,680	$1,864	92¢	$2.5K	+$588	10-27 04:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+2,500	$2,330	94¢	$2.3K	+$8	10-26 14:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+800	$672	96¢	$768	+$96	05-09 03:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	+200	$198	100¢	$200	+$2	10-03 15:25
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+200	$186	96¢	$191	+$5	08-02 23:02
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	+100	$91	97¢	$97	+$6	07-31 02:27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+0	-$449	92¢	$0	+$449	10-27 01:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1,153	$468.2K	262,544	213,924	+48,620	Yes	+$5,015	06-12 03:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	837	$411.8K	418,654	0	+418,654	Yes	+$6,804	04-29 03:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	313	$365.0K	391,599	30,100	+361,499	Yes	+$48,898	09-16 17:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	169	$362.5K	182,648	182,647	+0	No	+$1,975	09-15 02:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	567	$201.7K	139,958	71,773	+68,185	open	—	10-27 03:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	74	$200.2K	213,048	0	+213,048	open	—	10-27 00:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	147	$141.1K	101,538	51,938	+49,600	open	—	10-03 06:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	112	$140.9K	70,900	70,900	+0	No	+$476	08-28 14:11
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	85	$138.6K	137,656	2,100	+135,556	Yes	+$933	05-12 06:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	141	$115.8K	116,930	0	+116,930	No	+$1,176	05-23 14:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	103	$59.7K	59,922	0	+59,922	No	+$227	07-29 18:00
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	184	$51.1K	52,633	2,500	+50,133	Yes	+$3,589	05-12 02:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	40	$50.3K	50,951	0	+50,951	No	+$663	07-08 10:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	50	$44.6K	43,420	2,700	+40,720	Yes	+$244	07-29 18:00
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	53	$23.3K	23,628	0	+23,628	Yes	+$292	05-12 03:21
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	40	$18.8K	14,259	4,681	+9,578	No	+$40	09-17 08:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	31	$18.0K	9,131	9,131	+0	No	+$65	09-16 00:33
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	142	$14.8K	9,690	7,010	+2,680	open	—	10-27 04:59
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	40	$14.5K	8,100	8,100	+0	open	—	10-27 01:06
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	142	$13.6K	13,197	666	+12,531	Yes	+$243	09-18 02:59
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	57	$13.6K	11,323	3,399	+7,924	Yes	+$579	09-21 07:02
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	11	$11.9K	11,983	0	+11,983	No	+$34	07-31 02:53
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	36	$9.4K	9,467	0	+9,467	Yes	+$61	07-31 02:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	16	$8.0K	4,762	3,362	+1,400	No	+$85	09-19 23:15
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	37	$6.3K	6,680	0	+6,680	Yes	+$378	09-21 09:39
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	20	$3.1K	3,297	0	+3,297	Yes	+$241	09-23 01:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$2.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	10-26 14:58
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$4	07-04 02:56
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$1	07-04 02:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$1.3K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$70	05-21 10:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:59:17	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	42	92¢	$38	0x3cd29c…
10-27 04:01:38	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb70e0a…
10-27 03:24:05	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	900	92¢	$828	0x25327d…
10-27 03:21:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	988	96¢	$953	0x01a110…
10-27 03:19:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x7aa136…
10-27 02:54:42	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x43d89f…
10-27 02:54:39	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xbcad9a…
10-27 02:54:39	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x948df6…
10-27 02:54:39	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x4b90c6…
10-27 02:54:36	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xdb3e00…
10-27 02:54:36	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xbe7f3f…
10-27 02:54:36	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xaf5dfb…
10-27 02:28:29	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x8aeadf…
10-27 02:15:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	154	96¢	$148	0x3666ef…
10-27 02:12:38	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0x4144b5…
10-27 02:04:42	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	107	96¢	$103	0xce92e7…
10-27 02:01:20	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0x02c6e4…
10-27 01:56:30	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	941	92¢	$866	0xe07444…
10-27 01:53:51	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	3,100	92¢	$2,852	0x140f8a…
10-27 01:45:05	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	279	92¢	$257	0x45165e…
10-27 01:44:57	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	566	92¢	$521	0x885f5b…
10-27 01:30:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,404	96¢	$1,353	0xe76d3e…
10-27 01:29:50	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	46	92¢	$42	0xc5c6a1…
10-27 01:29:44	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	360	92¢	$331	0xda3bd2…
10-27 01:29:38	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	432	92¢	$397	0x8c4fc4…
10-27 01:29:32	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	288	92¢	$265	0x5c9531…
10-27 01:29:26	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xdb58d1…
10-27 01:25:26	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	205	96¢	$198	0xf41855…
