Metallic-Reservoir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$9.92K

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

383

Trades

7,132

lifetime

Volume

$5.59M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$784

Open exposure

$191.5K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-03 06:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

70% 48% +$77,825

Politics

20% 74% +$11,698

Crypto

5% 78% +$3,282

Sports

3% 90% +$1,756

Tech

1% 60% -$557

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+128,447	$115,841	94¢	$120.1K	+$4,257	10-03 06:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+52,000	$45,240	98¢	$51.0K	+$5,772	06-28 19:40
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+22,000	$20,460	92¢	$20.4K	-$110	10-02 06:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	404	$475.9K	259,922	226,376	+33,546	No	+$6,399	06-29 20:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	187	$386.3K	233,888	160,000	+73,888	No	+$6,791	05-28 14:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	423	$384.0K	287,286	116,884	+170,403	No	+$15,342	05-01 01:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	429	$352.3K	244,132	118,176	+125,957	No	+$9,684	03-31 19:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	471	$327.7K	159,549	173,239	-13,690	No	+$3,817	03-13 15:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	622	$223.5K	115,245	114,439	+805	Yes	+$3,166	04-27 07:07
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	105	$196.9K	86,610	112,011	-25,401	No	+$957	03-27 00:09
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	41	$194.4K	199,008	0	+199,008	No	+$4,611	07-23 19:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	172	$194.2K	97,454	116,472	-19,018	Yes	+$9,493	04-07 22:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	124	$115.8K	128,447	0	+128,447	open	—	10-03 06:47
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	124	$107.4K	64,114	48,149	+15,965	No	+$1,491	03-14 17:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	39	$102.2K	103,766	0	+103,766	No	+$1,525	03-13 18:38
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	157	$89.2K	45,226	45,668	-441	No	+$1,492	03-28 15:47
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	21	$83.3K	88,251	0	+88,251	No	+$4,907	08-04 14:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	90	$79.5K	44,043	44,043	+0	Yes	+$2,769	04-05 14:20
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	28	$67.3K	69,535	0	+69,535	No	+$2,258	08-02 18:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	95	$65.9K	34,031	34,031	+0	No	-$41	04-06 07:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	48	$65.5K	35,330	35,330	+0	Yes	+$250	07-14 13:17
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	9	$59.3K	59,467	0	+59,467	Yes	+$128	03-05 18:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	6	$59.3K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$395	05-18 18:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	47	$50.4K	29,139	26,565	+2,575	No	+$1,889	05-18 15:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$49.8K	20,000	30,000	-10,000	No	+$160	03-17 09:30
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	13	$49.5K	51,463	0	+51,463	Over	+$1,933	07-18 15:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	21	$49.4K	50,072	0	+50,072	No	+$686	06-17 14:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	83	$48.7K	49,512	0	+49,512	No	+$769	03-31 09:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	37	$46.0K	27,171	24,250	+2,921	No	-$2,083	03-27 06:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	22	$45.2K	52,000	0	+52,000	open	—	06-28 19:40
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	82	$44.9K	23,526	23,526	+0	Yes	-$28	05-06 13:53
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	10	$43.0K	24,251	24,251	+0	Yes	+$183	06-28 15:38
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 0pt5	3	$39.5K	21,431	21,431	+0	Over	-$107	07-14 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 06:47:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2,161	93¢	$2,009	0xb6a9de…
10-03 02:58:47	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$101	0xa8e9b5…
10-02 22:04:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x94fb13…
10-02 16:46:47	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	3,337	93¢	$3,104	0x14386b…
10-02 16:21:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	92	93¢	$86	0xcf881e…
10-02 11:22:02	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2,297	93¢	$2,136	0xb13952…
10-02 06:35:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11,000	93¢	$10,230	0x2ba869…
10-02 06:35:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11,000	93¢	$10,230	0x84f708…
09-19 05:48:48	lol ig1 jdg 2026 09 19	Invictus Gaming	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0xaa036c…
09-18 16:00:13	lol ig1 jdg 2026 09 19	Invictus Gaming	BUY	1,034	58¢	$600	0x8f445f…
09-18 09:49:43	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	JD Gaming	BUY	541	37¢	$200	0x38758e…
09-18 07:17:18	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	JD Gaming	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0x0f28fd…
09-18 07:17:06	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	JD Gaming	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0xc49308…
09-16 17:41:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	6,282	99¢	$6,200	0xc66092…
09-12 16:14:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	3,485	99¢	$3,440	0x944b8d…
09-12 08:30:49	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0x255487…
09-12 08:28:18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x443a1f…
09-12 08:14:40	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93ee89…
09-12 07:57:43	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	172	99¢	$169	0x351d06…
08-04 14:45:38	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	10,000	97¢	$9,740	0xecf31d…
08-02 18:32:51	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	4,320	97¢	$4,190	0x1230c4…
08-02 10:58:48	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	3,226	97¢	$3,126	0xa9c64e…
08-02 10:58:47	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1,593	97¢	$1,544	0x834105…
08-01 16:30:08	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	10,000	97¢	$9,680	0xd66466…
