Superior-Olive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$255

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,102

lifetime

Volume

$1.32M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$627

Open exposure

$1.72K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 100% +$8

Politics

24% 100% +$4

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,385	$931	46¢	$1.1K	+$178	06-25 22:38
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,000	$511	56¢	$555	+$44	07-18 13:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	-161	$-85	32¢	$-52	+$33	05-28 18:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	40	$72.0K	74,666	2,877	+71,789	open	—	06-04 00:35
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	17	$70.0K	27,785	42,500	-14,715	open	—	01-02 23:28
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	21	$52.6K	31,767	21,003	+10,765	open	—	02-01 21:55
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	21	$43.5K	17,139	26,917	-9,778	open	—	01-04 16:59
iran closes its airspace by june 8	18	$39.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	06-08 18:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	21	$39.6K	33,019	7,992	+25,027	open	—	06-17 18:41
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	8	$37.7K	27,785	10,000	+17,785	open	—	01-20 23:55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$36.7K	25,500	11,397	+14,103	open	—	04-08 13:20
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	55	$34.2K	25,987	15,159	+10,827	open	—	05-23 14:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$30.8K	9,987	20,873	-10,886	open	—	02-03 20:26
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?	63	$29.4K	47,392	6,048	+41,344	open	—	01-21 23:26
highest temperature in ankara on february 14 2026 8c	7	$28.8K	23,442	5,486	+17,956	open	—	02-14 10:50
highest temperature in denver on march 24 2026 69forbelow	1	$22.9K	22,932	0	+22,932	open	—	03-24 17:24
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	44	$22.3K	21,571	750	+20,822	open	—	03-03 21:59
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	2	$21.6K	21,691	0	+21,691	open	—	02-03 20:55
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	11	$21.3K	10,691	10,691	+0	open	—	02-07 00:00
highest temperature in london on january 25 7c	15	$21.0K	21,001	0	+21,001	open	—	01-25 13:19
highest temperature in london on january 24 9c	24	$19.4K	19,429	0	+19,429	open	—	01-24 14:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$19.0K	19,000	0	+19,000	open	—	02-28 08:56
highest temperature in london on january 28 9c	30	$17.3K	17,287	0	+17,287	open	—	01-28 16:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-09 09:46
highest temperature in london on february 10 2026 11c	29	$14.8K	14,858	0	+14,858	open	—	02-10 16:49
highest temperature in london on january 17 10c	10	$13.9K	13,934	0	+13,934	open	—	01-17 14:07
us forces seize another oil ship by january 31 2026	9	$13.4K	13,444	0	+13,444	open	—	01-21 02:50
highest temperature in london on february 11 2026 10c	17	$13.0K	12,933	100	+12,833	open	—	02-11 11:03
highest temperature in london on february 23 2026 12c	26	$12.0K	11,985	0	+11,985	open	—	02-23 13:51
Will the US strike Somalia next?	7	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	01-27 23:52
highest temperature in london on january 21 9c	24	$11.7K	11,731	0	+11,731	open	—	01-21 13:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$11.6K	11,612	0	+11,612	open	—	03-04 16:29
highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 10c	11	$10.7K	10,755	0	+10,755	open	—	02-12 15:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 09:48:39	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xe58bed…
07-21 01:15:13	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xddefaf…
07-21 01:15:10	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x140324…
07-21 01:14:48	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x038888…
07-21 01:14:46	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x339458…
07-20 20:05:58	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	356	30¢	$108	0xc0cff9…
07-20 17:55:34	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 20 2026 20260709223851528	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x1cab94…
07-20 17:48:12	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	SELL	213	18¢	$38	0xe2075a…
07-20 17:42:46	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	92	31¢	$28	0xbe6023…
07-20 17:41:49	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	111	31¢	$34	0x047a0c…
07-20 17:39:46	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	73	31¢	$22	0xa3c48c…
07-20 13:44:36	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	213	26¢	$55	0x963449…
07-20 13:15:43	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	193	25¢	$48	0xd62ef5…
07-20 13:15:28	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x0d1358…
07-20 13:15:21	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	143	35¢	$50	0x44080c…
07-20 13:13:57	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	1,250	28¢	$345	0xc0ba33…
07-20 11:41:36	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	37	42¢	$15	0xb34035…
07-18 13:21:57	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	51¢	$511	0x6a7fbb…
07-14 18:16:47	will russia capture mala tokmachka by december 31 2026	No	BUY	300	65¢	$194	0x5877be…
07-14 17:33:32	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x5729f9…
07-14 16:07:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3770d1…
07-14 15:21:35	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	38	58¢	$22	0x4894ea…
07-14 13:31:43	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	167	36¢	$60	0x01e467…
07-14 01:03:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x1ece53…
07-09 17:55:58	Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	91	85¢	$78	0x0fa559…
07-09 14:51:04	Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x665c78…
07-09 14:50:23	Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x745035…
07-09 13:22:16	Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	42	87¢	$37	0xa1d588…
07-09 12:23:16	Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	213	78¢	$166	0xddf364…
