Realized P&L (30d)
+$25.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.77K
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved (30d)
10
Trades (30d)
609
5,138 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$731.8K
$3.43M lifetime
Avg / trade
$668
Open exposure
$79.4K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 11-13 10:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
88% 100% +$89,059
Politics
11% 91% +$8,242
Sports
0% 100% +$7
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +37,217 $35,095 98¢ $36.6K +$1,545 11-12 13:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +26,884 $25,173 97¢ $26.2K +$1,026 11-12 00:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +9,528 $9,441 99¢ $9.5K +$25 11-13 08:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,000 $2,911 98¢ $2.9K +$15 11-12 23:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,130 $2,053 98¢ $2.1K +$27 11-07 03:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,050 $876 88¢ $929 +$53 11-11 12:36
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +550 $541 98¢ $538 -$3 11-13 02:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +200 $199 100¢ $200 +$0 11-10 09:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +200 $199 91¢ $182 -$17 11-10 09:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -100 -$191 98¢ $-98 +$93 10-27 23:13
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 11-10 03:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$0 11-13 10:56