Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$839

Unrealized P&L

+$65

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

169

Trades

893

lifetime

Volume

$20.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$108

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-28 08:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

43% 64% +$341

Politics

33% 56% +$80

Sports

15% 79% +$217

Tech

7% 67% +$194

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$8

Crypto

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+50	$28	71¢	$36	+$8	08-15 15:48
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	+39	$22	64¢	$25	+$3	10-25 11:15
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+30	$19	68¢	$20	+$2	10-16 12:47
will russia capture mala tokmachka by december 31 2026	No	+20	$6	80¢	$16	+$10	08-10 22:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+654	$15	1¢	$8	-$7	10-13 13:13
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+3	-$30	94¢	$2	+$33	09-19 22:01
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+120	-$16	1¢	$1	+$16	10-18 20:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	3	$2.5K	2,531	0	+2,531	Yes	+$66	08-01 20:15
mlb col atl 2026 08 30	2	$859	540	540	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$92	08-30 18:29
Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	12	$468	703	0	+703	open	—	10-21 10:58
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	7	$447	280	280	+0	open	—	09-05 16:51
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	3	$392	400	0	+400	Yes	+$8	07-25 18:32
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	5	$343	230	230	+0	Yes	+$11	09-10 13:33
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	2	$340	352	0	+352	Yes	+$12	07-22 19:16
will the republicans win leavenworth county in the kansas senate race in 2026	5	$271	399	0	+399	open	—	10-20 16:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$270	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	08-05 10:09
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	2	$267	192	192	+0	open	—	09-02 23:11
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	13	$265	300	300	+0	Yes	+$122	09-02 13:09
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	11	$263	400	400	+0	No	+$147	09-06 11:22
Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$261	470	0	+470	open	—	10-17 12:25
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	7	$246	348	346	+3	open	—	09-19 22:01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	15	$240	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$10	09-10 12:31
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	9	$215	500	500	+0	open	—	09-14 06:59
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?	20	$207	412	412	+0	No	+$30	09-20 13:55
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?	3	$194	149	149	+0	open	—	10-08 08:19
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	2	$189	147	147	+0	open	—	10-05 10:55
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies	4	$185	200	200	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$35	09-06 20:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	39	$182	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	+$16	08-20 19:33
Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?	3	$177	226	0	+226	open	—	10-26 11:55
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?	2	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	10-10 14:11
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.75 inches of precipitation in October?	2	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	10-09 18:26
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	7	$164	300	300	+0	Yes	+$64	09-02 12:40
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	9	$159	400	400	+0	open	—	09-05 08:23
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$158	470	0	+470	open	—	10-17 12:25
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?	3	$157	100	100	+0	open	—	10-18 02:33
Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team?	2	$152	120	120	+0	open	—	09-27 21:33
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?	9	$150	105	105	-0	No	+$7	09-05 17:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:32:49	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8112bb…
10-27 13:22:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x1ed6b8…
10-27 07:20:51	Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x584842…
10-27 07:20:50	Will Chen Pin-an win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x4e75bc…
10-26 19:32:12	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?	No	SELL	26	65¢	$17	0xa0888d…
10-26 11:58:41	Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0xca78a0…
10-26 11:58:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x1699db…
10-26 11:58:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x4086e0…
10-26 11:57:48	Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	54	83¢	$45	0xcfe3dc…
10-26 11:57:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0x803e96…
10-26 11:57:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x99bcda…
10-26 11:55:12	Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	77	79¢	$61	0xf46579…
10-26 11:53:42	Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x3a14b4…
10-26 11:52:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	79	5¢	$4	0x91690f…
10-26 11:52:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	79	9¢	$7	0x9429ce…
10-26 11:52:05	Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	147	78¢	$115	0x988df6…
10-26 11:51:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	147	5¢	$7	0xfc79e8…
10-26 11:51:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	147	8¢	$12	0xe02bbd…
10-26 11:46:36	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?	No	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x76546f…
10-25 22:02:45	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xae0168…
10-25 11:27:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x761821…
10-25 11:27:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6% or more?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xfe5116…
10-25 11:27:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xb64a79…
