Realized P&L (90d)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$218
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (90d)
1
Trades (90d)
1,426
1,439 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$85.3K
$86.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$83.4K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-19 22:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
56% — —
Other
43% 100% +$2
Sports
1% 67% +$179
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +26,468 $25,453 97¢ $25.7K +$234 10-19 22:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +19,369 $17,826 87¢ $16.9K -$907 10-19 00:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +13,171 $10,623 83¢ $11.0K +$369 08-29 06:05
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +10,280 $10,050 100¢ $10.2K +$184 10-16 14:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +5,681 $4,466 86¢ $4.9K +$392 09-17 11:09
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3,017 $2,868 98¢ $2.9K +$74 09-25 17:54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +19,369 $1,581 13¢ $2.5K +$869 10-19 11:59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13,171 $2,663 17¢ $2.2K -$483 08-28 08:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,988 $1,797 91¢ $1.8K +$2 08-28 22:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,422 $1,348 60¢ $1.5K +$115 08-14 06:39
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,053 $999 95¢ $999 +$0 10-19 14:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,422 $1,089 40¢ $959 -$130 08-14 16:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +5,681 $1,226 15¢ $824 -$403 09-16 21:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +26,468 $1,022 3¢ $781 -$242 10-19 03:41
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,988 $197 9¢ $188 -$9 09-04 18:37
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +3,017 $152 2¢ $75 -$77 09-24 15:35
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,053 $52 5¢ $54 +$1 10-15 12:48
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,280 $254 0¢ $46 -$207 10-16 11:09