Realized P&L
-$232
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
7,615
lifetime
Volume
$149.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$748
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-30 18:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
83% 0% $-145
Other
11% 0% $-87
Crypto
6%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -217 $-210 100¢ $-216 $-6 06-19 22:11
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +672 $115 16¢ $108 $-7 06-27 20:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -149 $-1 70¢ $-105 $-104 06-20 03:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -69 $-66 99¢ $-69 $-3 06-20 14:30
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -217 $-131 30¢ $-66 +$65 05-27 20:22
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +303 $66 20¢ $62 $-4 06-30 18:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -327 $-36 10¢ $-31 +$5 06-29 04:08
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +236 $32 11¢ $25 $-7 06-29 04:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -147 $-39 15¢ $-21 +$18 06-30 18:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +30 $12 70¢ $21 +$9 06-20 15:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -120 $-7 10¢ $-11 $-5 06-16 06:03
Kurds declare independence from Iran? Yes -886 $-18 $-5 +$13 06-12 16:28
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -549 $-96 $-3 +$93 05-29 04:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -883 $-48 $-2 +$46 06-08 16:10
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1,061 $71 $2 $-69 06-28 17:33
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +563 $81 $1 $-80 06-19 10:33
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? Yes -284 $2 $-0 $-2 06-12 08:22