Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$175
Hit rate
61.2%
Resolved
44
Trades
907
lifetime
Volume
$58.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$53.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
66% — —
Sports
29% 64% -$9
Other
3% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +10,741 $10,313 97¢ $10.4K +$78 10-15 23:02
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +8,871 $7,693 86¢ $7.7K -$20 10-19 10:49
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,500 $7,087 92¢ $6.9K -$205 10-27 08:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +6,247 $5,467 86¢ $5.4K -$117 10-16 15:48
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,880 $5,100 86¢ $5.0K -$51 10-27 03:34
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,661 $3,169 87¢ $3.2K +$14 10-16 13:21
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,864 $1,797 96¢ $1.8K -$9 09-25 12:31
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,838 $1,526 84¢ $1.5K +$12 10-27 08:47
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,465 $1,288 88¢ $1.3K +$9 10-10 12:03
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,871 $1,223 14¢ $1.2K -$25 10-16 19:52
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,149 $1,120 98¢ $1.1K +$9 10-20 00:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +6,247 $790 14¢ $896 +$106 10-16 07:07
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +914 $895 97¢ $889 -$5 10-19 10:39
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,547 $753 14¢ $785 +$32 10-26 20:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +723 $697 97¢ $700 +$3 10-23 22:09
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +713 $694 94¢ $668 -$26 10-18 10:17
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +7,587 $451 8¢ $626 +$174 10-27 05:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,661 $512 13¢ $478 -$34 10-17 10:30
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +500 $435 86¢ $432 -$2 10-17 11:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +500 $440 82¢ $412 -$27 09-30 17:29
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,230 $376 16¢ $365 -$11 10-26 19:16
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,741 $452 3¢ $349 -$103 10-17 19:22
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +324 $317 97¢ $314 -$3 10-18 22:34
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,465 $185 12¢ $168 -$16 10-06 16:23
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $65 18¢ $87 +$22 09-27 08:43
New pandemic in 2026? No +81 $77 96¢ $78 +$1 09-26 04:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,864 $69 4¢ $75 +$7 09-24 23:41
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $70 14¢ $67 -$2 10-13 19:37
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +713 $19 6¢ $45 +$25 10-19 13:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +1,293 $51 3¢ $41 -$11 10-25 23:24