10-27 01:06:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4,001	92¢	$3,681	0x11a361…
10-27 01:04:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xd738c4…
10-27 01:01:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x85aa35…
10-27 00:55:26	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	326	92¢	$300	0xf0ed91…
10-27 00:49:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	87	92¢	$80	0x622263…
10-27 00:37:39	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x933fc2…
10-27 00:32:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$961	0xc38427…
10-27 00:25:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	217	92¢	$200	0x0a6950…
10-27 00:22:53	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xf99f02…
10-27 00:21:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x93d290…
10-27 00:15:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x2fd41c…
10-27 00:14:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	93¢	$931	0xcd16f9…
10-27 00:12:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	109	92¢	$100	0xc3eb0e…
10-27 00:05:06	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3,261	92¢	$3,000	0xb665aa…
10-26 22:53:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x920ac5…
10-26 22:53:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x166184…
10-26 21:27:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5a536c…
10-26 14:58:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	800	92¢	$736	0x72c2a0…
10-26 14:48:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	800	93¢	$744	0x6f6b82…
10-26 13:47:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,649	94¢	$1,551	0xf365cc…
10-26 13:46:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,351	94¢	$5,977	0x9a9b45…
10-26 12:09:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22,222	94¢	$20,911	0x86d5c7…
10-26 12:08:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,600	94¢	$2,452	0xed5e5d…
10-26 12:04:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0xee9e17…
10-26 12:03:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	63	94¢	$59	0xabdb54…
10-26 12:03:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	98	94¢	$93	0x3b3d1e…
10-26 03:40:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33,333	94¢	$31,333	0xe62438…
10-26 02:25:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33,333	94¢	$31,333	0x9133af…
10-26 02:25:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0xd26606…
10-26 02:22:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xdc6673…
10-26 02:20:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x3dcff7…
10-26 02:18:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x79e9c4…
10-26 02:16:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	155	94¢	$146	0xfc0379…
10-26 02:14:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8c9d39…
10-26 02:13:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd23872…
10-26 02:08:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x697a95…
10-26 01:54:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	640	94¢	$602	0xd646de…
10-26 00:21:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	620	0¢	$1	0x6ae8b0…
10-25 22:01:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	94¢	$9,400	0x1f2482…
10-25 18:04:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xd242d4…
10-25 12:19:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,200	95¢	$9,690	0xe9d69d…
10-25 12:16:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x4c8dd1…
10-25 12:15:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xfcebdd…
10-25 12:15:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	95¢	$44	0xede065…
10-25 12:15:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	133	95¢	$127	0xb64d77…
10-25 12:15:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xf46eb8…
10-25 12:15:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0xf3225d…
10-25 12:15:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,263	95¢	$1,200	0xd730f7…
10-25 12:15:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,132	95¢	$1,075	0xa4a7f4…
10-25 12:15:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,389	95¢	$1,319	0x9e4f81…
10-25 12:15:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	95¢	$2,850	0x7343ab…
10-25 12:15:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	865	95¢	$822	0x6d1f4c…
10-25 12:15:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0x6cd9e7…
10-25 12:15:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	450	95¢	$428	0x6289d5…
10-25 12:15:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	133	95¢	$127	0x3a3ba2…
10-25 12:15:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	95¢	$127	0x336607…
10-25 12:14:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xfa9aa8…
10-25 12:14:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,011	95¢	$3,811	0xe0e0b0…
10-25 12:14:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	532	95¢	$505	0xb52925…
10-25 12:14:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,578	95¢	$1,499	0x8b235e…
10-25 12:14:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,269	95¢	$1,205	0x7a14bd…
10-25 12:14:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	928	95¢	$882	0x673101…
10-25 12:14:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	883	95¢	$839	0x237540…
10-25 12:14:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	477	95¢	$453	0x223950…
10-25 12:14:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x360708…
10-25 12:14:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xc24e22…
10-25 12:08:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xd9f508…
10-25 12:08:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x5068fd…
10-25 12:07:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xf3492d…
10-25 12:05:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x2ca225…
10-25 12:05:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x9d64a1…
10-25 12:04:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	215	95¢	$204	0x4a9fb1…