07-07 21:53:08	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	No	SELL	726	2¢	$15	0x77e27b…
07-07 20:53:28	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x0838b9…
07-07 20:50:41	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	194	80¢	$155	0x9d7b24…
07-07 20:43:08	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	178	80¢	$142	0x40780a…
07-07 19:31:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1,042	100¢	$1,038	0xa2e678…
07-07 19:31:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x80994e…
07-07 19:31:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xce080f…
07-07 19:31:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9f978f…
07-07 19:28:37	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xb94ea6…
07-07 18:36:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	500	31¢	$153	0xea2eed…
07-07 18:31:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	557	28¢	$157	0xef7a4d…
07-07 15:48:49	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	BUY	359	74¢	$264	0x5e65e4…
07-07 15:48:49	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x40e68e…
07-07 15:48:11	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	No	BUY	726	3¢	$21	0xc44fb5…
07-06 21:40:11	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	1,000	63¢	$629	0x17607f…
07-06 21:07:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	439	29¢	$127	0xfbe8d5…
07-06 21:07:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x8a2872…
07-06 21:07:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x811541…
07-06 21:07:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0xfe0912…
07-06 21:07:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	211	29¢	$61	0x18e31d…
07-06 21:07:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xe5acba…
07-06 21:07:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xcbcfcf…
07-06 21:07:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xb90626…
07-06 21:07:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	69	29¢	$20	0xb39a14…
07-06 21:07:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x4d55b0…
07-06 21:07:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x170e26…
07-06 21:07:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0x0d8d59…
07-06 21:07:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xbf2493…
07-06 21:07:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	83	29¢	$24	0x673b45…
07-06 21:07:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	70	29¢	$20	0x0473eb…
07-06 21:06:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x0ea96e…
07-06 21:06:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	137	30¢	$41	0x16f1dd…
07-06 21:06:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	863	30¢	$259	0x008c31…
07-06 21:05:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x8b2a1f…
07-06 20:50:50	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	SELL	93	78¢	$72	0x1853ee…
07-06 20:50:49	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x0e4ff7…
07-06 18:35:49	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	BUY	72	26¢	$19	0x4a19a4…
07-06 18:34:29	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x005853…
07-06 18:33:02	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8c8d44…
07-06 18:29:38	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x8be4ac…
07-06 00:26:52	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	1,775	0¢	$4	0x6f5201…
07-06 00:26:23	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x5fd1d3…
07-06 00:25:20	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xac8894…
07-06 00:25:17	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x54350a…
07-06 00:22:50	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x5179ab…
07-06 00:22:16	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x7593fc…
07-06 00:20:37	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	221	0¢	$0	0x3be5a1…
07-05 23:55:55	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	410	1¢	$4	0xa7d158…
07-05 23:41:28	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	67	1¢	$0	0x32551d…
07-05 23:39:13	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	7,400	1¢	$74	0x256f8e…
07-05 23:38:40	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5fe151…
07-05 23:37:52	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	156	1¢	$2	0x2a1727…
07-05 23:08:41	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	376	10¢	$38	0xefc450…
07-05 23:08:37	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	526	10¢	$53	0x7ddda5…
07-05 23:08:35	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0xde7ca3…
07-05 23:07:56	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x24084f…
07-05 23:06:25	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	500	61¢	$305	0x966ee6…
07-05 21:49:02	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 extra time	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x3f09b5…
07-05 21:44:29	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0x1467cd…
07-05 21:28:50	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	221	38¢	$84	0xa5160e…
07-05 21:28:50	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0dc1db…
07-05 21:28:49	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	221	38¢	$84	0x486728…
07-05 21:27:16	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0xae364b…
07-05 21:25:14	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	145	40¢	$58	0xb973b9…
07-05 14:16:20	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 extra time	Yes	BUY	74	26¢	$19	0x66f17c…
07-05 14:06:08	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 extra time	Yes	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0xbc004a…
07-05 13:54:05	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 extra time	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6723fb…
07-05 13:31:52	england mexico game rescheduled to a different date 20260703195026173	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0x9ecb13…
07-05 13:18:55	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 extra time	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x1b5602…
07-05 12:35:26	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	500	28¢	$142	0xc65c8f…
07-05 12:11:34	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	505	28¢	$143	0x08f744…