10-25 11:27:05	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x8b18f7…
10-25 11:15:09	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xd122f1…
10-25 11:14:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 5% or more?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0x9633ae…
10-25 11:13:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 5% or more?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x77274a…
10-25 11:13:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	39	14¢	$6	0x72b6b5…
10-25 11:13:06	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xe1ce4e…
10-25 11:13:06	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x842801…
10-25 11:04:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	57	27¢	$16	0xe24178…
10-25 11:04:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	57	64¢	$36	0xb262c7…
10-25 02:03:47	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	51	3¢	$2	0x518f88…
10-24 15:54:14	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x382a49…
10-24 15:34:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x8f4e0f…
10-24 15:34:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xda1339…
10-24 15:34:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x671dbf…
10-24 15:34:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$3	0x8670e9…
10-24 15:33:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x6eb3df…
10-24 15:33:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x4f83fc…
10-24 15:33:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x87e83f…
10-24 15:33:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x86c294…
10-24 15:33:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x3dd253…
10-24 15:27:45	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0x623d1b…
10-24 10:27:06	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xaa4a10…
10-24 09:06:38	Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x4589e1…
10-24 08:51:53	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x0bd1ae…
10-24 08:48:36	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x479c0d…
10-22 17:24:20	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$10	0x20c5fe…
10-22 17:23:38	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$5	0x799fbd…
10-22 11:25:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x917d59…
10-22 11:25:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x823352…
10-22 11:25:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x135f93…
10-22 11:25:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x0351ac…
10-22 11:24:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x76e84a…
10-22 11:24:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xbda959…
10-22 11:20:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x1e5826…
10-22 11:20:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e58f1…
10-22 11:19:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x7b8b7d…
10-22 11:18:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x4e3101…
10-22 11:18:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x033f83…
10-22 11:18:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xdce291…
10-22 11:18:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xd6ccb0…
10-22 11:18:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x9effb5…
10-22 11:17:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x1d59e6…
10-22 11:14:30	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6808ca…
10-22 11:07:24	Will PP win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd7a372…
10-22 11:03:29	Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbdc564…
10-22 11:03:18	Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x1aec3f…
10-21 10:58:17	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xfcdcf1…
10-21 10:58:08	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfaebcc…
10-21 10:47:54	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbfaf0f…
10-21 10:47:51	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe117c2…
10-21 10:47:35	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0xfc0bb5…
10-21 10:47:30	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	25¢	$6	0x12a5eb…
10-21 10:41:11	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x1c2422…
10-21 10:41:08	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	66¢	$43	0xc5a5c3…
10-21 10:39:17	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0xcc95af…
10-21 10:39:14	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0xd9e82a…
10-21 10:35:24	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x279a3b…
10-21 10:35:21	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xa0188d…
10-21 10:35:12	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x491472…
10-21 10:35:03	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x8da2e5…
10-21 10:29:39	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0xa2c8de…
10-21 10:29:38	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	67¢	$80	0xcae039…
10-21 10:28:05	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3125cc…
10-21 10:27:56	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa3e6ed…
10-21 10:25:09	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xc48d04…
10-21 10:25:02	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x9264de…
10-21 10:05:47	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x1acaa0…
10-21 10:03:38	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	70¢	$63	0x066e83…
10-21 10:02:47	Will the Democrats win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	17¢	$29	0xe7ca1f…
10-21 10:02:30	Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	67¢	$45	0x364506…
10-21 00:40:50	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x1bfff5…
10-20 16:22:09	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0x6ebdff…
10-20 16:13:35	Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x8ebef2…
10-20 16:13:32	Will the Democrats win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	20¢	$13	0x56646a…
10-20 12:40:47	Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	62¢	$47	0x0fd603…
10-20 12:40:44	Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	31¢	$23	0x7616dc…
10-20 12:16:27	Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x82dafb…