Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$300.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$7.02K

Hit rate

9.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,736

lifetime

Volume

$458.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$264

Open exposure

$49.6K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 08-01 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% 20% -$335,962

Politics

19% — —

Sports

8% 100% +$35,376

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+75,441	$10,078	16¢	$12.4K	+$2,332	08-01 17:14
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+771,794	$5,546	1¢	$10.4K	+$4,873	07-26 13:50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+79,962	$4,857	13¢	$10.3K	+$5,458	06-29 21:49
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+136,837	$10,165	6¢	$8.6K	-$1,613	07-26 05:06
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,129,026	$25,975	1¢	$7.9K	-$18,072	07-25 11:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	206	$224.7K	394,646	0	+394,646	No	-$224,723	06-30 16:04
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	364	$80.1K	148,595	0	+148,595	No	-$80,073	07-08 00:37
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	27	$35.4K	0	318,643	-318,643	No	+$35,376	01-25 20:04
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	534	$31.6K	170,589	119,281	+51,308	No	-$31,384	07-27 00:12
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	187	$29.3K	2,093,099	2,093,099	+0	open	—	07-07 03:16
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	362	$26.0K	1,129,026	0	+1,129,026	open	—	07-25 11:33
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	19	$10.2K	136,837	0	+136,837	open	—	07-26 05:06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	27	$10.1K	75,441	0	+75,441	open	—	08-01 17:14
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	5	$5.5K	771,794	0	+771,794	open	—	07-26 13:50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$4.9K	79,962	0	+79,962	open	—	06-29 21:49
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	2	$1.0K	655	655	+0	No	+$261	07-25 11:57
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	1	$42	915	0	+915	No	-$42	07-01 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 17:14:53	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,762	15¢	$550	0x641865…
07-27 00:12:13	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xace754…
07-26 23:56:16	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0xd79557…
07-26 22:47:21	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x35f12a…
07-26 21:47:24	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x059c0f…
07-26 21:38:24	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0xa394cf…
07-26 21:34:09	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd1bbd1…
07-26 21:34:09	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xbdf277…
07-26 21:34:07	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20,035	0¢	$20	0x9526ca…
07-26 20:38:30	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	130	0¢	$0	0x1eb194…
07-26 19:58:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xfbf311…
07-26 19:58:31	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	3,500	0¢	$3	0x33468e…
07-26 19:57:22	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2,200	0¢	$2	0x9a71ef…
07-26 19:07:31	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x39bf44…
07-26 18:39:55	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	50,000	0¢	$50	0xc355e0…
07-26 18:38:01	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x03780e…
07-26 17:04:18	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x3eed4f…
07-26 16:36:07	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd7f486…
07-26 15:11:30	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x472e60…
07-26 14:58:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x8e48a3…
07-26 14:54:39	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0xcf644f…
07-26 14:24:19	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	749	0¢	$1	0x54dfb3…
07-26 14:04:40	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x36173e…
07-26 13:50:03	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	101,111	1¢	$771	0xe5350f…
07-26 10:24:42	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	17,591	0¢	$18	0xbfcaf2…
07-26 09:17:46	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xa06cc3…
07-26 08:29:51	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	510	0¢	$1	0x9de1a8…
07-26 08:14:19	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	279	0¢	$0	0xfd3798…
07-26 08:02:36	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x83a904…
07-26 07:05:25	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x041847…
07-26 06:08:07	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	136	0¢	$0	0xdb0d90…
07-26 05:06:27	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9,993	8¢	$849	0x25f081…
07-26 04:27:34	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x8652f3…
07-26 01:29:48	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	654	0¢	$1	0x6506c8…
07-26 00:44:40	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	365	0¢	$0	0x1e7793…
07-26 00:44:34	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x9dce9e…
07-26 00:44:34	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x8ceae3…
07-26 00:44:34	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x5587f1…
07-26 00:44:34	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x44f858…
07-26 00:44:34	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x3cd158…
07-26 00:44:34	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x28fbe9…
07-26 00:44:34	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x0d1f6d…
07-26 00:44:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf40eba…
07-26 00:44:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf2d3bf…
07-26 00:44:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xe9191e…
07-26 00:44:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb7b4e7…
07-26 00:44:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x1aacd0…
07-26 00:44:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x18d259…
07-26 00:44:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x171401…
07-26 00:44:33	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x14ca7a…
07-26 00:44:31	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20,671	0¢	$21	0x05f35d…
07-25 11:58:46	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x3aa1a8…
07-25 11:58:45	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	11,797	8¢	$931	0x6db3fc…
07-25 11:58:45	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,512	8¢	$127	0x1010ae…
07-25 11:58:43	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	67,273	7¢	$4,745	0xb255c1…
07-25 11:57:33	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	655	100¢	$654	0x33125d…
07-25 11:33:33	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x0b80e5…
07-25 11:29:40	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x54ec6f…
07-25 10:44:27	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x6d6500…
07-25 10:18:25	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xed694f…
07-25 08:22:42	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x268002…
07-25 06:53:31	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x024ce3…
07-25 05:01:42	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xf24406…
07-25 04:01:22	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x116226…
07-24 23:57:54	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xeff026…
07-24 23:26:43	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x11ceab…
07-24 22:44:22	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x9ea3aa…
07-24 22:20:16	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3fb865…
07-24 21:17:51	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd21afb…
07-24 21:01:45	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x0007cd…
07-24 19:43:24	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x975396…
07-24 19:08:27	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x9219f5…
07-24 17:51:33	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xc0690e…
07-24 17:29:04	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x08222f…
07-24 16:12:16	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5b5043…
07-24 16:00:25	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x3c5c37…
07-24 14:32:31	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd76a78…
07-24 14:23:22	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xcc5625…
07-24 13:10:22	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xd76765…
07-24 12:53:00	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x315efa…
07-24 11:57:13	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xfda589…
07-24 10:51:49	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x23a2eb…
07-24 10:37:36	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x3086f3…
07-24 09:47:51	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xdc6f1c…
07-24 08:08:57	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x6fa4fb…
07-24 06:56:52	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xb7b0da…
07-24 06:53:48	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x8742c5…
07-24 04:41:22	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x29e806…
07-24 04:10:24	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x8a68e5…
07-24 03:38:27	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12,333	2¢	$271	0xf1349d…
07-24 02:42:21	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x7c0005…
07-24 00:02:03	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xde9f8b…
07-23 23:04:55	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xf74ba6…
07-23 20:30:57	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8f5293…
07-23 19:04:54	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x9c905f…
07-23 19:03:55	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x197d80…
07-23 18:15:04	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xca9d97…
07-23 18:14:54	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xd96672…
07-23 17:21:43	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xc9ecdd…
07-23 17:14:00	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x0fa951…