Realized P&L
+$1.98K
Unrealized P&L
-$177
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
36
Trades
884
lifetime
Volume
$58.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$43.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
56% 100% +$11
Sports
41% 57% +$1,964
Other
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +14,288 $12,846 84¢ $12.0K -$802 10-09 10:58
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,692 $5,416 94¢ $5.4K -$36 10-19 20:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6,190 $5,133 85¢ $5.3K +$157 10-19 05:02
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +3,358 $3,044 92¢ $3.1K +$29 11-03 16:49
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,752 $2,695 98¢ $2.7K -$2 11-02 23:08
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +2,879 $2,497 86¢ $2.5K -$36 11-04 14:34
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14,288 $1,491 16¢ $2.2K +$752 10-08 20:51
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,942 $1,762 83¢ $1.6K -$143 10-30 10:54
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,743 $1,349 78¢ $1.4K +$1 10-15 16:28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,190 $1,082 15¢ $901 -$182 10-20 00:24
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +1,166 $840 70¢ $822 -$18 10-30 05:55
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +755 $690 92¢ $695 +$6 11-03 00:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +707 $619 92¢ $654 +$35 10-21 19:38
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +712 $624 88¢ $623 -$1 11-04 13:09
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +543 $533 94¢ $509 -$24 10-18 05:41
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,743 $396 22¢ $392 -$4 10-17 15:24
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +2,645 $335 15¢ $384 +$48 11-04 01:55
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +1,166 $374 30¢ $344 -$30 10-29 23:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,942 $183 17¢ $323 +$140 10-29 21:53
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +5,692 $320 6¢ $313 -$7 10-18 23:54
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +365 $321 82¢ $297 -$24 09-30 16:49
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +3,487 $318 8¢ $296 -$22 11-04 14:46
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +309 $37 88¢ $272 +$235 10-19 09:48
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +861 $79 8¢ $68 -$11 11-04 17:27
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,170 $74 2¢ $68 -$5 11-03 19:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +365 $47 18¢ $67 +$20 09-27 08:43
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +535 $62 12¢ $67 +$5 11-02 13:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +707 $96 8¢ $53 -$43 10-22 23:45
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +309 $276 12¢ $37 -$239 10-18 20:18
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +543 $12 6¢ $34 +$22 10-20 09:29