(anonymous) 0x6b933c…afdbb5
3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$172
Unrealized P&L
-$190
Hit rate
40.6%
Resolved
21
Trades
803
lifetime
Volume
$46.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$44.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 19:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
76% — —
Sports
15% 38% -$172
Other
8% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11,174 $9,815 90¢ $10.0K +$185 10-16 08:52
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,867 $5,136 90¢ $5.3K +$114 10-19 10:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,745 $4,756 83¢ $4.8K +$37 10-19 13:42
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +4,439 $4,280 96¢ $4.3K -$3 10-20 05:26
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +3,422 $3,286 96¢ $3.3K -$2 10-23 22:09
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,973 $1,916 98¢ $1.9K +$26 10-19 11:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,631 $1,536 94¢ $1.5K -$11 10-26 12:23
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,448 $1,355 92¢ $1.3K -$16 10-18 23:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +11,174 $1,422 11¢ $1.2K -$248 10-17 16:38
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,180 $1,164 98¢ $1.2K -$9 09-28 10:48
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,144 $1,041 90¢ $1.0K -$16 10-09 01:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,745 $1,007 17¢ $951 -$57 10-18 20:29
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +879 $818 94¢ $822 +$4 10-26 16:06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +905 $761 85¢ $765 +$5 09-20 06:39
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +822 $740 90¢ $744 +$4 10-26 12:41
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +764 $741 93¢ $709 -$32 09-19 14:47
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +691 $675 98¢ $675 -$1 10-25 18:10
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +668 $643 97¢ $647 +$4 10-18 18:45
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,867 $727 11¢ $616 -$111 10-18 07:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +541 $491 90¢ $487 -$4 10-21 20:42
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +470 $439 94¢ $441 +$2 10-25 23:42
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +566 $436 74¢ $422 -$14 09-28 05:52
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +267 $261 99¢ $263 +$2 10-21 15:54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +295 $277 75¢ $221 -$56 09-30 09:37
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +225 $219 98¢ $219 +$0 10-20 01:35
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +238 $197 84¢ $198 +$1 10-22 18:15
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +4,439 $168 4¢ $162 -$6 10-17 23:34
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +3,939 $158 4¢ $158 $0 10-25 07:01
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +566 $132 26¢ $144 +$13 09-30 08:10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +905 $143 15¢ $140 -$3 09-20 02:40