Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
51
682 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.75K
$36.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$30.4K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 10:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
68% 100% +$4
Sports
30% 42% -$704
Other
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,170 $6,077 84¢ $6.0K -$80 10-17 13:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,588 $4,895 86¢ $4.8K -$109 10-16 12:50
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,764 $4,520 94¢ $4.5K -$46 10-13 12:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,879 $3,582 92¢ $3.5K -$33 10-07 18:31
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,576 $3,385 92¢ $3.3K -$93 10-28 05:52
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,839 $1,781 96¢ $1.8K -$7 10-27 21:57
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,627 $1,353 84¢ $1.4K +$12 10-28 10:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,170 $1,103 16¢ $1.2K +$69 10-16 11:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5,588 $699 14¢ $802 +$103 10-16 11:59
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +567 $556 98¢ $557 +$1 10-20 14:16
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +452 $423 92¢ $418 -$5 10-18 20:57
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +394 $384 97¢ $383 -$1 10-17 02:34
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,879 $297 8¢ $330 +$32 10-19 19:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +347 $321 94¢ $328 +$7 10-06 23:04
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,764 $263 6¢ $291 +$27 10-17 08:14
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,431 $194 8¢ $273 +$78 10-28 09:43
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +265 $259 97¢ $258 $0 10-26 11:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,521 $259 16¢ $246 -$13 10-27 10:33
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,449 $46 4¢ $51 +$5 10-27 18:35
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +452 $32 8¢ $34 +$2 10-19 10:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +347 $24 6¢ $19 -$5 10-10 08:00
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +394 $12 3¢ $11 -$1 10-20 09:30
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +567 $10 2¢ $10 +$0 10-16 22:39