Realized P&L
-$232
Unrealized P&L
-$205
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
7,883
lifetime
Volume
$154.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$651
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-22 10:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
82% 0% $-145
Other
12% 0% $-87
Crypto
6%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -407 $-131 30¢ $-120 +$11 07-22 06:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -149 $-1 78¢ $-117 $-116 06-20 03:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -499 $-56 22¢ $-112 $-56 07-20 17:23
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +1,110 $169 $78 $-91 07-21 15:44
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -217 $-131 35¢ $-77 +$54 05-27 20:22
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +270 $73 16¢ $42 $-31 07-21 15:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +70 $15 46¢ $33 +$18 07-21 15:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +30 $12 99¢ $30 +$17 06-20 15:34
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +216 $20 11¢ $24 +$4 07-21 15:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -133 $-9 11¢ $-14 $-5 07-20 09:39
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +64 $15 10¢ $6 $-9 07-22 06:05