Realized P&L
-$2.54K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.81K
Hit rate
88.2%
Resolved
1,319
Trades
8,221
lifetime
Volume
$1.96M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$238
Open exposure
$18.3K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 15:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 208 days
Categories
Other
73% 70% -$5,323
Politics
20% 59% +$89
Crypto
5% 53% +$2,880
Sports
2% 19% -$129
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% 25% -$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 487 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +33,892 $3,093 13¢ $4.4K +$1,279 10-26 15:11
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5,370 $2,287 55¢ $3.0K +$664 10-05 21:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +12,392 $1,512 16¢ $2.0K +$526 09-30 22:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $800 84¢ $1.7K +$890 08-20 15:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,876 $1,064 66¢ $1.2K +$165 10-13 15:59
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,000 $760 55¢ $1.1K +$330 08-02 18:05
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,443 $938 68¢ $981 +$43 10-05 21:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,865 $1,204 16¢ $599 -$604 10-12 17:05
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +668 $384 89¢ $594 +$210 08-02 17:38
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +740 $439 68¢ $507 +$67 08-15 15:05
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +771 $370 66¢ $505 +$135 08-06 22:17
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +508 $280 80¢ $409 +$129 08-04 05:49
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +475 $313 72¢ $344 +$31 10-10 09:49
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +483 $338 60¢ $292 -$46 10-05 21:02
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +405 $186 42¢ $172 -$14 10-05 21:01
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,805 $203 2¢ $122 -$81 07-29 12:03
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -500 -$60 22¢ $-112 -$52 10-02 09:43
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +508 $114 20¢ $99 -$15 08-18 13:03
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +500 $50 11¢ $53 +$3 10-02 09:43
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +567 $127 8¢ $45 -$82 10-03 21:31
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +59 $39 72¢ $42 +$3 09-11 13:50
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +500 $31 6¢ $31 $0 09-02 15:33
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +28 -$34 80¢ $23 +$57 08-12 07:49
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +28 $2 20¢ $6 +$3 08-18 13:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 -$10 66¢ $0 +$10 08-06 15:54
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +0 -$162 94¢ $0 +$162 10-13 20:53