Realized P&L
+$179
Unrealized P&L
-$216
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,533
lifetime
Volume
$93.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$91.4K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-19 22:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
56% — —
Other
43% — —
Sports
1% 67% +$179
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +26,468 $25,453 95¢ $25.2K -$216 10-19 22:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +19,369 $17,826 88¢ $17.1K -$684 10-19 00:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +13,171 $10,623 84¢ $11.0K +$382 08-29 06:05
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +10,280 $10,050 99¢ $10.2K +$143 10-16 14:57
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,963 $7,809 100¢ $8.0K +$142 10-08 14:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +5,681 $4,466 85¢ $4.8K +$364 09-17 11:09
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3,017 $2,868 97¢ $2.9K +$54 09-25 17:54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +19,369 $1,581 12¢ $2.2K +$646 10-19 11:59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13,171 $2,663 16¢ $2.2K -$497 08-28 08:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,988 $1,797 91¢ $1.8K +$4 08-28 22:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,422 $1,348 62¢ $1.5K +$164 08-14 06:39
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +26,468 $1,022 5¢ $1.2K +$208 10-19 03:41
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,053 $999 95¢ $1000 +$1 10-19 14:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,422 $1,089 38¢ $909 -$179 08-14 16:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +5,681 $1,226 15¢ $852 -$374 09-16 21:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,988 $197 9¢ $186 -$11 09-04 18:37
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +3,017 $152 3¢ $95 -$57 09-24 15:35
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,280 $254 1¢ $87 -$166 10-16 11:09
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,053 $52 5¢ $53 +$1 10-15 12:48
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +7,963 $152 0¢ $12 -$140 10-11 04:11