Realized P&L
-$232
Unrealized P&L
-$187
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
7,876
lifetime
Volume
$154.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$656
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-21 15:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
82% 0% $-145
Other
12% 0% $-87
Crypto
6%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -149 $-1 78¢ $-117 $-116 06-20 03:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -499 $-56 22¢ $-112 $-56 07-20 17:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -369 $-120 28¢ $-101 +$19 07-20 17:25
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +1,110 $169 $78 $-91 07-21 15:44
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -217 $-131 35¢ $-75 +$55 05-27 20:22
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +270 $73 15¢ $41 $-32 07-21 15:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +70 $15 46¢ $33 +$18 07-21 15:42
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +216 $20 15¢ $31 +$11 07-21 15:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +30 $12 99¢ $30 +$17 06-20 15:34
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +236 $32 11¢ $25 $-7 06-29 04:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -133 $-9 11¢ $-14 $-5 07-20 09:39