Realized P&L
+$7.23K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.66K
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
56
Trades
1,104
lifetime
Volume
$101.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$92
Open exposure
$32.3K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 19:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Politics
62% 57% +$1,360
Other
19% 38% +$1,907
Sports
13% 33% +$3,392
Tech
4% 0% -$23
Crypto
2% 40% +$590
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -9,659 -$9,241 94¢ $-9128 +$114 09-20 03:03
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +16,226 $8,226 38¢ $6.2K -$2,044 10-31 17:16
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -5,100 -$4,150 94¢ $-4819 -$670 06-09 18:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +15,917 $2,915 16¢ $2.6K -$345 10-24 03:45
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,541 $1,936 72¢ $1.8K -$119 10-28 20:02
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +8,230 $1,399 16¢ $1.4K -$41 09-09 01:31
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,806 $966 56¢ $1.0K +$36 09-30 23:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,000 -$891 97¢ $-971 -$81 09-09 19:18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,300 $808 15¢ $806 -$2 10-16 01:23
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +800 $464 66¢ $532 +$68 10-06 12:23
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $520 52¢ $515 -$5 11-01 19:15
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +800 $304 52¢ $420 +$116 10-23 18:33
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +1,500 $305 28¢ $419 +$114 09-29 18:56
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +8,277 $304 5¢ $377 +$73 10-27 14:32
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -300 -$285 98¢ $-295 -$10 05-21 22:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +600 $264 47¢ $282 +$18 09-15 10:02
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +5,186 $182 5¢ $280 +$99 10-22 01:31
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +900 $171 26¢ $230 +$59 10-23 20:39
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -200 -$196 99¢ $-198 -$2 08-22 11:31
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -80 -$43 88¢ $-71 -$28 04-30 20:01
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? No -37 -$31 96¢ $-35 -$4 05-23 04:15
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -33 -$28 94¢ $-31 -$3 08-27 04:29
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +30 $2 5¢ $2 $0 09-24 15:29