Realized P&L
-$700
Unrealized P&L
-$51
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved
37
Trades
627
lifetime
Volume
$34.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$28.4K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 05:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
70% 100% +$4
Sports
28% 42% -$704
Other
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,170 $6,077 83¢ $6.0K -$94 10-17 13:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,588 $4,895 86¢ $4.8K -$106 10-16 12:50
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,764 $4,520 94¢ $4.5K -$46 10-13 12:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,879 $3,582 92¢ $3.5K -$33 10-07 18:31
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,356 $2,261 94¢ $2.2K -$53 10-27 05:04
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,345 $1,304 96¢ $1.3K -$7 10-26 18:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,170 $1,103 17¢ $1.2K +$84 10-16 11:55
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,299 $1,077 84¢ $1.1K +$9 10-25 02:31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5,588 $699 14¢ $799 +$100 10-16 11:59
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +567 $556 98¢ $555 -$1 10-20 14:16
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +452 $423 92¢ $418 -$5 10-18 20:57
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +394 $384 97¢ $381 -$4 10-17 02:34
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,879 $297 8¢ $330 +$32 10-19 19:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +347 $321 94¢ $328 +$7 10-06 23:04
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,764 $263 6¢ $291 +$27 10-17 08:14
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +265 $259 97¢ $258 $0 10-26 11:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,312 $225 16¢ $214 -$10 10-26 19:16
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,782 $73 6¢ $112 +$40 10-26 21:21
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,144 $35 4¢ $41 +$6 10-26 13:28
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +452 $32 8¢ $34 +$2 10-19 10:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +347 $24 6¢ $19 -$5 10-10 08:00
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +394 $12 3¢ $13 +$2 10-20 09:30
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +567 $10 2¢ $12 +$2 10-16 22:39