(anonymous) 0x1b3d49…5cd3aa
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$82
Hit rate
7.5%
Resolved
31
Trades
1,262
lifetime
Volume
$72.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$36.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
49% 0% -$15
Politics
35% — —
Sports
15% 63% -$4
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +8,229 $6,988 85¢ $7.0K +$36 10-19 02:29
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,796 $3,285 87¢ $3.3K +$18 10-13 22:12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +3,314 $3,229 98¢ $3.2K +$3 10-11 02:41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,170 $2,909 92¢ $2.9K +$23 10-20 11:04
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +2,703 $2,401 90¢ $2.4K +$18 10-18 07:54
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,446 $2,392 98¢ $2.4K +$4 10-27 19:42
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,847 $1,775 95¢ $1.8K -$22 10-27 20:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,015 $1,671 84¢ $1.7K +$22 10-27 10:20
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,635 $1,584 97¢ $1.6K -$1 10-27 22:30
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,307 $1,278 97¢ $1.3K -$7 10-27 03:15
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,304 $1,259 96¢ $1.3K -$7 09-25 10:52
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,325 $1,295 94¢ $1.2K -$50 09-24 22:28
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8,229 $1,262 15¢ $1.2K -$57 10-19 15:25
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,136 $1,011 88¢ $1.0K -$6 10-27 19:15
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +681 $664 96¢ $657 -$7 10-18 21:48
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +622 $599 96¢ $595 -$5 10-19 12:26
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +613 $597 93¢ $569 -$28 10-18 10:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,796 $529 13¢ $493 -$35 10-17 18:45
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,398 $405 16¢ $382 -$23 10-27 10:34
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,703 $297 11¢ $284 -$13 10-20 15:54
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +252 $236 96¢ $242 +$5 09-28 17:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +3,170 $255 8¢ $238 -$17 10-17 06:52
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +264 $232 82¢ $218 -$15 09-30 19:04
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +258 $197 82¢ $213 +$16 09-26 05:30
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +991 $107 12¢ $114 +$7 10-27 23:00
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +117 $114 97¢ $114 +$0 10-26 06:39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +3,314 $86 2¢ $83 -$3 10-17 13:26
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,325 $36 6¢ $80 +$44 09-26 02:19
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +1,468 $61 5¢ $74 +$13 10-27 23:44
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,304 $49 4¢ $53 +$4 09-24 18:02