07-28 22:17:43	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	7,527	97¢	$7,324	0x74671d…
07-28 15:50:01	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	185	97¢	$180	0x29d23f…
07-28 15:32:05	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	185	97¢	$180	0x8e4cc2…
07-28 12:20:19	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	102	97¢	$100	0x0a2f56…
07-27 19:58:43	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0xa9a292…
07-27 18:27:46	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb84a9d…
07-27 17:34:03	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x39894e…
07-27 17:33:48	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9b433e…
07-27 17:33:48	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x812f05…
07-27 17:06:24	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfccc96…
07-27 16:45:54	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1,810	97¢	$1,756	0x3a600f…
07-25 09:02:00	lol ig1 wb 2026 07 25	Invictus Gaming	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x4d56ae…
07-23 19:38:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	16,000	97¢	$15,568	0x83578e…
07-23 14:29:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	4,441	98¢	$4,335	0x7417df…
07-23 14:19:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	5,195	98¢	$5,070	0xbaf163…
07-23 14:10:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x99be7c…
07-23 13:40:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	164	98¢	$160	0xe93a20…
07-23 09:45:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x6e50a3…
07-23 09:45:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	21	89¢	$18	0x13baf9…
07-23 09:45:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x914535…
07-23 09:45:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd65d93…
07-23 09:45:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0x5271cb…
07-23 09:45:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$8	0x0f94a7…
07-23 08:47:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x900df7…
07-23 08:46:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xca6c84…
07-23 08:41:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x181347…
07-23 08:38:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x9d3586…
07-23 08:24:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	85	89¢	$76	0xe919bc…
07-23 08:04:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x7f8eac…
07-23 07:58:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xf14ef0…
07-23 07:36:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xf5a01a…
07-23 06:39:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$49	0xe936aa…
07-23 05:54:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdc1916…
07-23 04:21:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4aaba2…
07-23 01:38:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xdb5a17…
07-22 23:53:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xeaa2c1…
07-22 23:32:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x3da3f2…
07-22 22:11:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x6f81b8…
07-22 21:05:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	182	89¢	$162	0x95c9d8…
07-22 20:34:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xdda0fb…
07-22 20:25:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x4de8fc…
07-22 20:20:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	909	89¢	$809	0xdce5d0…
07-22 20:03:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x9dd305…
07-22 19:26:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe0ae05…
07-22 18:38:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	455	89¢	$405	0x52bad0…
07-22 18:11:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	250	89¢	$222	0xe6a5f9…
07-22 17:02:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	3,353	89¢	$2,984	0x7762b2…
07-22 02:10:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xefe148…
07-22 02:09:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	396	89¢	$352	0xe19ba4…
07-22 01:59:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x1becc3…
07-22 01:57:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$35	0xa650b9…
07-22 01:07:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	29	89¢	$25	0x60dee0…
07-22 00:30:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x0dbfb9…
07-21 23:59:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	209	89¢	$186	0x2d9624…
07-21 23:52:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xf9cb28…
07-21 23:45:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	109	89¢	$97	0x8c6b8e…
07-21 23:20:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	6,000	89¢	$5,340	0x873582…
07-21 23:02:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	220	89¢	$196	0xebdaa7…
07-21 22:58:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x944872…
07-21 22:22:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	282	89¢	$251	0xda1a22…
07-21 21:55:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	89¢	$1,780	0x5d0d04…
07-21 21:10:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x3b0242…
07-21 21:06:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	315	89¢	$280	0x9a848f…
07-21 21:06:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	396	89¢	$352	0x0cdadc…
07-21 21:05:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	136	89¢	$121	0x8eec00…
07-21 20:58:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	86	89¢	$77	0x683a96…
07-21 20:56:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	120	89¢	$107	0x0c10c0…
07-21 20:25:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	315	89¢	$280	0x20d9a1…
07-21 20:25:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	396	89¢	$352	0xd71ff6…
07-21 19:00:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xee2d97…
07-21 18:48:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xeb025c…
07-21 18:23:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xb00fdd…
07-21 18:21:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xf31e36…
07-21 18:16:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe1f3bc…
07-21 18:16:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	273	89¢	$243	0x64be0e…
07-21 17:48:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x572681…