Realized P&L
-$2.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.11K
Hit rate
88.2%
Resolved
1,326
Trades
8,240
lifetime
Volume
$1.97M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$239
Open exposure
$10.2K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 210 days
Categories
Other
73% 70% -$5,314
Politics
20% 59% +$89
Crypto
5% 53% +$2,880
Sports
2% 19% -$129
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% 25% -$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 487 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +31,114 $2,746 13¢ $4.0K +$1,206 10-29 17:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +12,392 $1,512 17¢ $2.1K +$557 09-30 22:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $800 80¢ $1.6K +$790 08-20 15:31
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,000 $760 40¢ $810 +$50 08-02 18:05
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +508 $280 86¢ $434 +$154 08-04 05:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $939 20¢ $410 -$529 10-29 17:52
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$195 26¢ $-265 -$70 10-29 17:54
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +320 $206 72¢ $229 +$23 10-29 17:53
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,805 $203 2¢ $110 -$92 07-29 12:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +268 $195 40¢ $107 -$88 10-29 17:54
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +508 $114 15¢ $74 -$40 08-18 13:03
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +500 $50 11¢ $53 +$3 10-02 09:43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +59 $39 73¢ $43 +$4 09-11 13:50
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +567 $127 8¢ $43 -$85 10-03 21:31
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +500 $31 5¢ $26 -$5 09-02 15:33
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +28 -$34 86¢ $24 +$58 08-12 07:49
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +28 $2 15¢ $4 +$2 08-18 13:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 -$10 68¢ $0 +$10 08-06 15:54
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +0 -$162 99¢ $0 +$162 10-13 20:53